What is a brokered convention? What is a contested convention?

[TomCADem]

Here is a nice description of what is a brokered convention versus a contested convention. Now despite all of the drama of the 2016 Democratic convention, it was neither a brokered or contested convention.

https://www.brookings.edu/policy2020/votervital/what-is-a-brokered-convention-what-is-a-contested-convention/

A brokered convention is a presidential nominating convention that fails to nominate a candidate on the first ballot because no candidate gets the votes of more than half the delegates. Such conventions happened often in the days before the two political parties used primaries to award delegates to presidential candidates. Back then, if no one won a majority on the first ballot the convention would begin a complex series of negotiations, led by power brokers from the states. These brokers could be governors, senators or big city mayors—anyone who had the power to control or persuade other delegates. Hence the term “brokered” convention. The last conventions to fail to nominate someone on the first ballot took place in 1952 in both the Democratic and Republican parties (when the nominees were Adlai Stevenson and Dwight Eisenhower.)

A contested convention is more common in the modern era. This refers to a situation in which one candidate has done well but not well enough to guarantee a first ballot win; another candidate attempts to convince enough other delegates to abandon the frontrunner and come to him or her before the first ballot takes place. Examples of modern contested conventions are: the 1976 Republican convention contest between Governor Ronald Reagan and President Gerald Ford; the 1980 Democratic convention contest between Senator Ted Kennedy and President Jimmy Carter; and the 2016 Republican convention contest between the “Never Trumpers” and Senator Ted Cruz and Donald Trump. (The winners, of course, were Ford, Carter, and Trump.) For more on the history of contested conventions, see chapter six in my book Primary Politics: Everything You Need to Know about How America Nominates Its Presidential Candidates.

One little understood feature of presidential primaries in each state is that they award delegate slots to presidential candidates, not individual delegates. More often than not, it takes weeks if not months to actually elect real people to fill those slots. For instance, this year the Iowa Caucuses took place on February 3. As of this writing, former Mayor Pete Buttigieg won 13 national convention delegates and Senator Bernie Sanders won 12 national convention delegates. (There is still some counting going on.) However, the people who fill those slots and go on to the Democratic convention in Milwaukee won’t be elected until conventions in all of Iowa’s four congressional districts are held on April 25, 2020.

A lot can change between February and April in a presidential race. If there is a clear winner, then the actual identity of the people who go to Milwaukee doesn’t matter very much. They will don funny hats, fill the hall, and cheer at all the right moments. (I know, I’ve been there.) But if the primaries fail to produce a clear-cut winner, the identity of the delegates will matter a great deal. Some of them will have been elected in the winter to represent presidential candidates who are no longer in the race. They will have the freedom to move to a different candidate. Some of them will have been elected to a candidate who is falling far short of the magic number and they will be wooed by candidates seeking to reach or add to a majority. In other words, in a fluid situation, the identity of the delegates—who they are, where they come from, and what their political views are—matters a great deal.

If no one has reached the magic number (1,990 delegates) when the primaries are over in June, expect to see a frenzy of negotiations in the weeks between the end of the primaries and the opening of the Democratic convention on July 13. If the leading candidate is close to 1,990 delegates he or she will call for unity and attempt to get there. If two or more candidates have large numbers of delegates but no one has 1,990, an even more complex negotiation process will begin—with everything up for grabs, from rules to platform planks to the vice presidency itself.

[still_one]

1. If no one wins on the first round I expect to see duals

[Codeine]

2. I, for one, would not rate my chances in a duel

with Elizabeth Warren very highly. She looks capable of whipping serious ass.

[still_one]

3. I do like Elizabeth Warren

[TomCADem]

4. Well, Just Because a Campaign Loudly Complains...

...even though the winning candidate has both a majority of the popular vote and delegates does not make the convention either brokered or contested notwithstanding all the manufactured drama of 2016. This time around, there is a high chance of a real contested or brokered convention.

[still_one]

5. I know, and I do appreciate your OP pointing out the distinction

[TomCADem]

6. The 2016 RNC Convention Was Technically The Closer Convention Then DNC

Trump had a majority of the pledged delegates, but only 45 percent of the primary vote.

[keithbvadu2]

7. What kind of convention/voting method do the candidates prefer?

What kind of convention/voting method do the candidates prefer?

Whichever one they feel gives them the best advantage.