Examiner: Biden seeks knockout blow against Bernie Sanders in Michigan primary

[honest.abe]

Just weeks ago, Joe Biden's third White House run seemed dead in the water. Now, pollsters and Democratic insiders say he can end the primary on March 10 with a win in Michigan.

--snip--

"I am assuming that Biden winning is likely, given what’s happened in other states," said Michigan pollster Bernie Porn, who is currently conducting a survey of Michigan Democrats that he believes will show Biden with a substantial lead when completed. "Knowing that black participation is likely to be fairly strong, and there’s this almost inexplicable coalition building around Joe that is moving towards him being the likely nominee."

--snip--

A loss in Michigan could irreversibly diminish Sanders's chances of winning the nomination. After Tuesday, the map only becomes more difficult for him with delegate-rich states such as Florida and Georgia holding their primaries a week later. Sanders's entire campaign strategy revolves around momentum, and another disappointing finish could leave him with no plan B.

"There just aren't enough delegates there for Bernie in the rest of the primaries to make up for his losses. The only areas where Bernie is favored is in Washington state, which votes the same day as Michigan," Porn said. "Another issue for Sanders is that the California primary isn’t definitively over yet, and that could end up closer than what Bernie initially thought. Biden could pick up more support as early voting tallies come up. That would only narrow Sanders's delegate share even more."

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/biden-seeks-knockout-blow-against-bernie-sanders-in-michigan-primary

Most recent polling in MI has Biden up in the high single digits but I suspect Biden's advantage is actually bigger that. Obama is still extremely popular there and Biden benefits significantly from that and Michigan's popular Democratic Gov. Gretchen Whitmer has recently endorsed him. Also, Biden is still on a roll from his huge ST wins and nothing has happened to stop that momentum, if anything its still building.

NOTE: Sorry for the RW source. The article seemed good and accurate. The author is Joe Simonson, media reporter and critic with The Daily Caller News Foundation.

[beachbumbob]

1. doesn;t matter, if sanders gets ZERO delegates going from now to convention, he still will not

drop out. His ego simply doesn't allow him to do. Its another form of narcissism.

[honest.abe]

2. That has been my fear since the day he announced.

I believe his focus is to take the Democratic Party down no matter the cost.

[beachbumbob]

3. 2016 should NEVER be forgotten and the damage done to democrats by sanders wing

[calimary]

7. Mine too. Ironic that the pollster quoted in the story is someone named Bernie Porn.

I had to read that more than once to make sure I was seeing straight.

[honest.abe]

9. Yeah me too!

[Just_Vote_Dem]

4. If his supporters boo our candidates at the convention like last time

that is strong ammunition for Trump to use later

[OnDoutside]

6. Expect the absolute worst, and you will never be disappointed !

[OnDoutside]

5. Michigan pollster Bernie Porn ??? Does he lean to the Left or Right ?

[honest.abe]

8. Yeah, I saw that. I guess that poor guy gets all sorts of comments about his name.

[DownriverDem]

10. Detroit News Poll

has Biden winning Michigan.
https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2020/03/04/poll-biden-leads-sanders-michigan-ahead-democratic-primary/4942959002/

[Happyhippychick]

11. Bernie Porn? Ewwww. That's a visual I did NOT need

[honest.abe]

12. HA! Indeed.

[Hav]

13. One should be careful not to create the narrative

for BS' comeback. If the expectations are low, it's easy to overperform. Remember as well that Michigan seemed to be harder to poll in the last primary when BS had something like a 20% reversal to what was expected. I think one aspect was an unusually high turnout by young voters.

[honest.abe]

14. Much different situation this year.

Biden is on a roll and Sanders is in reverse. Canceling rallies in the South and not getting any endorsements from the candidates who have dropped out, just adds to his woes. There is no debate prior to MI and nothing else I can see that might change the momentum Joe is riding now.