**BREAKING A+ RATED MONMOUTH IOWA POLL** Biden 26% Sanders 17% Mayor Pete 9%

[DemocratSinceBirth]

In a field of 24 announced and potential candidates, Biden holds the lead with 27% support among Democratic voters who are likely to attend the Iowa caucuses in February. He is followed by Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders (16%), South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg (9%), Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren (7%), California Sen. Kamala Harris (7%), former Texas Rep. Beto O’Rourke (6%), Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar (4%), New Jersey Sen. Cory Booker (3%), and former cabinet secretary Julián Castro (2%). Former Maryland Rep. John Delaney, New York Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, Ohio Rep. Tim Ryan, California Rep. Eric Swalwell, and entrepreneur Andrew Yang each receive 1% support from likely caucusgoers. The remaining 10 candidates earn less than 1% or were not chosen by any respondents in the poll.

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll-ia-041119/

[EveHammond13]

1. I was just about to post this

Biden - 27%
Sanders - 16%
Buttigieg - 9%
Warren - 7%
Harris - 7%
O’Rourke - 6%
Klobuchar - 4%
Booker - 3%
Castro - 2%
Yang - 1%
Delaney - 1%
Gillibrand - 1%
Ryan - 1%
Swalwell - 1%

[DownriverDem]

19. Biden can win

He can beat trump. He can win the blue collar workers who he's had a close relationship with. trump needs to win Pennsylvania. Biden can win Pennsylvania because it's his home state. Biden running with a progressive woman will be a great ticket.

[EveHammond13]

30. Biden is the best choice to restore our European alliances

[LakeArenal]

35. Absolutely!!

[Laura PourMeADrink]

43. No brainer !!! He can win...plus he's the most highly qualified! And a great guy. And smart! And

the antithesis of trump. Joe’s a decent guy. Like the two liberal guys on klbj said a couple weeks ago....”all you have to do is to demonstrate you are not trump.”

[Kahuna7]

5. Looks like it. nt

[NewJeffCT]

10. My daughter is too young to vote

and will still be next year, but I know that she and some of her friends love Buttigieg.

[Laura PourMeADrink]

42. I need to listen more to see why he's so hot now. Saw him on Bill Maher and thought

he had a touch of arrogance. I know not everyone likes Maher...but for some reason, he and I almost always think alike. I can tell when he likes someone..and he definitely didn’t like Buttigieg.

[peggysue2]

3. Can we now admit that . . .

Joe Biden is, indeed, in the lead in these early polls. Never a slam dunk but his numbers at this point cannot be denied. Some people hate the electability factor but I think these numbers reflect a good bit of that, plus Joey Biden is well-liked and respected.

Go Joe!

[Kahuna7]

4. I just saw that! This is not a junk poll.

I suspect the anti-Sanders voters are coalescing to stop him.

[justie18]

12. Yes!

I do believe that is a factor. There are lots of Hillary supporters out there with memories.

[Kahuna7]

20. Me, for one. nt

[justie18]

23. K&R

Me too!

[ColesCountyDem]

26. And vice-versa

Just sayin' ...

[justie18]

33. ?

What does this mean, since she is not a candidate but he will not get the nomination with only the Bernie Bros.

[ColesCountyDem]

46. I was referencing the second statement in the post.

I meant that Hillary supporters aren't the only ones having memories of 2016.

[Hortensis]

49. Are you not a Hillary supporter? If not perhaps

you could explain just what those who refused to vote Hillary are unhappy about. They're not here to explain for themselves, of course.

But they got what they voted for in the GE and rather spectacularly sabotaged the nation in the process. They can't feel they failed to make a difference. So what is it? The REAL reasons, that is.

SHE didn't lie and claim her opponent stole every state where voters chose her, nor did she plot to steal the nomination from Democratic voters if they chose her opponent. Are they secretly angry that she was principled and the lies they soaked in so eagerly were lies? Mad at us because they're not the good guys?

Or is it guilt over throwing the nation to Trump being reflected back as anger on the person a majority of Americans, but not them, truly did elect to be our president?

Is it that they're STILL in denial about being suckered by Russia, Republicans and their own candidate? Are they blaming her and us for the devastating results of their own inexcusable guilt and stupidity, which are thrown in their faces every single day in the news?

All these would certainly explain, but never excuse.

[ColesCountyDem]

57. I supported Hillary 100%, once she became the nominee.

I gave money, phone-banked and canvassed for Hillary-- I'm old school that way. Since I'm not one of those people who refused to vote for her, I'll not attempt to explain why they felt as they did.

[Amimnoch]

13. They certainly were happy to jump on the most recent failed pile-up. -nt.

[Laura PourMeADrink]

44. Sucks to have to go through deja vu

[brooklynite]

6. If Buttigieg makes it to 15 he actually gets a huge boost

Last edited Thu Apr 11, 2019, 03:22 PM - Edit history (1)

Iowa has a 15% viability threshold so he ends up with close to 25% of the delegates.

[Chakaconcarne]

16. I believe the GOP will have a tough time with Buttigieg...

They need to get nasty out of all of the DEM candidates he's the one they would end up looking really bad to a large percentage of their voters if they did so.

[DownriverDem]

21. Not so sure

he can win the electoral college.

[True Dough]

7. Mayor Pete running third in New Hampshire, third in Iowa

He's ON THE RISE!!!


https://www.cnn.com/2019/04/11/politics/iowa-new-hampshire-buttigieg-2020-polls/index.html

[Demsrule86]

34. I like the guy but don't see him winning a general...still so much bigotry.

[True Dough]

36. People said the same about Obama

Nothing changes if we fail to see the possibilities.

[Demsrule86]

37. I think it is worse for gay folks.

My daughter is .gay

[True Dough]

38. Well, that settles it then

If you think the presidency is out of reach for a gay person then all of us Mayor Pete supporters will have to find another candidate.

Or not.

[Demsrule86]

40. He should run anyway...Win or lose. He is breaking ground. I see a future for him.

As quickly as the US has changed for LGBTQ...I think in our lifetime , we will see a Gay president...could be Mayor Pete...very impressive. I just don't think it will happen this time. He is young and has time.

[Laura PourMeADrink]

45. Well if you live among the bigots in a red state, good news, the biggest bigotry,

IMHO, is against women.

[BlueStater]

8. Disappointing to see Inslee not registering.

How are even John Delaney and Andrew Yang ahead of him?

[BadgerMom]

11. Agreed.

[BlueWI]

47. I hear you.

We heard a lot about the importance of experience. That should include administrative experience, and we need to hear more about the issues.

Former vice presidents do not have a good record of winning in recent decades, although I hope that Biden becomes a candidate to have a robust debate among all.

Inslee is not getting his due based on his qualifications for office and vision for needed change.

[customerserviceguy]

52. Inslee

has almost zero name recognition, unless he finds something radical to do, it's going to stay that way.

I lived in WA state for about 37 years, from 1969 to 2007, and frankly, I didn't know what he looked like until he announced his campaign. And I have a lot of friends and relatives back in WA, still.

He needs to get his butt onto the Sunday talk shows if he wants to rise from the under one percent threshold. He probably should have been doing that last year.

[BlueStater]

54. He's one of only two governors in the race.

It seems like it's always harder for governors to get attention and become household names than it is for senators, even though their experience is arguably more impressive. Senators have an advantage because their sort of power is capable of impacting the president himself, thus ensuring their names in headlines.

Yeah, he needs to be out there giving more speeches.

[customerserviceguy]

55. It wasn't impossible for former governors

Bush, Clinton, Reagan, or Carter. They all took a path to the White House through their state house.

[BlueStater]

56. Bush and Reagan are poor examples.

Bush was the son of a former president and also had the same first name as his father, thus he could build name recognition on his dad's coattails.

Reagan was a well-known actor before entering politics. Already plenty of name recognition. He had also ran for president twice previously by that point.

[Cha]

9. KICK for Biden's LEAD!

[progressoid]

14. And only 10 months before the caucus!

[mudstump]

15. Sick of Iowa.....

deciding what candidates we get to choose from. By the time the primary gets to Oregon the ones I want have already dropped out or been eliminated by the media. Our primary system is terrible. We should have a national primary day for all to vote at once.

[shanny]

17. As goes Iowa, so goes the nation.

oh wait--maybe that's not how it goes

[DemocratSinceBirth]

18. That's how it's gone this millennium.

[shanny]

22. a snapshot of what is wrong with the system

is that a small rural state can have an out-sized vote in picking a candidate

[bearsfootball516]

27. Unlikely that those who do so poorly in Iowa that they have to drop out were ever real contenders

So, there's that. And there are still a ton of more influential primaries after Iowa, so it's not an end all.

But I get what you're saying.

[shanny]

28. um, no?...

From the Des Moines Register:

The Iowa caucuses have a poor record of picking presidents, but they play the important role of winnowing the field. In only one instance in the history of the modern Iowa caucuses has someone finished lower than third and gone on to win a party’s nomination (John McCain finished fourth by a whisker in 2008). That’s the source of the phrase that presidential candidates have "three tickets out of Iowa."

Since 1972, the top voter-getter in the Democratic caucuses has gone on to win the nomination in seven of nine contested races, but just Jimmy Carter in 1976 and Barack Obama in 2008 won the presidency. Among Republicans since 1980, the winner of the Iowa caucuses has gained the nomination twice in six contested races, but the presidency just once: George W. Bush in 2000.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

31. No Democrat has won the nomination without winning Iowa this millennium.

No Democrat has won the nomination without winning Iowa this millennium.

[left-of-center2012]

24. So the attacks on Joe Biden didn't stop him?

What will be their 'Plan B"?

[Gothmog]

29. Still amazing to me how much support Bernie has lost, everywhere.

Link to tweet

[Tom Rinaldo]

48. When there are only two credible candidates in a race each one has some luke warm supporters...

...who more than likely would rather have had a bigger field to chose from, including some who they would have been enthusiastic about had they rum. Except they didn't. That was the case in 2016, 2020 is shaping up very differently. By the end of the primary season one two or three of our candidates will be pulling in two or three times the support they now register, when they become the only games left in town.

[Gothmog]

50. A significant portion of sanders support were really non-democrats who will not be back

Link to tweet

Without the #neverhillary voters who were not really democrats, sanders will have a very hard time repeating past results

[BluegrassDem]

32. Mayor Pete is a mortal threat to Bernie

He is siphoning off votes from Bernie.

[Demsrule86]

39. That is true as and he is young and smart....making a name for himself ....Win or lose.

[R B Garr]

41. Wow! Impressive.

Biden ahead in all the real polls.

[PeeJ52]

51. I'm 66. We and the people we've looked up to have screwed this country up enough...

Biden and Sanders are out for me. I'll still still give Liz a chance as I'm just tired of old white men like me. I'm looking more for one of the one young ones to surge ahead. I need a debate!

[NNadir]

53. Personally, I'm heartily tired of Iowa choosing Presidential candidates in a Democratic Primary.

I personally like Biden very much, and enthusiastically would vote for him as President. I would say that among the candidates I know, he's near the top choice, although there are no candidates, except for Sanders, who I dislike.

On the other hand, the idea of a Trump state, Iowa, having undo influence on who the media selects for a Democratic Presidential candidate is highly disturbing.

By the time the primaries get to New Jersey, where I live, my vote will be meaningless.

We really need a series of national primaries in a run off setting. Small, conservative, rural states like Iowa and New Hampshire, choosing our Presidents are the ruin of this country.