Democratic Primaries

denem

(11,045 posts) Wed Feb 12, 2020, 10:40 AM Feb 2020

One of these polls is not like the others ...

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/2020_democratic_presidential_nomination-6730.html

LOL Mark Penn. Could the guy be any more transparent?

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

15 replies

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One of these polls is not like the others ... (Original Post) denem Feb 2020 OP

you do understand that surveys are random Fresh_Start Feb 2020 #1

I understand that Mark Penn and Scott Rasmussen are men of dubious integrity. denem Feb 2020 #3

lol, this is very true nt Celerity Feb 2020 #5

Use 538 IronLionZion Feb 2020 #2

graph Celerity Feb 2020 #4

why are there two lines for Sanders on the graph? nt Fresh_Start Feb 2020 #6

there is only one Celerity Feb 2020 #7

thank you...I was thinking it was the Cory Booker line title... Fresh_Start Feb 2020 #8

there is no Booker tag because he dropped out, tomorrow the tag for Yang will poof too Celerity Feb 2020 #10

There aren't two lines. Act_of_Reparation Feb 2020 #9

thank you for the explanation Fresh_Start Feb 2020 #11

pretty amazing the decline, although far, far too early to write anyone off Celerity Feb 2020 #13

There are some pretty interesting implications. Act_of_Reparation Feb 2020 #14

burisma.... Fresh_Start Feb 2020 #15

RCP is a Republican outfit Dem2 Feb 2020 #12

Fresh_Start

(11,330 posts)

1. you do understand that surveys are random

Reply to denem (Original post)

Wed Feb 12, 2020, 10:46 AM

Feb 2020

and random doesn't guarantee uniformity, right?

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

denem

(11,045 posts)

3. I understand that Mark Penn and Scott Rasmussen are men of dubious integrity.

Reply to Fresh_Start (Reply #1)

Wed Feb 12, 2020, 10:52 AM

Feb 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Celerity

(43,485 posts)

5. lol, this is very true nt

Reply to denem (Reply #3)

Wed Feb 12, 2020, 10:56 AM

Feb 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

IronLionZion

(45,516 posts)

2. Use 538

Reply to denem (Original post)

Wed Feb 12, 2020, 10:51 AM

Feb 2020

it's continuously updated across lots of polls

This link is for Nevada
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-forecast/nevada/

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Celerity

(43,485 posts)

4. graph

Reply to denem (Original post)

Wed Feb 12, 2020, 10:52 AM

Feb 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Fresh_Start

(11,330 posts)

6. why are there two lines for Sanders on the graph? nt

Reply to Celerity (Reply #4)

Wed Feb 12, 2020, 10:57 AM

Feb 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Celerity

(43,485 posts)

7. there is only one

Reply to Fresh_Start (Reply #6)

Wed Feb 12, 2020, 11:02 AM

Feb 2020

the other light blue is Booker

and this

is Bernie's lead over 2nd place

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Fresh_Start

(11,330 posts)

8. thank you...I was thinking it was the Cory Booker line title...

Reply to Celerity (Reply #7)

Wed Feb 12, 2020, 11:04 AM

Feb 2020

which is missing...but lead makes better sense

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Celerity

(43,485 posts)

10. there is no Booker tag because he dropped out, tomorrow the tag for Yang will poof too

Reply to Fresh_Start (Reply #8)

Wed Feb 12, 2020, 11:08 AM

Feb 2020

Hopefully Gabbard soon too, but who knows

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Act_of_Reparation

(9,116 posts)

9. There aren't two lines.

Reply to Fresh_Start (Reply #6)

Wed Feb 12, 2020, 11:05 AM

Feb 2020

There are two graphs. The graph on top is all the candidates' popularity over time. The graph on the bottom measures spread between Biden and Bernie.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Fresh_Start

(11,330 posts)

11. thank you for the explanation

Reply to Act_of_Reparation (Reply #9)

Wed Feb 12, 2020, 11:08 AM

Feb 2020

and thank you for doing it kindly

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Celerity

(43,485 posts)

13. pretty amazing the decline, although far, far too early to write anyone off

Reply to Act_of_Reparation (Reply #9)

Wed Feb 12, 2020, 11:17 AM

Feb 2020

the high-water mark was almost exactly 9 months ago

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Act_of_Reparation

(9,116 posts)

14. There are some pretty interesting implications.

Reply to Celerity (Reply #13)

Wed Feb 12, 2020, 11:25 AM

Feb 2020

I've suspected, with varying degrees of confidence, that Biden's lead was largely illusory. Influential people decided early on he would be the candidate to beat and that became the narrative. Now that the rubber has hit the road and Biden actually has to sing for his supper, things are going sideways.

That's the way it appears, at any rate. Like you said, it is too early to tell. Maybe I'm full of shit and Joe will break out next week.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided