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2016 Postmortem

demwing

(16,916 posts)

12. New Votes v. Early Votes

Reply to grantcart (Reply #11)

Sun Oct 28, 2012, 06:16 PM

Oct 2012

you're spot on. If Rs move votes from the 6th to now, that's not an increase. If Dems are getting new votes to the polls during the early vote period, it should erase any lead Rmoney has in any polls.

It's the turnout, not the timing

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Highlight:

10/27 Update on early voting NC and IA, good news, not great, and possibly great hard numbers. [View all] grantcart Oct 2012 OP

As far as Iowa goes... CoffeeCat Oct 2012 #1

NPR had a good story about satellite voting, and how the Dems were running circles around the Reps grantcart Oct 2012 #3

NC is doing great so far. LisaL Oct 2012 #2

Go Obama! Get out the vote and win this thing! Kteachums Oct 2012 #4

Thank you so much for these detailed updates. David Zephyr Oct 2012 #5

thank you grantcart Oct 2012 #8

grantcart, thanks for your post We need to keep kicked goclark Nov 2012 #13

That's actually GREAT news!!! demwing Oct 2012 #6

another way to look at this demwing Oct 2012 #7

Where did we have a 267,132 vote margin? onenote Nov 2012 #24

The issue comes down to whether or not Romney votes are McCain voters or grantcart Oct 2012 #11

New Votes v. Early Votes demwing Oct 2012 #12

I'm not following your math. onenote Nov 2012 #23

Really appreciate these posts. beac Oct 2012 #9

thanks grantcart Oct 2012 #10

great post! Sorry, I have a dumb question: faithfulcitizen Nov 2012 #14

We know who has voted but we don't know how they voted. grantcart Nov 2012 #15

ok, that's what I thought...thanks so much for the education! faithfulcitizen Nov 2012 #16

What do you mean 'good evidence' that Romney is shuffling one stack to another? What evidence? blue-kite Nov 2012 #17

That's what the links are for. If you want the indepth discussion, go there grantcart Nov 2012 #18

txs grantcart...k and r goclark Nov 2012 #20

Shouldn't Obama be leading Colorado? TroyD Nov 2012 #19

Yeah, polls have swung toward Obama in Colorado this week VirginiaTarheel Nov 2012 #25

Here is the update from yesterday's early voting chapel hill dem Nov 2012 #21

understand and thanks grantcart Nov 2012 #22