Final Nevada poll: Sanders 38 Buttigeig 14. Biden 11

[Bumperstickers]

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20200221_NV.pdf



Feb 19-21, 2020
1,100 RV
AtlasIntel

Sanders
38%

Buttigieg
14%

Steyer
11%

Biden
11%

Warren
9%

Klobuchar
5%

Gabbard
3%

[InAbLuEsTaTe]

1. Say hello to President Sanders!!

Bernie/Elizabeth or Elizabeth/Bernie 2020!!
Either way, they're stronger together & can't be bought!!
Jump on the Bernie Bandwagon & join The Revolution!!

[LawnKorn]

2. +1

[Alhena]

5. Nominee yes, president no.

[InAbLuEsTaTe]

6. I disagree... once we all unite behind Bernie as our Democratic nominee, as I know we will...

there will be a BLUE TIDAL WAVE that will crush the Fascist-in-Chief and his RethugliKKKon henchmen... just watch!!


Bernie/Elizabeth or Elizabeth/Bernie 2020!!
Either way, they're stronger together & can't be bought!!
Jump on the Bernie Bandwagon & join The Revolution!!

[joshdawg]

9. It is imperative that we as Democrats unite behind the nominee!

Our country, our Democracy, our way of life, our standing in the world,...........I could go on, is dependent on eliminating the infestation in the White House at present.

[InAbLuEsTaTe]

15. I hear ya loud and clear... without a doubt!! Wild wild horses couldn't drag ME away!!

Bernie/Elizabeth or Elizabeth/Bernie 2020!!
Either way, they're stronger together & can't be bought!!
Jump on the Bernie Bandwagon & join The Revolution!!

[33taw]

32. I don't see Bernie as the nominee with 30% of the votes nationwide.

Even if he pulls in Warren supporters, it is still less than 50%. I foresee Biden taking the nomination in a brokered convention. Funny that Sanders wanted a brokered convention in 2016 when he had 43% of the delegates, but now that is a bad idea when he will have the most votes without a majority. If Bernie thinks thinks he will get a single republican vote in a general election, he is a fool.

[Demsrule86]

24. No, it would Be newly reelected President Trump. Sanders won't win a general...I wonder how the

Russian news will affect his chances...and He won't be the nominee with 30% or less support...it will be a brokered convention and a different nominee will be chosen.

[UncleNoel]

3. Probably more like the poll averages here:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_2020_Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries#Nevada_caucus



Though I am hoping for a stronger showing for Joe and Liz and a lower number for Bernie..

[counting]

4. i am cautiously optimistic... eom.

[InAbLuEsTaTe]

7. LOL...REJOICE!! There's reason to be EXTREMELY optimistic! Bernie even left Nevada early to campaign

in Super Tuesday states to expand his ever-growing lead there too!! Though, of course, Bernie NEVER counts his chickens before they hatch,... so peeps need to go vote like they're behind by double digits.


Bernie/Elizabeth or Elizabeth/Bernie 2020!!
Either way, they're stronger together & can't be bought!!
Jump on the Bernie Bandwagon & join The Revolution!!

[denem]

8. Those numbers would be a disaster for the party.

A bitter Bloomberg v Bernie contest would be the worst possible outcome for everyone. If Sanders wins, the GOP will devote an entire conference to framing him as 'Comrade Bernie', the communist. On the other hand, if Bloomberg wins, a substantial number of berners will bolt no matter how enthusiastically Sanders may back him. Having spent four years, campaigning against 'the billionaire class', it would be a tough sell. On top of that,the GOP will frame Mike as 'Mr. Wall Street', and take that message straight to the midwest. Women will stay at home and African Americans won't be lining up in record numbers, to say the least. It would not end well.

[counting]

10. depends

i am hoping for this scenario- bernie accepts bloomberg's help financially.. and use that to flood tv ads, countering trumps framing him as whatever...
also i hope john oliver do a show about socialist... just like he did medicare for all, its very effective

[denem]

13. That is the only outcome that would work.

I take Mike at his word. He will 'everything he can to defeat trump'.

The line of attack I would use is 'Who are the real socialists' - and hammer home the subsidies and tax breaks the federal government has given to trump, the fossil fuel industry, giant corporations, and all the rest. Saturation ads have a chance - and there is plenty of material to work with.

[bucolic_frolic]

17. The number of elections won on "hope" is simply zero

Opinions and magic don't matter in politics. It's about hard reality, and allowing our democracy to be permanently handed over to dictators because you "hoped" it wouldn't happen? Not a very good idea.

Suggest you read up and face realpolitik.

[counting]

18. 2008

was won on hope

[bucolic_frolic]

19. Not at all, that is total BS

Obama had a great campaign operation and no baggage from accepting help from a foreign nation. Obama was a first tier candidate with impeccable credentials and the best campaigning skills since FDR, not to mention a world class supportive operation.

You think it was all hope and change? Never, not at all.

[counting]

20. of course not all hope

thats why i said the other stuff....

[bucolic_frolic]

21. Sleep it off

There's a lot to read about the campaign in the days ahead

[Cosmocat]

22. Bloomberg will NOT put money toward Bernie

He will likely put money toward trying to damage 45 and to dems he likes or who are running against Rs he does not like.

[counting]

23. i think he will if

bernie compromise some of his policies

https://www.axios.com/bloomberg-sanders-interview-3655f1c1-d452-4a23-9bd7-dac012721f86.html

[Demsrule86]

25. It is too late for that...

[johnthewoodworker]

11. Whomever wins, the republican response will be nasty, dirty, and inflammatory.

Bernie has baggage that is unique to his position, as all candidates do. Democrats will unite behind the eventual candidate.

If independents choose the cat grabber, over any candidate, it is proof that the republican coup on 02/05/2020 was completely successful.

[Demsrule86]

28. Trump being releected will cause the Republican coup...and all this hope and blah blah is BS...

All one has to do is look at the midterms...we lose with Sanders. The' it is my turn from the left'... those who have not got out and sold the message (which I agree with mostly) will cost us the white house once again at a critical time in our history and do lasting damage to our party and to our Republic.

[bucolic_frolic]

14. "Comade Bernie!" ---- Love it!!

That's exactly what they will do. We can't afford to nominate a sure disaster.

[denem]

16. I'm not guessing bucolic_frolic

Yesterday, Gowdy said this on Fox - Nobody really thinks Russia prefers Trump over 'comrade' Bernie Sanders

[Cosmocat]

27. It is like watching a slow moving train wreck

Bernie IS going to win the popular vote and delegate count going into the convention.

If the party holds to that and gives him the nomination, the Rs will JOYOUSLY roll into a socialism campaign that almost assuredly will end up in a disastrous blowout in November that will be the functional end of American democracy.

The only way he is not our nominee will be through a delegate battle at the convention, and if that occurs, regardless of who get the nomination, you are going to a sizeable portion of his supporters who don't show up in November.

We are pretty much fucked ...

[Demsrule86]

29. Moderates who can't win have to drop out...we still have a low delegate count and can turn this

around. Sanders can't be the nominee.

[Cosmocat]

35. You say that, but ...

I take your point, I really do.

And, I would rather have Joe than Bernie 100 out of a 100 times.

But, neither Pete or Bloomberg, and 99% AK, will drop before Super Tuesday.

[bucolic_frolic]

12. Sanders and Russia

Why is Russia helping his campaign? Because Putin wants Trump to win, and they know Bernie will be mincemeat once the GOP "SOCIALISM" campaign heats up.

Choose Democracy over Dictators. Don't let Putin pick your president.

[Cosmocat]

33. It is a win/win for Putin

Bernie also is the most Putin friendly candidate on our side.

Bernie will provide the least pushback to Russia/Putin once in office of the other options on our side.

[katmondoo]

26. I am now wondering if all the great surges lately for Sanders comes from a Russian influence.

[Demsrule86]

30. That and the Republicans voting for him.

[snowybirdie]

31. Getting paranoid

We know Russia is interfering. Who's to say they haven't hacked our polling apparatus? Not believing any polls anymore. Let actual voters decide.

[Laelth]

34. Interesting. Thanks for posting. n/t

-Laelth

[thesquanderer]

36. Who is AtlasIntel? But if these ended up being the numbers, BS would get 100% of the delegates. nt

[gulliver]

37. Second/third choices will allocate the delegate majority to the center/left in the end.

That's the one thing I like about caucuses. Hope this "second and third choice" churn doesn't overwhelm the precincts' capacity for complexity!

[aikoaiko]

39. I was so hoping that Warren would break 15%

Maybe in the final Numbers.

Fingers crossed