2016 Postmortem

Happydayz

(112 posts)

47. I wouldn't put too much stock in NC

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 04:20 PM

Nov 2012

I was just looking at the 2008 results in NC and Obama barely won by the skin of his teeth. But he had a decent size victory in OH. I think we have a better shot in VA over NC. But of course it would be nice to win NC, I'm just not going to get my hopes up because we barely won it last time.

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Its all about North Carolina and not Ohio. [View all] grantcart Nov 2012 OP

Pick up VA SLCLiberal Nov 2012 #1

I Agree. SingleSeatBiggerMeat Nov 2012 #3

+1 K8-EEE Nov 2012 #10

Reports are the lines in NOVA and Richmond are huge obamanut2012 Nov 2012 #18

Richmond proper, Henrico east are blue ItsTheMediaStupid Nov 2012 #37

That's why I said Richmond obamanut2012 Nov 2012 #41

Only two areas in Northern Virginia (Alexandria and Arlington) are guaranteed blue Mike Daniels Nov 2012 #44

Yes! emulatorloo Nov 2012 #32

That's the state I'll keep a wary eye on also. n/t reflection Nov 2012 #34

I agree Renew Deal Nov 2012 #35

if ohio is solid, NC does not matter. nt seabeyond Nov 2012 #2

It is possible that the number of provisional ballots in Ohio may be grantcart Nov 2012 #6

Every state matters - NC goes Obama, the house of representatives ItsTheMediaStupid Nov 2012 #38

I am having the weirdest election day ever in Charlotte. wildeyed Nov 2012 #4

I don't think NC is in play... regnaD kciN Nov 2012 #5

Gravis agrees with you but PPP has had it as a toss up for months. grantcart Nov 2012 #7

yes, amborin Nov 2012 #11

PPP leans Dem? really who says so? grantcart Nov 2012 #19

Yes and Clinton and Michelle were in NC yesterday, right? speedoo Nov 2012 #13

And, the Mitt robocalls and TV ads have been insane here obamanut2012 Nov 2012 #20

SurveyUsa agrees with him too Welcome_hubby Nov 2012 #39

lol and 4 other surveys after SurveyUSA had it tied or at one point grantcart Nov 2012 #40

My point is that polls shouldn't be cherrypicked Welcome_hubby Nov 2012 #42

Gravis is the one that has pulled Silvers ratings to a lock on NC grantcart Nov 2012 #43

The "Fired Up" woman mentioned in Obama's speech flamingdem Nov 2012 #8

Nate Silver gives Romney a 74% chace of winning NC. But he has changed Florida to Maraya1969 Nov 2012 #9

Nate had NC at 85% for R/R last week obamanut2012 Nov 2012 #21

He also gives Gravis, the pollster who has pulled his NC numbers way to the right, grantcart Nov 2012 #22

Not sure the one stop registration/voting at the same time Lex Nov 2012 #29

NC will go to Romney Filibuster Harry Nov 2012 #12

+1 Phx_Dem Nov 2012 #17

well Gravis agrees with you but even Gravis has shifted its numbers 5 points to the left grantcart Nov 2012 #24

I will rest easy if Virginia goes blue. OKNancy Nov 2012 #14

If NC goes Obama TexasCPA Nov 2012 #15

I don't think Romney can win by a few points here obamanut2012 Nov 2012 #16

NC is going blue. We will do this. mnhtnbb Nov 2012 #23

Well a number of people on this thread disagree with you citing Nate Silver. grantcart Nov 2012 #26

I sure as hell hope math wins! mnhtnbb Nov 2012 #46

Me too! Lex Nov 2012 #49

NC has a chance because of the amazing effort of Dems and OFA marions ghost Nov 2012 #27

Come on NC! Vote! LisaL Nov 2012 #30

Virginia will tell us how the night is going to go. pointsoflight Nov 2012 #25

I agree. Lex Nov 2012 #31

Ya JiminyJominy Nov 2012 #28

Virginia is important... virgdem Nov 2012 #33

Think of it as PsychProfessor Nov 2012 #36

I just looked at three different damnedifIknow Nov 2012 #45

I wouldn't put too much stock in NC Happydayz Nov 2012 #47

the folks that aren't putting "too much stock" in NC grantcart Nov 2012 #48