Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumBiden leads in WA post-Super Tuesday Poll (Survey USA)
* Biden, 36%.
* Sanders, 35%.
* Warren, who was included in the survey but who subsequently suspended her campaign, 10%.
* One of the other Democrats still on the ballot but no longer running, 13%.
* The nominal 1 point separating Biden and Sanders is not statistically significant.
* The contest should be characterized as even; Biden should not be described as leading nor Sanders as trailing.
* Because Washington allocates its 107 convention delegates proportionally, the ultimate popular vote win may be symbolic.
* Both Biden and Sanders would receive approximately the same number of delegates, should the candidates finish within a couple points of each other.
http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=017c2b2d-c3b9-4315-9f9d-874cd64ba945
Yes, it's a 1-pt margin, but Sanders won the Washington Caucus 72-27 and it's the only State of consequence where he was expected to have a sizeable lead (he was +6 in the last pre-Super Tuesday poll)...
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Callado119
(171 posts)...with the undemocratic caucus gone, BS wont have an edge here...Clinton won the non binding primary in 2016...
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
honest.abe
(8,678 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Thekaspervote
(32,773 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cha
(297,290 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
RandySF
(58,899 posts)And I dont see Bernie doing well in Seattle suburbs. Forget Michigan, hes fucked if he loses WA.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Indykatie
(3,697 posts)Why would anyone expect Bernie to have a sizable lead in WA? The 2016 WA caucus and subsequent Primary is just further evidence that caucuses are not the most democratic way for Dems to vote on their preference for POTUS. If it was Bernie wouldn't have fallen from 72% to 47% when more Dems got to vote.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
sunonmars
(8,656 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
honest.abe
(8,678 posts)This looks like a wash.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
sunonmars
(8,656 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
honest.abe
(8,678 posts)The problem is not the campaign, its the candidate.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
radius777
(3,635 posts)WA is the classic left-populist state that Bernie, if to be the nominee, should display blowout strength in.
If Biden did not blowout the field in SC he would've been finished.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden