BlueMTexpat
BlueMTexpat's JournalAnd for all of the hype in that article about
the "newbies," the writer didn't bother to confirm whether those prospective Bernie voters were actually registered Democrats.
That matters in NY, with its closed primary.
Who will win the battle of Brooklyn?
This is a Good Read for both candidates, IMO. But rather than post it where it will no doubt get dumped on, I choose to post it here.
https://www.bostonglobe.com/news/nation/2016/04/02/new-york-showdown-between-hillary-clinton-and-bernie-sanders-will-personal/aUtjf879UES7uvB9oLtiZL/story.html
The fact that both candidates decided to plant their offices here highlights how neatly Brooklyn works as a microcosm of the Democratic electorate and reveals the difficulty that the eventual nominee will have uniting the factions.
Theres little evidence that Sanders is making large inroads with the blacks, Hispanics, or business leaders who have flocked to various Brooklyn neighborhoods in the five decades since he left.
But equally, the young idealists who fill the edgier parts of this borough and are injecting new energy into the Democratic Party arent particularly eager to embrace Clinton, who doesnt seem to them to be in vanguard of much of anything.
Hillary Clinton Receives A Standing Ovation At ‘Black Girls Rock’
http://www.vibe.com/2016/04/hillary-clinton-black-girls-rock/The Democratic frontrunner, and former Secretary of State was welcomed to the stage by a standing ovation. The entire world knows what you know, and that is, black girls rock!, Clinton said.
Hillary Clinton Makes Republicans Tremble By Taking Out Trump And Cruz In A Single Swoop
During an interview on Meet The Press, Hillary Clinton demonstrated why Republicans fear her by taking out Donald Trump and Ted Cruz in a single swoop.http://www.politicususa.com/2016/04/03/hillary-clinton-republicans-tremble-trump-cruz-single-swoop.html
The article describes her interview and then ends with this:
Secondly, Clinton was able to use Trump as a weapon to take down Ted Cruz. Republicans are portraying the choice between Trump and Cruz as a contrast, whereas Hillary Clinton is telling voters that they are two sides of the same coin. The Trump damage has already been done, so unless Republicans dump both Trump and Cruz at the convention, former Sec. of State Clinton is ready.
Trump and Cruz are so far to the right that Clinton is going to be able to appeal to the left, the center, and the center-right in the general election campaign. Clintons answer to Chuck Todd about her most recent ad sent a message to Republicans that it doesnt matter if they nominate Trump or Cruz, they are already screwed for the fall.
No path for Sanders…but it’s a long one
This is taken from Sam Wang's post at PEC from Mar 26. I don't believe that it's already been posted on DU. But Sam provides more math to show what Bernie must win to win the delegates he claims he can. He believes that a Bernie win is highly unlikely and puts the probability of such at 5%. Those are very long odds. IMO, with the recent increase in negative campaigning which is turning a lot of people off, that probability may even be lower now.
The comments are also very interesting, as are Sam's comments in response.
http://election.princeton.edu/2016/03/26/no-path-forward-for-sanders/#more-14773
Sanders has won 44% of pledged delegates so far. How would he get to 50%-of-delegates-plus-1?
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Luckily, it is an easy problem to figure out what fraction of the vote Sanders needs. The Democratic Partys rules assign delegates proportionally to the popular vote. (In this respect, the Democrats rules are more truly democratic than either the Electoral College or the Republican Party, which are both dominated by winner-take-all contests. Indeed, if the Democratic Partys delegates were assigned on a winner-take-all basis, tonights delegate count would be Clinton 2020, Sanders 734, a 2.7-to-1 margin.) So Sanders needs to win the popular vote 56%-44% in the remaining elections, i.e. he needs Sanders +12%.
Now lets look at national opinion surveys. In the last 8 polls (spanning March 17-23), Clinton led by a median of 9.5 +/- 2.1%. Overall, Democratic polls have been pretty accurate. Therefore, assume that the upcoming 22 primaries and caucuses will have an average margin that is similar to national opinion.*
For national opinion to come into line with what Sanders needs, there would have to be a change from Clinton +9.5% to Sanders +12%. Thats a 22-point swing. To put that into perspective, that is about how much the Clinton-Sanders margin has moved over the last seven months, since the start of August. Going forward, opinion would have to start moving about three times faster. And for this to happen, Sanders would have to start to cut into Clintons support, which has stayed in the 50-55% range this whole season. Basically, her support would have to drop to 40%. That simply isnt going to happen.
Former Governor Jim Doyle backing Hillary Clinton (AUDIO)
https://www.wrn.com/2016/03/former-governor-jim-doyle-backing-hillary-clinton-audio/Doyle was a big Obama backer eight years ago, although he said he still felt at the time that Clinton would have been a fine president as well. She ran up against a very very unique kind of once in a lifetime type of candidate, he said, pointing out that Clinton learned lessons from that contest that will carry over in this election.
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Wisconsin has consistently voted for the Democratic nominee since 1988, and Doyle said he sees no reason for that to change this fall, no matter who is nominated. Its hard for me to imagine how Wisconsin goes from voting overwhelmingly twice for Barack Obama to somehow voting for Donald Trump or Ted Cruz, he said. They shouldnt take us for granted, but I have little doubt that Hillary Clinton would carry Wisconsin.
Please note that the last para refers specifically to the GE. The WI Dem primary outcome is still an open question, although I believe that the outcome will be close either way.
Hillary Clinton: 5 Things You Didn’t Know About Her
Fun read, even though I already knew about some of these!
http://www.cheatsheet.com/culture/hillary-clinton-5-things-you-didnt-know-about-her.html/?a=viewall
We know a lot about Hillary Clintons policies she has a public track record, after all. But theres plenty of other information about the candidate thats not as widespread or that weve forgotten about in the Benghazi email dump. Take a look to find out some of the other aspects that make up Clintons life.
No, the race between Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton isn't close
http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/opinion/commentary/ct-bernie-sanders-hillary-clinton-delegates-nomination-20160331-story.htmlAnd that's not the worst of it. In New York, where Sanders would need to win by 4 percentage points, the latest poll from Quinnipiac as Clinton beating Sanders by 12 percentage points. The situation is even worse in Pennsylvania.
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He's exceeded what he needed to do in caucus states. But he's underperformed in primary states. That leaves him about 100 delegates short of where he would need to be at this point, and about 250 pledged delegates behind Clinton overall.
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Sanders may win Wisconsin on April 5, and if he does, expect a full-scale freak-out by some sections of the press. Many reporters don't like Clinton much, but what really would matter is that the media has an interest in keeping the illusion of a competitive primary in place. Unless the polls are wrong and Sanders wins three-quarters of Wisconsin's delegates, don't believe it. There's only one competitive nomination battle in 2016, and it's not on the Democratic side.
Stop. Rachel Maddow is Not "Basically Fox News," and Dozens of Good Democrats Aren't Corrupt Shills
Another one joins the "I've-had-it" brigade. I'm almost there myself.
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2016/04/01/1508768/-Stop-Rachel-Maddow-is-Not-Basically-Fox-News-and-Dozens-of-Good-Democrats-Aren-t-Corrupt-Shills
Rachel Maddow. Champion of various liberal causes, holder of the feet of conservatives to the fire, long-time Bernie Sanders sympathizer. Rachel Maddow.
The Bernie Sanders campaign asks me to believe something I refuse to believe about Rachel Maddow. And yes, I understand that Bernie Sanders himself didnt malign Maddow and MSNBC. In fact, he signed off from his interview in his normally cordial way. But its the core of the message, the unspoken truth dancing around the movement: All of them over there, theyre fundamentally corrupt and out to steal the election through trickery and manipulation. And no, that message isnt directed at Republicans. Increasingly, its directed at Democrats.
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I reject the characterization that dozens, maybe hundreds of Democrats are fundamentally corrupt people. No. Ive seen too much good from them.
This is a Good Read. And yes, I reject that characterization too.
Amy Schumer Officially Endorses Hillary Clinton & Uses The Perfect 'Bambi' Quote For The Occassion
This story is from a couple days ago, so please forgive if it has already been posted. I checked, but didn't see it. There are also some typos in the original.
http://www.bustle.com/articles/151099-amy-schumer-officially-endorses-hillary-clinton-uses-the-perfect-bambi-quote-for-the-occassion
Who is Thumper? Well, I can only imagine Schumer is referring to Thumper the adorable rabbit from Bambi. Only true fans will remember what Thumper said. Not only is he famous for thumping his foot, but he also has a memorable quote from the 1942 animated film. After his mother says to him, "What did your father tell you this morning?" Thumper then says, "If you can't say something nice, don't say nothing at all." The Golden Globe-nominated actor recognizes not everyone will agree with her supporting Clinton or her opinions, but that doesn't mean she wants to hear from the haters.
It's really no surprise that Schumer is backing Clinton, because on more than one occasion she's discussed the possible future POTUS and has had nothing but positive things to say about the presidential candidate.
There are also some good excerpts and photos at the link.
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