jayschool2013
jayschool2013's JournalU.S. Projects Summer Spike in Infections if Stay-At-Home Orders Are Lifted
Source: New York Times
Stay-at-home orders, school closures and social distancing greatly reduce infections of the coronavirus, but lifting those restrictions after just 30 days will lead to a dramatic infection spike this summer and death tolls that would rival doing nothing, government projections indicate.
The projections obtained by The New York Times come from the departments of Homeland Security and Health and Human Services. The models use three scenarios. The first has policymakers doing nothing to mitigate the spread of the coronavirus. The second, labeled “steady state,” assumes schools remain closed until summer, 25 percent of Americans telework from home, and some social distancing continues. The third scenario includes a 30-day shelter in place, on top of those “steady state” restrictions.
The documents, dated April 9, contain no dates for when shelter in places orders were delivered nor do they contain specific dates for when spikes would hit. The risk they show of easing shelter-in-place orders currently in effect in most of the country undercut recent statements by President Trump that the United States could be ready to reopen “very, very soon.”
The model foresees a bump in the demand for ventilators — considered a stand-in for serious Covid-19 infection rates — 30 days after stay-at-home orders are issued, a major spike in infections about 100 days after, and peaking 150 days after the initial order. (Assuming further shelter-in-place policies are not implemented to reduce future peaks.)
Read more: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/10/us/coronavirus-updates-usa.html
Oy.
Giuliani, a familiar voice in Trump's ear, promotes experimental coronavirus treatments
Source: Washington Post
Rudolph W. Giuliani, who was in the center of the impeachment storm earlier this year as an unpaid private attorney for President Trump, has cast himself in a new role: as personal science adviser to a president eager to find ways to short circuit the coronavirus epidemic.
In one-on-one phone calls with Trump, Giuliani said, he has been touting the use of an anti-malarial drug cocktail that has shown some early promise in treating covid-19, but whose effectiveness has not yet been proved. He said he now spends his days on the phone with doctors, coronavirus patients and hospital executives promoting the treatment, which Trump has also publicly lauded.
“I discussed it with the president after he talked about it,” Giuliani said in an interview. “I told him what I had on the drugs.”
(CUT)
The White House did not respond to a request for comment about the president’s conversations with Giuliani.
Read more: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/giuliani-a-familiar-voice-in-trumps-ear-promotes-experimental-coronavirus-treatments/2020/04/05/d4b3b56a-7438-11ea-85cb-8670579b863d_story.html
Oy.
Austin American-Statesman: "My job was to cover the coronavirus pandemic, until I became part of it"
From a journalist working and living in Texas.I know how to prepare for a disaster.
My first job as a photojournalist was in Florida, where on top of weathering hurricanes, I covered them. When the coronavirus began to get close to the United States, I thought I was ready. I had food, medicine and first-aid kits to get me through.
But nothing could have prepared me for the pandemic we’re now experiencing, including my own positive COVID-19 test.
A lot of people are blaming us, the media, saying we’re creating panic out of nothing. But that’s not true. This is a real crisis that is affecting the entire world. People tend not to believe what is really happening out there until they have someone close to them suffering the consequences. I wanted to share my story as a journalist and a human to show no one is exempt from this.
28 Texas Students Have Coronavirus After Spring Break Trip
Source: New York Times
A group of about 70 students from the University of Texas at Austin celebrated spring break in Mexico, but returned to find that 28 had tested positive. Dozens more are being monitored.
AUSTIN — Two weeks ago, amid the global coronavirus pandemic, about 70 students from the University of Texas at Austin partied in Mexico on spring break. The students, all in their 20s, flew on a chartered plane to Cabo San Lucas, and some returned on separate commercial flights to Texas.
Now, 28 of them have tested positive for the virus and are self-isolating. Dozens more are under quarantine and are being monitored and tested, university officials said Wednesday.
The Austin outbreak is the latest to result from a group of college students who ignored social-distancing guidelines, went on traditional spring break trips and have now tested positive for the coronavirus. Many of them appeared to be under the mistaken impression that young people were not as vulnerable to the coronavirus as older people. Students at the University of Tampa, the University of Wisconsin at Madison and other colleges have tested positive after returning from spring break trips to Florida, Alabama, Tennessee and elsewhere.
Read more: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/01/us/coronavirus-texas-austin-spring-break-cabo.html
Oy.
Trump Calls for U.S. to Be Open 'by Easter'
Source: New York Times
RIGHT NOW
President Trump said he wants the United States "raring to go" by Easter, less than three weeks away, a goal that top health professionals have called far too quick.
Even as nations from Britain to India declare nationwide economic lockdowns, President Trump said he "would love to have the country opened up, and just raring to go, by Easter," less than three weeks away, a goal that top health professionals have called far too quick.
"I think it's possible, why not?" he said with a shrug.
Participating in a town hall hosted by Fox News, Mr. Trump and Vice President Mike Pence said on Tuesday that such a step has never been under consideration for the United States.
Read more: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/24/world/coronavirus-updates-maps.html
Oy.
So now I know someone
My 23-year-old niece has tested positive for the coronavirus.
She was teaching English in the Basque region of Spain, and flew home Monday to her family in Florida. She immediately exhibited symptoms and, because she was in Florida, she was tested within a day. We learned tonight that she's positive. Her symptoms remain mild, and she's resting.
Soon, we'll all know someone.
Dow set to open with decline of 1,300 points after markets crater
Source: NBC News
Wall Street is preparing for a bloodbath on Monday, after oil prices cratered by 30 percent overnight, pushing all three major averages to declines of around 5 percent and adding stress to an economy already feeling intense pressure from the coronavirus epidemic.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average looked set to open down by 1,300 points on Monday morning, with trading on the S&P 500 halted overnight after hitting critical levels that triggered a "circuit-breaker," which prevents further losses.
Investors took shelter in safe havens, pushing gold to a seven-year high and pushing the 10-year Treasury yield to an all-time historic low of 0.3 percent by early morning.
The sell-off comes as fears mount that the viral outbreak will further disrupt supply chains, travel, and production around the world.
Read more: https://www.nbcnews.com/business/markets/dow-set-open-decline-1-300-points-oil-war-adds-n1152941
Oy.
Southern Californians Are Receiving GOP Mailers That Look Like Census Forms
Source: LAist
Throughout Southern California, residents are getting mailers from the Republican National Committee that look an awful lot like official Census 2020 forms, setting off alarm bells for Congressional Democrats.
The RNC mailers are labeled as "2020 Congressional District Census" and include a questionnaire and urgent instructions: "When you are finished answering your Census Document, please return it within the next 7 days to ensure accurate tabulation and dependable results."
But they are not census documents — in fact, households won't begin receiving official U.S. Census Bureau mail until March.
Both U.S. Reps. Gil Cisneros, D-Yorba Linda, and Katie Porter, D-Irvine have warned constituents to read the fine print: At the end of the questionnaire, it says the mailer was paid for by the RNC, and provides information on how to make a contribution.
Read more: https://laist.com/2020/02/21/census_gop_republican_national_committee_mailers_confusion.php
Chaos?
I'm tired of the characterization of the caucus process as chaos.
Yes, the caucus process is unreasonably complicated and hard to understand if you aren't part of it.
And yes, we should move to a simpler primary as soon as 2024. No doubt about it. More people need to be involved.
But I'll draw this analogy:
Football is an unreasonably complicated game and hard to understand if you aren't a fan or part of it.
But football isn't chaos. It's highly choreographed but also unpredictable. That's what we have.
So for Brian Williams and Claire McCaskill to call our caucus process "chaos," they clearly don't get it.
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