This new South Carolina poll is very bad news for Joe Biden

[shawn703]

(CNN) Bernie Sanders just might win the South Carolina primary on Saturday.

That's the real headline out of a new poll conducted by NBC and Marist College that shows Sanders trailing longtime South Carolina front-runner Joe Biden by a narrow 27% to 23% margin, with five days of campaigning remaining. (Several recent polls have suggested a similar tightening.)

While the top-line number draws the eye, it's a series of other questions sprinkled throughout the poll that seem to suggest a path to a massive upset victory does, in fact, exist.

Consider:

1) Roughly 1 in 3 Biden backers in the poll (32%) said they might vote for another candidate on Saturday. Just more than 1 in 10 Sanders supporters (12%) said the same. That's broadly consistent with what we've seen throughout this primary to date; Sanders has the most committed support, while Biden's has been among the least committed.



More...

https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2020/02/25/politics/joe-biden-south-carolina-poll-bernie-sanders/index.html

[denem]

1. Except it's old - Feb 18-21

PPP Feb 23-34 is 'very' good news for Biden
Biden 36%, Sanders 21%

[HarlanPepper]

3. I noticed Chilizza ignored that one to create his narrative.

Might be an outlier, might not be. All of the available polls should be included in any analysis piece like this, though.

[dumptrump1]

6. that is the margin he needs to stay in the race

If he gets much less than that, he needs to drop out and make way for Bloomberg's billions to lead the way to victory.

[denem]

9. ...

[George II]

13. Good one!

[Celerity]

8. The post debate part (they split it into 2, pre and post) has Biden and Sanders tied

That PPP SC poll (and its other poll in NC) look like real outliers, unfortunately. I need to see a bigger sample of polls to make a better judgment.

[denem]

10. I was contesting the "new" poll label.

It's not new to those following these things.

[Poeraria]

2. And lots of Republicans showing up for Bernie.

Bernie is the candidate that Trump salivates over.

[USALiberal]

5. Run with that story! Nt

[Poeraria]

11. In print.

https://www.thestate.com/news/politics-government/article240605961.html?

[George II]

14. It's not a "story".

[Joinfortmill]

4. Sanders will win if

The Republicans vote for him, which they are being told to do.

[denem]

12. If Joe can't win SC

he can't win any of them.

[pawismom]

7. from SC

Bernie will win if Republicans come out and vote in the Democratic primary, and they will. SC canceled the Republican primary and here you can vote in either but just not both.

[uponit7771]

15. old poll ... ppp poll is newer

[Renew Deal]

16. Bernie winning SC would be good

It would knock Biden out and give a real contender a chance.