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Hillary Clinton

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still_one

(92,616 posts)
Thu Feb 4, 2016, 09:53 AM Feb 2016

This analysis was before the Iowa Primary, but it highlights why Hillary will be the nominee [View all]

regardless what happens in Iowa and NH:

http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2016/01/can-bernie-find-a-way-to-win-in-red-states.html

"Bernie Sanders's potential "path to the nomination" is obvious enough at its beginning: He needs to win or do better than expected in Iowa on February 1, then win New Hampshire eight days later. This will give him an overwhelming head of steam as the contest moves to — oh, wait.

Yes, the race moves south after a brief detour to Nevada (a caucus state where Clinton has a 3-2 lead in the two polls taken so far and heavy labor support). South Carolina kicks things off on February 27, quickly followed by the so-called SEC Primary (Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, and Virginia). Yes, four non-southern states (Alaska, Massachusetts, Minnesota, and Sanders's own Vermont) will also hold contests that day, but the southern states have nearly four times as many total delegates and will get the lion's share of attention. Michigan and Mississippi follow on March 8, and then, on March 15, Florida, Illinois, Missouri, North Carolina, and Ohio. What these March 8 and March 15 states share with the South is a relatively heavy presence of minority voters in Democratic primaries.

And therein lies Bernie's problem: a complete lack of any demonstrated ability to appeal to African-American and Latino voters, as compared to Hillary Clinton's long-standing ties to minority communities and their leaders."

37 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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K&R! stonecutter357 Feb 2016 #1
Hillary will be on a roll after NH, she will be collecting delegates at a faster rate than Sanders, Thinkingabout Feb 2016 #2
How awful of you to state objective truth Cary Feb 2016 #3
alerted Lil Missy Feb 2016 #4
LOL, I wouldn't be surprised still_one Feb 2016 #5
LOL! Nearly spat out my coffee, Lil Missy! eom BlueCaliDem Feb 2016 #7
You're wicked. Treant Feb 2016 #8
Stop it Lil Missy or you will be cleaning off my monitor! leftofcool Feb 2016 #22
Of the 49 remaining states, Sanders is ahead in only two of them. There's no.... George II Feb 2016 #6
Do Bernie's fans not know this already? Are they ignoring it because it's too "real" to contemplate? NurseJackie Feb 2016 #9
They are totally ignoring it ... LannyDeVaney Feb 2016 #11
I think they may believe a staff will be raised, the red sea will open, and all Hillary supporters still_one Feb 2016 #12
Well... if they're pinning all their hopes and dreams on those three states ... NurseJackie Feb 2016 #13
This. Treant Feb 2016 #14
The only remaining states where he has any chance of winning are NH an VT, with a total of... George II Feb 2016 #16
I like those numbers. Someone REALLY should tell Bernie's fans very soon ... NurseJackie Feb 2016 #18
Well, at one point late in the summer it was claimed. .... George II Feb 2016 #19
I'll bring the tissues... NurseJackie Feb 2016 #28
Well, Bernie has been compared to John the Baptist! leftofcool Feb 2016 #23
I guess you saw that movie also still_one Feb 2016 #26
They honestly believe he will magically win the nomination, despite evidence to the contrary. Lil Missy Feb 2016 #15
Bookmarked for bad days! JohnnyLib2 Feb 2016 #10
But, cornel west! Dissing President Obama.. surely that's gonna help! Cha Feb 2016 #17
Thanks Cha. This is exactly where he stands. I will save this information still_one Feb 2016 #20
You're welcome.. it's from The Obama Diary.. and they're pissed. Cha Feb 2016 #21
NC is here to undo the unthinkable if it happens. Tarheel_Dem Feb 2016 #24
Thank you North Carolina still_one Feb 2016 #25
Something very important is missing. If the enthusiasm of the youth for Bernie is real, and Jackie Wilson Said Feb 2016 #27
You do realize this is the Hillary group don't you? Go peddle your wares elsewhere still_one Feb 2016 #29
I thought I was being sincere and acknowledging her likely win. My post was in no way Jackie Wilson Said Feb 2016 #30
Your sarcasm was noted in your original post: "This assumes she wins, of course", along with your still_one Feb 2016 #31
Now wait, favorite group? Is that a mathematical condition based on how many posts? Jackie Wilson Said Feb 2016 #32
If so, then I apologize for thinking otherwise still_one Feb 2016 #33
That's cool...I was just looking at this Jackie Wilson Said Feb 2016 #34
I really am sorry I jumped at you. No excuse for what I did. However, the link you provided refers still_one Feb 2016 #35
The link I was trying to take you to was a Hillary person calling out the Bernie group alleging Jackie Wilson Said Feb 2016 #36
I understood your point still_one Feb 2016 #37
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