Ohio health official estimates 100,000 people in state have coronavirus

A top health official in Ohio estimated on Thursday that more than 100,000 people in the state have coronavirus, a shockingly high number that underscores the limited testing so far.

Ohio Department of Health Director Amy Acton said at a press conference alongside Gov. Mike DeWine (R) that given that the virus is spreading in the community in Ohio, she estimates at least 1 percent of the population in the state has the virus.

More: https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/487329-ohio-health-official-estimates-100000-people-in-state-have-coronavirus?fbclid=IwAR13FkKgLOVMYamQvuM1wOjsxNl3pKC59uXYW3wlpiBCbR2iMvDUKfBsvF0

Seems like a turning point today. A lot of people saying the virus is fake news seem to be realizing

it is serious and a lot more dangerous than the flu. Don't get me wrong because there are still plenty of holdouts who don't believe anything on this. But some are getting the message finally. This may be more important than we realize as far as convincing Trump supporters that he lies all the time. As they see this escalate and spread they begin to sober up a bit. With something like global warming it can take decades for havoc to start kicking in to where people start getting it. This virus is different and people are forced to realize how dangerous this is and why it's so much worse than the flu in a matter of weeks, perhaps months for the dumbest most out of touch idiots. Of course many will NEVER get it even when they are on their deathbed with it. However, sooner or later many realize "Holy shit! Trump lied about this. It's NOT a hoax!" Maybe at that point at least a few of them will begin to realize "Holy shit! Maybe the scientists were telling the truth about global warming too?" And holy shit! Trump is a con-artist!"

Perhaps just a bit of a silver lining?

Virus Specialist - Joe Rogan Show

US Just broke 1,000 (confirmed) cases of Coronavirus

Updating to add (confirmed) because we know 1,000 is way lower than the real number.


1020 as of 11:48 Eastern Time 3-10-20

https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6

Can someone run the projections on these numbers? (exponentially)

Thanks in advance

This doesn't include China. I am using the graph in the bottom right hand corner: https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6

Past 10 days (thousands):


3-1 8.5
3-2 10.3
3-3 12.7
3-4 14.9
3-5 17.5
3-6 21.2
3-7 25.2
3-8 29.1
3-9 32.8
3-10 37.8

Day 1 + 1.8
Day 2 + 2.4
Day 3 + 2.2
Day 4 + 2.6
Day 5 + 3.7
Day 6 + 4.0
Day 7 + 3.9
Day 8 + 3.7
Day 9 + 5

China's aggressive measures have slowed the coronavirus. They may not work in other countries

By Kai Kupferschmidt, Jon CohenMar. 2, 2020 , 4:50


Chinese hospitals overflowing with COVID-19 patients a few weeks ago now have empty beds. Trials of experimental drugs are having difficulty enrolling enough eligible patients. And the number of new cases reported each day has plummeted the past few weeks.

Snip:

But the report is unequivocal. “China’s bold approach to contain the rapid spread of this new respiratory pathogen has changed the course of a rapidly escalating and deadly epidemic,” it says. “This decline in COVID-19 cases across China is real.”

The question now is whether the world can take lessons from China’s apparent success—and whether the massive lockdowns and electronic surveillance measures imposed by an authoritarian government would work in other countries. “When you spend 20, 30 years in this business it’s like, ‘Seriously, you’re going to try and change that with those tactics?’” says Bruce Aylward, a Canadian WHO epidemiologist who led the international team and briefed journalists about its findings in Beijing and Geneva last week. “Hundreds of thousands of people in China did not get COVID-19 because of this aggressive response.”

“This report poses difficult questions for all countries currently considering their response to COVID-19,” says Steven Riley, an epidemiologist at Imperial College London. “The joint mission was highly productive and gave a unique insight into China’s efforts to stem the virus from spread within mainland China and globally,” adds Lawrence Gostin, a global health law scholar at Georgetown University. But Gostin warns against applying the model elsewhere. “I think there are very good reasons for countries to hesitate using these kinds of extreme measures.”

There’s also uncertainty about what the virus, dubbed SARS-CoV-2, will do in China after the country inevitably lifts some of its strictest control measures and restarts its economy. COVID-19 cases may well increase again.

Continued:


https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/03/china-s-aggressive-measures-have-slowed-coronavirus-they-may-not-work-other-countries

China's cases have leveled off but the entire country is still shut down. It can't stay that way

forever? What is their long term plan?

If you are over 60 it is strongly suggested you get a Pneumococcal vaccination. Many of the deaths

in China start out with Coronavirus and then Pneumococcal sets in. See 5:30 mark of video below:

South Korea has tested 140,000 people for the coronavirus. That could explain why its death rate is

Note: This story is 4 days old

South Korea has tested 140,000 people for the coronavirus. That could explain why its death rate is just 0.6% — far lower than in China or the US.

South Korea has tested more than 140,000 people for the new coronavirus and confirmed more than 6,000 cases. Its fatality rate is around 0.6%.
This suggests that, as many health experts have predicted, the virus' fatality rate seems to decrease as more cases are reported.
That's because more widespread testing leads more mild cases to be included in the count.
The US, by contrast, has tested around 1,500 people. The country has 221 confirmed cases and 12 deaths, suggesting a death rate of 5%.
The US' testing capacity has been limited.

The US and South Korea announced their first cases of the coronavirus on the same day: January 20. More than six weeks later, the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has tested around 1,500 people for the virus. South Korea, meanwhile, has tested about 140,000.

The nation is capable of conducting as many as 10,000 tests per day and has built drive-thru testing clinics that can detect coronavirus cases in just 10 minutes. Officials say the clinics can reduce testing time by a third.

This quick response has allowed South Korea to detect more than 6,000 coronavirus patients, around 35 of whom have died. That means the country's death rate is around 0.6%.

The death rate is a calculation of the number of known deaths out of the total number of confirmed cases. Because the disease caused by the coronavirus, COVID-19, progresses over a period of weeks — and because these numbers are constantly changing — it is not static and very likely to continue changing. It is not a reflection of the likelihood that any given person will die if infected.

More: https://www.businessinsider.com/south-korea-coronavirus-testing-death-rate-2020-3

Maybe someone should tell Trump this disease could kill off many of his most reliable voters?

Maybe that would cause him to get his ass in gear? Trump can be somewhat efficient if he thinks something will hurt his power.