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fedsron2us

(2,863 posts)
23. UKIP are not going to be winning any Parliamentary seats
Fri May 3, 2013, 12:15 PM
May 2013

Last edited Fri May 3, 2013, 01:01 PM - Edit history (4)

anytime soon but they are going to take enough of the vote particularly from the Tories to make it well nigh impossible for them to win a General Election. The thing I noted about UKIP around here was that they have put in some ground work contesting all local by-elections right down to parish level, were reasonably well organised and appear to have targeted the seats which they won. I don't think their victory is going to be a flash in the pan and unless they make a complete lash up of it I expect them to repeat the performance by taking District Council seats from the Tories and Liberal Democrats in next years local election. BTW the wards UKIP won round here are not historically True Blue in the way that some more rural Sussex areas vote. This part of the Sussex Coast was a Liberal Democrat stronghold in the 1980s and 1990s when they ran all the local District Councils. If people are assuming that it is just blue rinse Tories voting for UKIP then they are not really paying attention.

Oxfordshire County Council are up this year LeftishBrit Apr 2013 #1
Good chance that Thatcher clone Linda Arkley will be beaten in North Tyneside non sociopath skin Apr 2013 #2
Waverley Borough is up this time too. mwooldri Apr 2013 #3
Buckinghamshire - 'nuff said tjwmason Apr 2013 #4
Significant UKIP rise here tjwmason May 2013 #26
The Tories seems certain to hold Hampshire muriel_volestrangler Apr 2013 #5
In addition to the "nutter UKIP found in a pub" tendency.... T_i_B Apr 2013 #6
The Tories held Hampshire, but UKIP gained - from Lib Dems as well as Cons muriel_volestrangler May 2013 #14
The elections are this week T_i_B Apr 2013 #7
Quite a lot of Labour and Green campaigning in my ward; almost none from other parties LeftishBrit Apr 2013 #8
The ward I live in is a Tory one T_i_B Apr 2013 #9
Labour and the Lib Dems campaigning hard here in SE Northumberland non sociopath skin Apr 2013 #10
Be very careful about abolishing an elected mayor T_i_B May 2013 #12
Hartlepool has done just that and seems relieved. No more Monkey Business! non sociopath skin May 2013 #17
Peter Davies is no longer Mayor of Doncaster! T_i_B May 2013 #22
The Tories are worried about UKIP here on the coast in West Sussex fedsron2us May 2013 #11
Some updates T_i_B May 2013 #13
Ding Dong The Witch Is Dead! non sociopath skin May 2013 #16
Just had a look at the results in Essex to get an idea of that. T_i_B May 2013 #18
Good news - though how did North Tyneside ever get a Tory Mayor in the first place? LeftishBrit May 2013 #24
See post 17 above non sociopath skin May 2013 #27
Another quality candidate from UKIP - spending 6 months in Thailand muriel_volestrangler May 2013 #15
Maybe he should team up with Mark Sanford. LeftishBrit May 2013 #42
UKIP are polling about a quarter of all the votes cast fedsron2us May 2013 #19
There seem to have been a lot of regional variations. non sociopath skin May 2013 #20
Regional variations that make analysis extremely difficult muriel_volestrangler May 2013 #21
UKIP are not going to be winning any Parliamentary seats fedsron2us May 2013 #23
I'm in Herts dipsydoodle May 2013 #28
You're doing a good job in staying away from UKIP fans muriel_volestrangler May 2013 #29
Bishops Stortford dipsydoodle May 2013 #30
This message was self-deleted by its author T_i_B May 2013 #31
9 more, actually (I think you were looking at the figures I gave for Hants) muriel_volestrangler May 2013 #33
The Tories lost overall control in Oxfordshire! LeftishBrit May 2013 #25
Derbyshire went Labour T_i_B May 2013 #34
Anyone any idea of turnout? The King of Prussia May 2013 #32
The turnout was in the region of about 30% fedsron2us May 2013 #38
So my Primary School maths tells me The King of Prussia May 2013 #39
You can hardly blame British voters for not turning up at the polls fedsron2us May 2013 #40
Not the voters' fault The King of Prussia May 2013 #41
Probably the lowest percentage of the electorate to get elected: 5.6% muriel_volestrangler May 2013 #43
This was my local result in a Watford council ward. dipsydoodle May 2013 #35
Well, if you're in Watford we'd best not mention the football. T_i_B May 2013 #36
Yes dipsydoodle May 2013 #37
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