For the past 10 yrs we've been talking about this rising American electorate...

[melman]

Link to tweet

[Squinch]

1. Really they don't. See 2018 election results. Resounding rejection

Of Our Revolution and Bernie-backed candidates. Huge wave of moderates voted in.

[PatrickforO]

2. I saw that. She got some applause.

It was an interesting show.

[frazzled]

3. Except so far, it's not materializing

I think it's best to get news and analysis from real news sources, not Twitter.

It is the most politically provocative part of Senator Bernie Sanders’s campaign pitch: that his progressive movement will bring millions of nonvoters into the November election, driving record turnout especially among disaffected working-class Americans and young people.

...

The results so far show that Mr. Sanders has prevailed by broadening his appeal among traditional Democratic voters, not by fundamentally transforming the electorate.

In Iowa, for instance, turnout for the caucuses was lower than expected, up 3 percent compared with 2016, and the increase was concentrated in more well-educated areas where Mr. Sanders struggled, according to a New York Times analysis; in the Iowa precincts where Mr. Sanders won, turnout increased by only 1 percentage point.

There was no sign of a Sanders voter surge in New Hampshire either, nor on Saturday in Nevada, where the nearly final results indicated that turnout would finish above 2016 but well short of 2008 levels, despite a decade of population growth and a new early voting option that attracted some 75,000 voters. The low numbers are all the more striking given the huge turnout in the 2018 midterm elections, which was the highest in a century.

There was also no clear evidence across the early states of much greater participation by young people, a typically low-turnout group that makes up a core part of Mr. Sanders’s base and that he has long said he can motivate to get out to the polls. And Mr. Sanders has struggled to overcome his longstanding weakness in affluent, well-educated suburbs, where Democrats excelled in the midterm elections and where many traditionally Republican voters are skeptical about President Trump’s performance, meaning they could be up for grabs in November.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/24/us/politics/bernie-sanders-democratic-voters.html?action=click&module=Well&pgtype=Homepage

[melman]

4. "I think it's best to get news and analysis from real news sources, not Twitter"

That's nice. The woman in the video is chair of the Nebraska Democratic Party.

https://nebraskademocrats.org/janekleeb/

[MineralMan]

6. Nebraska. OK, then.

Cool.

[melman]

8. Do you have a problem with Nebraska?

Okay.

[MineralMan]

9. Nope. My wife has relatives there, and we visit the state.

However, it is insignificant in Democratic Presidential politics. Have you been to Nebraska?

[frazzled]

7. It's still just a politician pumping

It’s not facts and figures.

[MineralMan]

5. I've seen little sign of it, so far.

Low turnouts in caucus states, and unimpressive results. For example, Bernie and Mayor Pete essentially tied in both Iowa and New Hampshire, despite Sanders declaring victory. So, where what that movement this is talking about?

Bernie seems to be capped at about 30%. That won't cut it and would ensure a loss against Trump. We need to do better than that by consolidating the votes of supporters of all primary candidates. I don't think Bernie Sanders can do that. I just don't.

I want to win in November, not lose, and I'm certain Sanders will lose if he becomes the nominee. That 30% won't carry him past Donald Trump. It just won't.