Hillary Clinton
Showing Original Post only (View all)This analysis was before the Iowa Primary, but it highlights why Hillary will be the nominee [View all]
regardless what happens in Iowa and NH:
http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2016/01/can-bernie-find-a-way-to-win-in-red-states.html
"Bernie Sanders's potential "path to the nomination" is obvious enough at its beginning: He needs to win or do better than expected in Iowa on February 1, then win New Hampshire eight days later. This will give him an overwhelming head of steam as the contest moves to oh, wait.
Yes, the race moves south after a brief detour to Nevada (a caucus state where Clinton has a 3-2 lead in the two polls taken so far and heavy labor support). South Carolina kicks things off on February 27, quickly followed by the so-called SEC Primary (Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, and Virginia). Yes, four non-southern states (Alaska, Massachusetts, Minnesota, and Sanders's own Vermont) will also hold contests that day, but the southern states have nearly four times as many total delegates and will get the lion's share of attention. Michigan and Mississippi follow on March 8, and then, on March 15, Florida, Illinois, Missouri, North Carolina, and Ohio. What these March 8 and March 15 states share with the South is a relatively heavy presence of minority voters in Democratic primaries.
And therein lies Bernie's problem: a complete lack of any demonstrated ability to appeal to African-American and Latino voters, as compared to Hillary Clinton's long-standing ties to minority communities and their leaders."