BTRTN Super Tuesday Post-Mortem: A Biden Bounce for the Ages

[reggieandlee]

Born To Run The Numbers provides its comprehensive post-analysis of exactly what happened on Super Tuesday, why it happened, and what it means going forward... while also comparing the actual outcome to its own prescient predictions:

http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2020/03/btrtn-super-tuesday-post-mortem-biden.html

Excerpts: "Joe Biden was almost given up for dead after New Hampshire just three weeks ago. The frontrunner for all of 2019, Biden had fallen swiftly, with lackluster campaigning and fundraising, several poor debate performances, and horrific finishes in Iowa (fourth) and New Hampshire (fifth). After getting trounced by Bernie Sanders in Nevada, 47/20, Biden limped to his firewall, South Carolina, with a faint pulse. In the days leading up to South Carolina, the FiveThirtyEight Super Tuesday model had Sanders picking up nearly twice as many delegates as Biden, 587 to 305. That kind of gap, if it happened, would be all but insurmountable...
"And yet, when Super Tuesday came around, it was Biden, stunningly, who flourished, transforming from I’m-not-dead-yet to frontrunner in ten short days. He was fueled by an epic South Carolina win that catapulted him to Super Tuesday glory with all the soaring majesty of a Julius Erving dunk from the foul line. Though the dust is still settling (with about 100 Super Tuesday delegates still to be allocated), Biden picked up a whopping 610 delegates, topping Sanders by about 100, allowing Biden to take a commanding lead (664 to 573) in the race to 1,991...
"In our BTRTN South Carolina preview, just nine days ago, we made a 'wish list' of what Biden might ask of a genie to get him back in contention. Given the polling in South Carolina, we thought the list just might be possible, though it might have struck some as inconceivable. But not only were the wishes granted – the genie went well beyond them. The italics are what we wrote, and under each 'wish' we give the actual outcome..."

[tgards79]

1. kik