Consensus is SC voters are not expected to change their mind based on the results in Iowa and NH

[Skya Rhen]

Biden’s last-minute decision to skip his New Hampshire election night party in favor of a trip to Columbia produced a stark split-screen, contrasting his deflating night in the Granite State with a still buoyant mood in South Carolina, where he remains the front-runner ahead of the Feb. 29 primary.

“When you hear all these pundits and experts and cable TV talkers talk about the race, tell them, ‘It ain’t over, man. We’re just getting started,’ ” he said. “Our votes count too. We’re not going to let anyone take this election away from you.”

Unlike in Iowa and New Hampshire, two mostly white states where he finished no better than fourth, Biden has kept his lead in South Carolina thanks in large part to robust support from African American voters, who comprise roughly two thirds of the state’s Democratic electorate.

Democrats successful in capturing the White House in previous elections had minority voter support, Biden insisted.
“Too often your loyalty, your support, your commitment to this party has been taken for granted,” he said.

Many Biden supporters at his Columbia rally Tuesday night said they do not expect South Carolina voters to change their minds based on the results in Iowa and New Hampshire.

“Once those two are done, Biden will win South Carolina and the news will say, ‘Is he picking up momentum?’ said Joe Brown, 49, a bail bondsman from Sumter. “No, it’s not momentum, we’ve had this fire burning a long time here. We just weren’t able to spread it to those other states. That’s OK.”

Biden’s ties to former President Barack Obama and decades of relationships in South Carolina created a strong advantage for him here from the outset of the race, leading his allies to believe it could serve as a “firewall” if he struggled in Iowa and New Hampshire.


https://www.postandcourier.com/politics/biden-rallies-sc-backers-after-nh-setback-it-ain-t/article_f3547df6-4d14-11ea-9621-b7788708731c.html

[honest.abe]

1. What if he gets blown out in Nevada also?

I think that will affect SC voters.

[Skya Rhen]

2. SC voters don't strike me as being fickled.

Just as Iowa and NH were determined to vote how they wanted to vote, SC will do the same. They are no different than other strong-willed voters.

[honest.abe]

5. Joe was already in decline in SC if you believe the polling.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/south-carolina/

This polling was before NH blowout. He might lose SC if he loses big in NV.

[Skya Rhen]

7. If that's your view, let's do our part to help him win in Nevada. All hands on deck. Make some phone

calls / send out tweets of support. Apathy will get us nowhere.

We really need to take a page from the supporters of a certain other frontrunner who make things happen by being engaged. This is what it takes to win.

[customerserviceguy]

4. Consider one other possibility

Tom Steyer has spent a fortune in SC on TV ads. He's been advertising for months now, that is the reason for his decent showing on SC polls and the chunk of African-American voters that he's peeled away from Joe Biden. If it is true that for black voters the most important thing is "someone who will beat Trump", then many of them might give Steyer a second look, if it looks like Joe Biden can't get the nomination. Steyer is the only candidate who has openly called for reparations, and once he starts putting that in his TV ads, he could take off.

And there's no doubt that he has the money to continue all the way to the convention, if he so desires.

[She_Totally_Gets_It]

9. I'm a black voter. Originally from the South. I like Tom Steyer. Biden is beginning to

disappoint me. He is doing himself no favors.

[customerserviceguy]

14. Tom's ads

feature him with both black folks and farm folks in SC. He has the potential to take over if Joe is seen as damaged goods. And Bloomie won't be on the SC ballot.

[groundloop]

3. Something needs to change, it doesn't make sense that two lily white states lead the way

THIS fat old white guy would much prefer to see states which are more representative of our overall population get the first shot at choosing our nominee. With no disrespect to either Iowa or New Hampshire (my brother lives in New Hampshire) I just don't think it's good for our party to have them going first.

[She_Totally_Gets_It]

10. One thing that is infuriating for many of us black voters is the sense of entitlement...

and soft expectations of bigotry and white privilege in the media when it comes to IA and NH. The Republicans are having a grand time with the Democratic Party's dysfunction. If it continues, they could capitalize on the disaffected feelings of some black voters in the South. They could use this to exploit the situation and create discord between black Democrats in the South and others in smaller, less diverse states.

I, for one, am getting very angry at the narratives that I'm seeing from both Buttigieg and Sanders supporters.

[Peacetrain]

6. We have had one caucus, one primary basically white.. split decision..we now have a more diverse

caucus and primary coming up.. I do not understand this push to have people drop out before others have had their voice heard. No one is batting this out of the park... both Pete and Bernie have had wins by the skin of their teeth. SO NO ONE SHOULD DROP OUT.. Super Tuesday is almost here.. and we will know who can bring us together by then is my thought process...

[She_Totally_Gets_It]

11. I believe that calls for folk to drop out reflects the deeply entrenched racism in some segments

of the Democratic Party. I am absolutely disgusted by Sanders supporters in particular.

[She_Totally_Gets_It]

8. I do not give a damn about NH and IA. I truly don't. The Democratic Party resides in more diverse

states.

[Indepatriot]

12. You may want to check the definition of "consensus"....

Here's the deal, Corn Pop, no self respecting dog-faced pony liar is gonna buy that malarkey....

[Kaleva]

13. Joe's poll numbers in SC started to decline even before Iowa

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/south-carolina/

[Cha]

15. I should hope NOT!