How many candidates do you predict will remain in the primaries after Super Tuesday?

[Algernon Moncrieff]

I'm working under the assumption that those in now will stay in until then -- which could very well be incorrect.

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[Recursion]

1. 3: Sanders, Bloomberg, and ???

The ??? is the big question

[Algernon Moncrieff]

4. At this point, if we go with three - probably Mayor Pete

I think equally likely is 4 with Bernie, Pete, Bloomberg, and Amy.

But you are right - ???? is the big question.

[Sloumeau]

2. Let's add them up...

1. Obviously Bernie will stay in because he has the cash and the poll numbers to stay in.
2. Same is true for Bloomberg.
3. Steyer doesn't have numbers but he has the cash, so I figure he will stay in.
4. Tulsi is spending no money, so she can stay in without costing her a dime.
5 & 6. Warren and Biden might still stay in for a little while, but I predict that Buttigieg and Klobuchar may get killed due to their low support among African Americans.

[Algernon Moncrieff]

5. I think Steyer stays if he has a good showing in Nevada and does OK on Super Tuesday

If he's still polling in single digits, I think he'll bail. No insider knowledge - JMHO.

Super Tuesday will be the litmus test for Mayor Pete - that is for certain.

The first three contests have never favored Biden. So the real question is South Carolina and the states down south.

[wysimdnwyg]

3. I voted four

Clearly we'll have Sanders and Bloomberg, as one is currently leading the polls and is likely to be leading delegates heading into Super Tuesday, while the other is dumping so much money he'll likely show well that day. My third candidate will be one of two people: Biden (most likely), or should he somehow start doing better than expected with minorities, Buttigieg. In my mind, it's unlikely we'll have BOTH still in the race after ST, although it's possible.

Who's the fourth? Tulsi Gabbard, of course. Her Russian/Republican backers will keep funneling money into her campaign solely to help sow discord among the other remaining Democrats.

[Algernon Moncrieff]

6. As was pointed out elsewhere, Tulsi isn't polling well, but she's not spending money either.

Then the question becomes: what is she actually accomplishing? Who is she actually taking votes from?

[wysimdnwyg]

7. I'm not 100% sure she's taking ANY votes away from any Democrats

I think it's very plausible that the people voting for her so far have been Republicans or plants trying to boost her numbers so some Democratic voters might consider her. In my little, anecdotal world, I've never met anyone who actually wants her to be President.