California Poll Results: Sanders 22%, Biden 21%, and Harris 19% - April 10

[workinclasszero]

California Poll Results: Sanders, Biden, and Harris Lead the Democratic Primary

Change Research Apr 10

New Change Research polling from California shows that Bernie Sanders has taken a small lead in that state, with Joe Biden and Kamala Harris losing several points since our poll in February. Read on for additional data on the California horse-race.

Sanders, Biden, and Harris In a Near Three-Way Tie for the Lead

Sanders (22%) shows a one-point lead over Biden (21%), and a three-point lead over Harris (19%) among likely Democratic primary voters. Beto O’Rourke finishes a distant fourth with 10%, followed by Pete Buttigieg (9%), Elizabeth Warren (8%), and Cory Booker (3%). All other candidates poll at 2% or less.

https://medium.com/@ChngRsrch/california-poll-results-sanders-biden-and-harris-lead-the-democratic-primary-86bfcd090764

[qazplm135]

1. If Harris is already that close

to those two with the name recognition disparity...it's looking good for her.

[sacto95834]

5. I disagree

Harris should be way ahead with Joe just a point or two behind her, maybe. She is very, very popular in California.

I am truly surprised she isn't leading by a rather large margin. She is a daughter of the state and we haven't had a serious candidate in decades. Reagan, ick, was our last real candidate. Hopefully this poll is skewed.

[Bradshaw3]

12. She doesn't have name recognition in California?

Trying to spin a poll in her home state (where she has run in two statewide elections) in which she trails two candidates as good news is as ridiculous as it gets.

[qazplm135]

22. not to the same level as biden and Sanders no

and statistically they are tied, she is not "trailing."

[Tiggeroshii]

2. if he cannot win the early states though

he most likely wont win california. Biden is looking mor lile a sure thing

[SFnomad]

4. California IS an early state. They're part of Super Tuesday.

Only 4 states, Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina will have voted at that point.

[Mike Nelson]

3. I'm surprised...

… I thought Harris would be doing better... Warren, too... this is a rare time why my vote will count for something! I'm looking at Harris, Buttigieg and O’Rourke - wish it were clearer, but it's nice to have several choices!

[LongtimeAZDem]

6. Change Research seems to be a bit of an outlier

C+ Change Research Sanders 28% Harris 27% Sanders +1 (Biden not included)
C+ Change Research Sanders 22% Biden 21% Sanders +1
A- Quinnipiac University Biden 26% Sanders 18% Harris 17% Biden +8



https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/

[BlueFlorida]

7. Online poll by Sanders' camp

and fed through Sanders leaning "medium"

This poll is worthless.

[BannonsLiver]

21. +10000

As Bernie continues to crater in state poll after poll expect some of these nonsensical fake polls to be used to prop him up publicly. Only the most devoted Sanders supporters believe he’s actually ahead in California.

[Tarheel_Dem]

8. Does anyone really trust a self selecting "online poll"? Really? Talk about rigged results.

Change Research surveyed 2,003 likely 2020 Democratic primary voters in California from April 6–9. The survey was conducted online, using Change Research’s Bias Correct Engine. Post-stratification was done on age, gender, ethnicity, and 2016 presidential vote. The margin of error, as traditionally calculated, is ± 2.2%.

[SFnomad]

9. An online poll? From Change Research?

I wonder if there are any current CA results of more reputable firms?

[LongtimeAZDem]

10. Yep; Quinnipac

Biden 26% Sanders 18% Harris 17%

[SFnomad]

11. Thanks ... that's more in line with what I was expecting n/t

[sacto95834]

14. This is just as BAD...

I think California is a MUST win for Harris. I can't understand why she is so far behind. Where are they polling? The In-land Valley? This is eye-opening.

[Kahuna7]

13. Change Research is an online C+ poll. For pollster ratings go to..

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/

[BlueFlorida]

18. And the C+ is overly generous - it should be F. nt

[Blue_true]

15. Change Research Poll.

That is sort of like snakes and mice being in a cage together, with the snakes taking a poll on whether the mice want to get eaten. Sorry about the imagery, was the only thing that came to mind.

[BlueFlorida]

17. That was hilarious !!

Thank god I wasn't drinking anything.

[WeekiWater]

16. This is like watching and hour of the Sane Progressive...

And then calling it news.

[namahage]

19. If Biden is not counted, Sanders will scoop up his voters and take a commanding lead!

Right?

When asked to choose a candidate who has formally declared a run for the presidency (thus eliminating Biden), voters narrowly choose Sanders (28%) over Harris (27%). O’Rourke finishes third with 16%, followed by Buttigieg (11%), Warren (9%), and Booker (5%). All other candidates poll at 2% or less:

AKA an essential tie. But what's this?

https://docsend.com/view/zd7fmu3

How favorable are your feelings about each of the following individuals:
Joe Biden:
Very favorable: 39%, Somewhat favorable: 26%, Neutral: 15%, Somewhat Unfavorable: 11%, Very unfavorable: 8%, Never heard of them: 1%

Bernie Sanders:
Very favorable: 41%, Somewhat favorable: 23%, Neutral: 14%, Somewhat Unfavorable: 10%, Very unfavorable: 10%, Never heard of them: 1%

Kamala Harris:
Very favorable: 39%, Somewhat favorable: 33%, Neutral: 13%, Somewhat Unfavorable: 8%, Very unfavorable: 5%, Never heard of them: 3%

Kamala's favorable-unfavorables is 72-13, compared to Joe's 65-19 and Bernie's 64-20 (neutrals and never heards are within MOE).

[comradebillyboy]

20. Kamala is closing the gap.