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2016 Postmortem

Coyotl

(15,262 posts)

17. That's how many unadjusted exit polls were shown election night

Reply to Takket (Reply #9)

Wed Dec 7, 2016, 03:00 PM

Dec 2016

Last edited Thu Dec 8, 2016, 11:28 AM - Edit history (2)

There were exit polls in only 29 states, I believe. All the battleground states and states with Senate races. This is a change from past elections, when all states were polled.

The number of respondents varies by state, the battleground is reliable and the less contested states have far fewer respondents, both in exit polls and pre-election pooling. Note in the comparative graph above how close the polls are to each other in the battleground states. Again, what are the odds that dozens of averaged polls and the exit polls are all wrong and the election results are true? Astronomical. Billions to one this is not the result of randomness.

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U.S. 2016 Unadjusted Exit Poll Discrepancies Fit Political, not Statistical, Patterns [View all] Coyotl Dec 2016 OP

Bookmarking! Thanks! Madam45for2923 Dec 2016 #1

Bookmarking underpants Dec 2016 #2

Still don't get this - at 8pm Nov 8 in PA, there were 2613 respondents, and HRC is up. jmg257 Dec 2016 #3

I wish I could understand this stuff. Pacifist Patriot Dec 2016 #4

he's showing a probability dome Takket Dec 2016 #10

You lost me at "probability dome" Pacifist Patriot Dec 2016 #14

good analogy triron Dec 2016 #15

Are those states falling outside of confidence level Voter Suppression states? tia uponit7771 Dec 2016 #19

That hardly matters since the exit polls survey only voters. Coyotl Dec 2016 #23

"This means that if the election were held 100 times" should be if the poll were conducted 100x Coyotl Dec 2016 #22

Looks like presidency + 2 or 3 senate seats stolen. triron Dec 2016 #5

Yes! This! Madam45for2923 Dec 2016 #13

Exactly, just enough to alter the balance of power, and in just the right places too. Coyotl Dec 2016 #24

knr triron Dec 2016 #6

KnR! Madam45for2923 Dec 2016 #7

K & R Coyotl Dec 2016 #8

why are only 28 states shown in figure 1? Takket Dec 2016 #9

I believe that is all the states triron Dec 2016 #11

That's how many unadjusted exit polls were shown election night Coyotl Dec 2016 #17

The evidence that might show up would probably be in the voting machines triron Dec 2016 #12

Enough of the circular firing squad flamingdem Dec 2016 #16

+1, Comey, Voter suppression, Russia... uponit7771 Dec 2016 #20

you got it right triron Dec 2016 #21

knr triron Dec 2016 #18

Edit: "... Unadjusted Exit Poll Discrepancies Fit Chronic Republican Vote-Count Rigging ..." Coyotl Dec 2016 #25

knr triron Dec 2016 #27

"unexplained increases" Republican chicanery against America Achilleaze Dec 2016 #26