BTRTN March 10 Primaries Previews: Is a Biden Blow-Out in the Offing?

[reggieandlee]

Born To Run The Numbers has just published its predictions for the March 10 primaries, and it's looking good for Joe Biden...

http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2020/03/btrtn-march-10-primaries-previews-is.html

Excerpts: "Our BTRTN prediction is that Joe Biden will win the most delegates in the March 10 primaries. Biden will post easy wins in Michigan, Missouri and Mississippi; the western states will be far closer, but Biden will squeak out wins in each of Washington, Idaho and North Dakota. But given proportional allocation of the delegates, whether Biden or Sanders wins the western states is immaterial as long as the race is close...
"Based on the Super Tuesday results, one might have expected Biden to do very well in the southern states, Missouri and Mississippi, while Sanders would take the western states, Washington, Idaho and North Dakota. Michigan would be the close one, with the most delegates at stake and the most insight for the future Midwest battles...
"But the polls, as noted above, have been pretty unambiguous with respect to Michigan – four recent polls all show Biden trouncing Sanders by margins ranging from +15 to +39 points. That is an awful sign for Sanders.
"The fate of the western states is far less clear. At this juncture, we think the momentum is in Biden’s favor, and therefore are calling a sweep. But, as you can see, in very close races it hardly matters who wins or loses, since the delegates are allocated proportionately. Close wins do not close large gaps, and thus Biden’s large wins in Michigan, Missouri and Mississippi will carry the day..."

[Scurrilous]

1. I'm praying for a sweep.

[Cha]

2. Amen..

[Vivienne235729]

3. God, me too.

[R B Garr]

4. ...