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Democratic Primaries

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bluewater

(5,376 posts)
Wed Mar 4, 2020, 12:04 PM Mar 2020

Bluewater told us all those states with so many Black voters would matter. [View all]

Yes, I am pointing out how right I was.



Remember YESTERDAY when I pointed this out:

=============================================
If Biden can't win Super Tuesday, He won't win the 2020 Nomination
The reason?

Super Tuesday is heavy in states with a very large percentage of African American voters, Biden's core of support:

Alabama 28% of state residents are African Americans
North Carolina 24%
Virginia 21%
Tennessee 18%
Arkansas 17%
Texas 14%


Oklahoma, California and Minnesota also have significant African American populations:

Oklahoma 9%
California 8%
Minnesota 8%


https://blackdemographics.com/population/black-state-population/

That is 9 of the 15 jurisdictions holding primaries on Super Tuesday.

If Biden cannot win on Super Tuesday where 9 of the 15 jurisdictions have large percentages of African American voters, well, he simply can't win the nomination.
===================================================


It seems I called all those states with large African American voter numbers correctly. Yep, little old Bluewater actually looked at the demographics and saw pretty much how Super Tuesday was going to play out.

I pointed out that Biden has no excuse not to win the most delegates on Super Tuesday because so many of the primaries had large black electorates. Throw in Sanders and Warren splitting the vote in Massachusetts, and the result were in line with what I expected.

And, as the race collapsed to a two person matchup, what did we see? Um, A close race for delegates?


So, like everyone else, I am waiting for the final California numbers to see who actually won Super tuesday.

But what about the race going forward? I expect it to be a close hard fought struggle:





Time will Tell.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
64 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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tHe rESulTs aRE WhAT tHe rESulTs aRE. Tarheel_Dem Mar 2020 #1
And we don't know what the results are yet. No final delegate counts. bluewater Mar 2020 #3
If Kornacki's math is correct, the next round of primaries will favor Biden immensely, and.... Tarheel_Dem Mar 2020 #20
Oh My GoSh!! awesomerwb1 Mar 2020 #5
That's been replaced with HarlanPepper Mar 2020 #11
⏰⏱⏲ nt zackymilly Mar 2020 #16
Someone has mastered the art of goalpost moving. Ain't it grand? Tarheel_Dem Mar 2020 #25
LOL Seems some people are upset that I was right YESTERDAY. The Black electorate was the key. bluewater Mar 2020 #34
"tIMe wILL tELL"!!!! Tarheel_Dem Mar 2020 #35
Where did you predict the result? Midnightwalk Mar 2020 #37
Um, I think I explained EXTENSIVELY why I thought Biden was the favorite on Super Tuesday. bluewater Mar 2020 #41
Nope that's not a prediction Midnightwalk Mar 2020 #42
Nice strawman (argument) you got there. lol bluewater Mar 2020 #43
"That's not what I'd call an amazing prediction." And you would be right. 👌 Tarheel_Dem Mar 2020 #48
Yup yup... we'll see who gets the last laugh! Something tells me it'll be Bennie and HIS supporters! InAbLuEsTaTe Mar 2020 #55
Because it wasnt squirecam Mar 2020 #58
next round of primaries have same or near same demographics, beachbumbob Mar 2020 #2
The same in all the past elections. LakeArenal Mar 2020 #4
Oh come on Hav Mar 2020 #6
Otherwise known as a fail. A great big fail. HarlanPepper Mar 2020 #10
lol the facts are what the facts are. The Black voters made ALL the difference last night. bluewater Mar 2020 #14
Credit where credit is Due. Bluewater called this correctly. HeartlandProgressive Mar 2020 #7
Oh god, now in the third person HarlanPepper Mar 2020 #8
Shameless self promotioanl NEUROMARKETING clickbait, baby! bluewater Mar 2020 #12
You've nailed the entertaining part HarlanPepper Mar 2020 #13
lol Good old Bluewater nailed the importance of the Black electorate. bluewater Mar 2020 #15
I admit it...damn your eyes (kidding). Demsrule86 Mar 2020 #18
+100000 Demsrule86 Mar 2020 #22
ROFL greenjar_01 Mar 2020 #9
You are smarter than me bluewater,I mean I knew about the Black vote and all but I was worried going Demsrule86 Mar 2020 #17
But who actually won Super Tuesday? And by how much? bluewater Mar 2020 #19
I say Biden by about 50...based on Kornacki...but I think by the time we know, we will have moved on Demsrule86 Mar 2020 #21
And with a volatile electorate, wild swings seem to be common this year. bluewater Mar 2020 #23
I would be lying if I said I had any idea what will happen...I know what I want to happen...and I Demsrule86 Mar 2020 #26
The so called "Halo Effect" will play a huge role going forward. bluewater Mar 2020 #32
I agree with what you say...but the coming states are not good states for Sanders.... Demsrule86 Mar 2020 #36
I recall you saying that Biden would have to spin the outcome onenote Mar 2020 #24
+++ still_one Mar 2020 #27
The final results are not even in and yet people are "spinning" for Joe bluewater Mar 2020 #28
In my defense, I would say one thing. If you look, I have said more than once that our Demsrule86 Mar 2020 #38
x1000, onenote! peggysue2 Mar 2020 #29
Actually if it wasn't for Bloomberg, Biden very likely would have won California. Just look at the still_one Mar 2020 #31
and Buttigieg's late exit NCProgressive Mar 2020 #46
jOe BiDeN wOn NCProgressive Mar 2020 #30
Great! share that link to fthe final delegate totals please! There is one, right? bluewater Mar 2020 #33
I'm prescient ... no need for a link. NCProgressive Mar 2020 #44
. bluewater Mar 2020 #49
You know. ismnotwasm Mar 2020 #39
"This was simply an expectation. Not a prediction." bluewater Mar 2020 #40
Who was arguing with you though ismnotwasm Mar 2020 #45
Who brought up "arguing"? bluewater Mar 2020 #47
Ok, I'm still confused ismnotwasm Mar 2020 #52
Well, people YESTERDAY certainly did. Here, look at that thread. bluewater Mar 2020 #54
Because in my view, as I said well...let me rephrase this ismnotwasm Mar 2020 #56
"I don't know why people would dispute it" and yet, amazingly enough, people did. ;) bluewater Mar 2020 #57
Should have been favored? ismnotwasm Mar 2020 #59
I am sorry to hear that you think this forum is "awful" bluewater Mar 2020 #60
You do? ismnotwasm Mar 2020 #62
Bluewater for the win! HeartlandProgressive Mar 2020 #63
it takes no genius to point out what everybody already knows :-) nt msongs Mar 2020 #50
Where is the fun in not showcasing one's brilliant mind to all of DU? NCProgressive Mar 2020 #51
lol Funny how when I posted this YESTERDAY, so many people here disagreed. bluewater Mar 2020 #53
Mama warned me of people that talk in the third person. William769 Mar 2020 #61
It's NEUROMARKETING, baby! bluewater Mar 2020 #64
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