Math lesson about Nevada results lesss than 2% turnout total

[JT45242]

Since the complete results aren't in, I'll round up a little.

Sanders = 6,600
Biden = 3,000
Buttigieg = 2,000
Warren = 1,400

So a total of about 13,000 votes were cast in this caucus out of a total of 698,044 registered Democrats in Nevada (https://www.nvsos.gov/sos/home/showdocument?id=8344). So, voter turnout (assuming no republican cross over) was 1.9%.

So, Bernie who clearly energized the voters of Nevada got 0.945% of eligible Democrats to vote for him in the caucus. Yeah that sounds promising.

Let's pump the brakes here...

This again shows that caucuses drive down turnout from a traditional primary where people can vote when it is convenient around their work and life schedules.

Another tiny state (1.8 million registered voters total) going early having an overly large influence on fundraising and perception.

[bluewater]

1. LOL Um, you seem to think only 13,000 people voted LOL

Um, that 13,000 were the county delegate totals, not the actual votes cast.

For God's sake, 70,000 people voted in the early voting alone in Nevada!

Now be honest, was this really a "mistake"?

Oh, Welcome to DU.

[Garrett78]

24. And this is at least the 4th such post. Where's the critical thinking?

Reports of 70,000+ voting early. Reports of Sanders winning easily. Math lesson, indeed.

Yet people still confuse county convention delegates with votes.

Bernie Derangement Syndrome is really screwing with people's heads.

[bluewater]

26. Are they really "confusing" anything.

[Fiendish Thingy]

2. you left out 70,000 early voters nt

[LAS14]

3. How does this figure with 74,000 early voters in Nevada? I'm not...

... questioning your stats. I've seen them too. But we've all heard the 74,000 figure as well. Right?

Oh. See reply #4. This is delegates vs voters.

[squirecam]

4. Delete this. You are so so so wrong.

The numbers you are citing are the county delegates. Not the votes.

Bernie got 33-34% of the vote.

People keep posting this same stuff. IT IS WRONG. If you want the actual votes, you need to click on first vote, not the county delegates.

I’ve seen too many posts here reciting this same misinformation.


https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/state/nevada?xid=ec_crm_nv_d

[pnwmom]

13. You are correct. But 100K out of 600K active Democrats is still pathetic.

And the cause is the caucus structure. People either had to stand in line for hours for early voting or caucus for hours on Saturday.

Only the most fervent voters got involved.

[squirecam]

17. Perhaps

But people shouldn’t be giving “math lessons” when they can’t get the facts straight.

And turnout will be better than 2016 levels.

[Downtown Hound]

22. And it's still up from 2016

Somehow I doubt you were this concerned then, when Hillary Clinton won.

[Moderateguy]

20. According to your link the total votes so far are 95,628 at 96%

So approx estimate is 99,669 total votes cast. So if there are 698,044 democratic voters in Nevada approx. 14% of the democratic electorate voted

[Hassin Bin Sober]

5. Now use actual vote totals (you are using delegates)

[KPN]

6. Huh? What are you talking about? Are you

trying to spread totally fallacious information to help swift boat Sanders?

We are better than that here.

[Warpy]

8. Someone on another site explained it this way

Nevadans have an ornery streak a mile wide and will pretty consistently vote for whomever they thing will piss off the east coast party wonks who think their state is nothing but the Las Vegas strip and desert. Also, they vastly prefer old coots.

It's why they voted for a dead guy for Congress in 2018.

I don't think the turnout is indicative of anything except people preferring to spend Sunday a different way, pancaked on the couch in front of the TV foremost among them.

These early states are never bellwether states. They're all odd in different ways.

[samnsara]

9. no one has bragging rights with such an anemic turnout

[Downtown Hound]

10. Do yourself a favor, don't believe everything you read on the internet.

https://www.vox.com/2020/2/23/21149443/nevada-caucuses-2020-turnout-record

[pnwmom]

16. But 100K out of 600K active Democratic voters is still anemic. And Bernie only got half of that,

so less than 10% of active Democrats voted for him. Less than 20% made the effort to vote at all. (It was a very significant effort required, even with the early voting -- many people had long waits in line to vote.)

[squirecam]

19. Bernie got 1/3 of the vote.

Approximately 34,000 out of approximately 100k.

[Downtown Hound]

21. It's up from 2016, which was 84,000

So to sum up, turnout has been up in every state so far over 2016, with New Hampshire achieving record turout, and Bernie has dominated in all three states, leads most criticals state polls and head to head match ups with Trump, and you still want to try and pretend that his support is anemic.

Um, go ahead. The rest of us will concentrate on winning.

[TexasTowelie]

27. How much of that increased turnout

is due to Republicans crossing over to the Democratic primaries and caucuses?

[George II]

11. Those are SDE, not actual votes. The way this is being reported is confusing.....

....there were a lot more votes cast, although it wasn't the groundswell people like to claim.

[squirecam]

15. MSNBC and the other networks

Have done a poor job.

But that DU posters are going along with the misinformation is worse.

Do NOT report the county delegates. Look at the first votes and you see Bernie got approminstely 33,000 to 34,000 out of 100k or so.

There were not 13k total votes in Nevada people.....

[jmg257]

14. High voter turn out...

While final numbers have yet to be released, preliminary turnout figures for the Nevada caucuses suggest voter enthusiasm is high in the state — and that Democrats concerned about the lack of record-breaking turnout in Iowa’s contest may have little to fear.

[Downtown Hound]

18. And, now for some not totally made up numbers:

Turnout was about 100,000, up from 84,000 in 2016.



https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2020/02/nevada-results-2020-live-updates.html

[Midnight Writer]

23. Per Jon Ralston. 2008-118K. 2016-84K. 2020-100K.

[BootinUp]

25. I figured as much. Nt