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General Discussion

angrychair

(8,702 posts) Sat Mar 23, 2024, 03:12 PM Mar 23

Polling isn't just wrong. It's broken. Two polls, by two different organizations, taken in the same time frame, one says Biden +21 with 18-34 yr olds and the other says Trump +12 with 18-34 yr olds.

I would take any polling, in our favor or not, with a hefty grain of salt.
https://www.threads.net/@mollyjongfast/post/C43SiLwuXOX/?xmt=AQGzor8oErJTBMSzdVdZhcAfFJHCbWFbMUfQBFAX8E0cdA

31 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Polling isn't off. It's wrong. [View all] angrychair Mar 23 OP

This message was self-deleted by its author LetMyPeopleVote Mar 23 #1

Polling tells us nothing. So do approval ratings. wryter2000 Mar 23 #2

News media was suffering financially angrychair Mar 23 #6

Then what about this? WarGamer Mar 23 #4

Without having seen the polls in question, my guess is Fiendish Thingy Mar 23 #7

Good point... WarGamer Mar 23 #11

I'm saying all polls angrychair Mar 23 #9

yeah... that makes sense. WarGamer Mar 23 #10

Always read the methodology and cross tabs Fiendish Thingy Mar 23 #5

Good Explanation! ProfessorGAC Mar 23 #8

Me, too. ShazzieB Mar 23 #16

I have tried to explain "reweighting" to people Phoenix61 Mar 23 #20

Reweighting isn't part of basic statistics Fiendish Thingy Mar 23 #25

My point was if you don't understand a random sample Phoenix61 Mar 23 #27

Indeed Fiendish Thingy Mar 23 #30

I'm sure there's a premium on pollsters selling the media.... Think. Again. Mar 23 #13

None of that proves polling is wrong. All Mixed Up Mar 23 #14

They are mostly garbage. NoMoreRepugs Mar 23 #17

Pollsters... GiqueCee Mar 23 #18

My favorite example of a loaded question is... Phoenix61 Mar 23 #21

BINGO! GiqueCee Mar 23 #22

Many younger participants aren't even reading many of the questions... EarthFirst Mar 23 #24

It's also irrelevant at this point in an election year Warpy Mar 23 #19

We DUers live in what I would call Mr.Bill Mar 23 #23

They can all poll my finger. nt miyazaki Mar 23 #26

If the polls overall are NOT off, wrong, or broken and Trump wins elocs Mar 23 #28

I think the polling is wrong. DontBelieveEastisEas Mar 23 #29