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In reply to the discussion: Romney, GOP Groups Pull Ads From Michigan and Pennsylvania [View all]BlueStreak
(8,377 posts)He has already bailed out on Pennsylvania. If he concedes Michigan too, it becomes very difficult. He has great Jim Crow stuff working for him in Florida and Ohio, although the Florida voter purge is likely to be stopped by the courts, and the courts have already stopped the attempt in Ohio to restrict early voting in democratic counties (while allowing it in Republican counties). If Obama wins NV and CO as is likely, that leaves basically one scenario for Romney. He has to take ALL FIVE of the beige states in the map linked below: Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, Ohio, and Wisconsin. And Virginia is very unlikely -- if he can't win Virginia, then he has to win BOTH Colorado plus either Nevada or Iowa. It is not mathematically impossible, but he cannot take any more states off the board and still win.
http://www.270towin.com/2012_election_predictions.php?mapid=wpA