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2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: Am I correct that Hillary needs to take 67% of the rest of the delegates to secure the nomination? [View all]onenote
(42,714 posts)66. which means, by your definition, 2008 was an "open" convention
Of course, no one ever referred to the 2008 convention as an open convention even though Obama, while having a majority of pledged delegates, did not have enough delegates to "win the nomination outright."
So as a technical matter, yes, 2383 is the number needed to win the nomination. But as a practical matter, the candidate with the majority of the pledged delegates is the presumptive nominee going into the convention. The only issue will be whether Sanders follows the Clinton 2008 approach and steps aside before the convention or insists on a state-by-state roll call that, absent the intervention of some outside event, will result in Clinton getting the nomination.
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Am I correct that Hillary needs to take 67% of the rest of the delegates to secure the nomination? [View all]
boomer55
Apr 2016
OP
Barring something earth shattering, yes. Supers are either irrelevant or undemocratic and should
morningfog
Apr 2016
#32
Thanks for pointing that out. I don't rememer how the election 8 years ago went
Unicorn
Apr 2016
#39
This isn't close at all. Hillary has a huge lead, and with proportional delegates in every state
Lucinda
Apr 2016
#41
You are incorrect about 2008. Hillary conceded and still a third of the supers stuck with her.
morningfog
Apr 2016
#10
She needs 175% of the remaining delegates, and Sanders needs just one delegate.
Buzz Clik
Apr 2016
#7
2,383 is the number. She likely won't hit that until the supers vote at the convention.
morningfog
Apr 2016
#26
Receiving enough earned delegates to win nomination outright will be difficult for her.
pa28
Apr 2016
#12
Hillary needs 67% of remaining pledged delegates to secure 2,383 through PDs alone.
morningfog
Apr 2016
#23
I don't think that' exactly true. She needs those delegate to go from a plurality to a majority.
HereSince1628
Apr 2016
#38