Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumHow is Bernie polling among African Americans?
It seems like he is generally polling well, but I wonder if he somehow becomes the nominee will he be able to bring out the African American vote. What I call the standing in the cold November rain test. Will African Americans be willing to stand in the rain for hours to vote for him?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ancianita
(36,137 posts)The poll is months old, but it's a major poll, so there's that.
So far...
African Americans love Biden, 73-12.
A lot of Latinos dont know who he is, but those who do like him 46-18.
White people like Biden, too, by a 52-38 margin. Biden even does okay with white men (49-43) and white voters with no college degree (44-41).
Biden does best with voters under 35 (60-21) but also does pretty well with old people (54-33).
Bernie Sanders is distinctly less popular than Biden at 44-42 and, accordingly, is less uniformly popular across demographic groups.
African Americans (55-26) and Latinos (52-26) like Bernie, but hes slightly underwater (43-45) with whites, faring especially poorly with white men (40-51) and working-class whites (38-44).
Young people really like Sanders (57-29), but old people do not (40-45).
https://www.vox.com/2018/12/19/18148681/joe-biden-bernie-sanders-approval-rating
Here's the latest Rasmussen (conservative poller) presidential matchup, which is probably one reason he did a Fox News town hall.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2020/white_house_watch_apr12
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
artislife
(9,497 posts)Just the facts.
This half Latina loves Bernie but wishes he was much younger. Not so thrilled with Joe, doesn't make a difference that he is too old, too.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
ancianita
(36,137 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
artislife
(9,497 posts)I am just worried he isn't getting enough exposure. I have voted for him before!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
ancianita
(36,137 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Dream Girl
(5,111 posts)Surprising to see that Bernie appears to fare better among blacks than whites. The opposite of wat I expected.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Decoy of Fenris
(1,954 posts)Many of the preconceived notions about most of our candidates seem to bypass fact entirely on the way to proving someone's confirmation bias. That's not just Sanders, it applies to all of them. It's important to keep that in mind.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
dogman
(6,073 posts)If they are all you are exposed to, you tend to believe. The real world is much different than the Bernie Bro meme.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Decoy of Fenris
(1,954 posts)With respect, I'll leave the analysis to you as my ability to format anything on this site is shit at best and catastrophic at worst.
ON EDIT: Also this summary. https://theintercept.com/2019/03/06/bernie-sanders-black-voters-2020/
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
ancianita
(36,137 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Decoy of Fenris
(1,954 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
ancianita
(36,137 posts)This shows the poll to be Big Corporate and not journalistic in its goal.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Morning_Consult
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Decoy of Fenris
(1,954 posts)I still can't say I know who or what DeLoitte is, or if you think this polling is skewed, but I'll keep a wary eye on posting anything from Morning Consult in the future. It was just the most recent comprehensive polling I was able to find in a short google session.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
ancianita
(36,137 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Decoy of Fenris
(1,954 posts)(As an aside, I don't know why it was so hard to fucking Google 'em. I just couldn't get Google to bring these guys up on my end. )
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
ancianita
(36,137 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Dream Girl
(5,111 posts)Whites probably associated with the fact that Bernie also does better with lower income people
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Decoy of Fenris
(1,954 posts)I'm doing ongoing research, but I suggest you take a look at the subthread above just for the sake of transparency. I'd say take the poll with a grain of salt for now, but the fact that it corroborates with the other polling I'm seeing is mildly comforting ATM.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Dream Girl
(5,111 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Decoy of Fenris
(1,954 posts)Then again, it's all from the historically anti-Sanders crew, so I'd take -that- with a grain of salt as well. Either way, I'm doing my due diligence.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Blue_Tires
(55,445 posts)But I'll not support him ever again (YES; he'll grudgingly have my vote if by some miracle he becomes the nominee)... I've got a laundry list of gripes about the way Sanders and his support circle have been acting ever since that '16 primary and none of them have been addressed (some of them have even gotten worse)
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden