Super Tuesday - how many votes are already cast?

[denem]

Has half of California already already voted? What about Texas? How is this estimated?

[Mr.Bill]

1. This is why even though I get a mail-in ballot

I don't vote until election day. My ballot can be dropped off at any precinct in my county. Since I live close, I will take it directly to the office of the Registrar of Voters.

[unc70]

2. NC is low turnout on early voting

I haven't seen today's counts, but voters have been waiting to decide. Probably around 10% will vote before Tuesday. Roughly half as many as usual.

I am among those who have waited. I usually vote early.

[Codeine]

4. Wow, that is interesting.

Could bode well for Joe.

[LiberalFighter]

3. Voters may treat primaries like this different if they generally vote absentee.

[Moderateguy]

5. Texas is at 6.7% of registered democratic voters

https://earlyvoting.texas-election.com/Elections/getEVDetails.do

A little over a million votes so far

[Generic Brad]

6. At least two in Tennessee

My wife and I cast our votes the day early voting opened up.

[Celerity]

7. a shedload, enough that it will be skewed to a more negative outcome for Biden than if there no

votes cast until Tuesday. Also, expect a true clusterfuck from my state, CA. The Sanders campaign is already ranting that they were fucked over due to the NPP vote being massively less than what they wanted.

Expect the whinging level to hit 15 on a 10 point scale. It is going to get ugly I fear if he does not hit what he thinks he is entitled to there.

The Coming Freak-out Over the California Primary

https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2020/02/millions-of-california-indies-banned-from-democratic-primary.html

If you thought the brouhaha over Iowa’s delayed vote count was the last complaint you’d hear during the nominating season, get ready for another in California on March 3. No, I’m not talking about the likelihood of a very slow count in the Golden State (more about that later), but about the increasingly loud complaints from the Bernie Sanders camp about the difficulties independent voters face in participating in this primary, as Politico reported recently:

Presidential candidate Bernie Sanders charged Friday that California’s primary system threatens to disenfranchise millions of independent voters whose support he has cultivated in the nation’s most populous state. Sanders said Friday during a press conference in Santa Ana that he and his team have been campaigning hard to reach California’s 5.3 million “no-party-preference” voters, who now represent the second largest voting bloc in the state at 25.9 percent — ahead of Republicans, who comprise 23.7 percent …

“Unfortunately, under the current NPP participation rules, we risk locking out millions of young people … millions of young people of color — and many, many other people who wanted to participate in the Democratic primary but may find it impossible for them to do so,” he said. “And that seems to me to be very, very wrong.”

The root of the problem here is that party preferences in California have become relatively insignificant thanks to the establishment via a 2010 ballot initiative of a nonpartisan top-two primary system in which everyone in the state gets the same ballot for sub-presidential contests that includes all the candidates competing regardless of party, with the top two vote winners proceeding to the general election. But voters are still asked to designate a party preference when registering, which makes those registration rolls a hot property for campaigns and other purchasers, and also guides the one partisan primary still remaining: the quadrennial presidential primaries.

snip