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Democratic Primaries
Showing Original Post only (View all)Bluewater told us all those states with so many Black voters would matter. [View all]
Yes, I am pointing out how right I was.
Remember YESTERDAY when I pointed this out:
=============================================
If Biden can't win Super Tuesday, He won't win the 2020 Nomination
The reason?
Super Tuesday is heavy in states with a very large percentage of African American voters, Biden's core of support:
Alabama 28% of state residents are African Americans
North Carolina 24%
Virginia 21%
Tennessee 18%
Arkansas 17%
Texas 14%
Alabama 28% of state residents are African Americans
North Carolina 24%
Virginia 21%
Tennessee 18%
Arkansas 17%
Texas 14%
Oklahoma, California and Minnesota also have significant African American populations:
Oklahoma 9%
California 8%
Minnesota 8%
Oklahoma 9%
California 8%
Minnesota 8%
https://blackdemographics.com/population/black-state-population/
That is 9 of the 15 jurisdictions holding primaries on Super Tuesday.
If Biden cannot win on Super Tuesday where 9 of the 15 jurisdictions have large percentages of African American voters, well, he simply can't win the nomination.
===================================================
It seems I called all those states with large African American voter numbers correctly. Yep, little old Bluewater actually looked at the demographics and saw pretty much how Super Tuesday was going to play out.
I pointed out that Biden has no excuse not to win the most delegates on Super Tuesday because so many of the primaries had large black electorates. Throw in Sanders and Warren splitting the vote in Massachusetts, and the result were in line with what I expected.
And, as the race collapsed to a two person matchup, what did we see? Um, A close race for delegates?
So, like everyone else, I am waiting for the final California numbers to see who actually won Super tuesday.
But what about the race going forward? I expect it to be a close hard fought struggle:
Link to tweet
Time will Tell.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
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Bluewater told us all those states with so many Black voters would matter. [View all]
bluewater
Mar 2020
OP
If Kornacki's math is correct, the next round of primaries will favor Biden immensely, and....
Tarheel_Dem
Mar 2020
#20
LOL Seems some people are upset that I was right YESTERDAY. The Black electorate was the key.
bluewater
Mar 2020
#34
Um, I think I explained EXTENSIVELY why I thought Biden was the favorite on Super Tuesday.
bluewater
Mar 2020
#41
"That's not what I'd call an amazing prediction." And you would be right. 👌
Tarheel_Dem
Mar 2020
#48
Yup yup... we'll see who gets the last laugh! Something tells me it'll be Bennie and HIS supporters!
InAbLuEsTaTe
Mar 2020
#55
lol the facts are what the facts are. The Black voters made ALL the difference last night.
bluewater
Mar 2020
#14
You are smarter than me bluewater,I mean I knew about the Black vote and all but I was worried going
Demsrule86
Mar 2020
#17
I say Biden by about 50...based on Kornacki...but I think by the time we know, we will have moved on
Demsrule86
Mar 2020
#21
I would be lying if I said I had any idea what will happen...I know what I want to happen...and I
Demsrule86
Mar 2020
#26
I agree with what you say...but the coming states are not good states for Sanders....
Demsrule86
Mar 2020
#36
In my defense, I would say one thing. If you look, I have said more than once that our
Demsrule86
Mar 2020
#38
Actually if it wasn't for Bloomberg, Biden very likely would have won California. Just look at the
still_one
Mar 2020
#31
Great! share that link to fthe final delegate totals please! There is one, right?
bluewater
Mar 2020
#33
"I don't know why people would dispute it" and yet, amazingly enough, people did. ;)
bluewater
Mar 2020
#57