Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumAs a big Sanders fan, I need more assurances his being so blunt about being Socialist won't cost
him the general election. The polling on socialism is abysmal https://www.nbcnews.com/card/nbc-news-wsj-poll-just-19-percent-voters-view-socialism-n912666 However most people seem to be open to many socialist policies on their own and how Sanders handles this balancing act is what will be crucial to his sucess in a national election.
The fact that Sanders has allowed himself to be attached to the word socialism so strongly may be what makes it for him or breaks it for him. It excites the base but could be a negative in the general. I just don't know which way the road will turn in the general which is nerve wracking. My gut is that he would beat Trump and probably obliterate him in the debates but I also have worries. The polling on socialism makes me just nervous enough to think I should go with someone else who I think has broad appeal who I may not actually connect with as much as I connect with Sanders. Someone who can beat Trump is by far my number 1 issue. Sanders is for sure who I identify with the most and contrary to those who say he won't get the nomination, I think he actually is in a much stronger position than many will admit.
I was in Warren's camp for a bit but her campaign seems to be flat right now so I moved back into the undecided camp. Maybe it will pick up steam in the debates? I would really like to vote for a woman but currently I think Biden would perform the best against Trump or possibly Pete Buttigieg. Buttigieg really appeals to me I have to say. I am watching him to see if he can keep the momentum going and perform well in the debates. I honestly don't think the current issue with Biden and the women will mean squat come the general against the pussy grabber.
I am open to hearing from Sanders folks why you think the socialism thing won't be an issue and possibly could be a strength. I do agree that it would excite the base but would it scare off too many moderates?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
jezebel321
(278 posts)mind he is the easiest for Trump to beat. He will hang the Socialist label around his neck like an anchor and the uneducated sheep voters will be scared of the socialism boogeyman. It will be the new Hillary's emails with the media too.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
comradebillyboy
(10,155 posts)Even Denmark, Norway and Sweden are just capitalist states with generous public benefits. Those benefits are paid for by high taxes on everybody, especially the very regressive value added tax (VAT).
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
California_Republic
(1,826 posts)Senator Kerrey volunteered for Vietnam and was wounded..... and in the end they made that into a weakness.
Every candidates campaign better prepare for a shitstorm.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
radical noodle
(8,003 posts)has hurt the entire party. We need to ditch that. I firmly believe it's what defeated Andrew Gillum in 2018. The GOP really pushed the idea that he was too left... a socialist.
Mayor Pete says he's a Democratic Capitalist. That may be a good way to go. Socialism just has too many negative connotations for too many people.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Tom Rinaldo
(22,913 posts)It simply is too early to say. Of course Trump's hard core base would eat up all the red baiting crap, that's a given. But those people will eat up any propaganda Trump throws their way. If it's not about socialism, it will be accusations of wanting open borders, or coddling criminals, or wanting to take away guns, or butchering fetuses, or cynically "buying" the votes of minorities to win elections, or failing to love America, or environmental zealots destroying American jobs etc. etc. etc. Republicans lie and distort. If they don't have a suitable issue to distort they will invent one out of thin air.
When I say the mood of the country, what I am talking about is how dramatic the sense of needing to make a significant change is. And even if that is strong, in what direction would the public like to move? Would the public want a return to a more traditional style of leadership with the time hallowed trappings of bi-partisanship, or will they want to lurch as far as possible away from what Republicans now represent, will they seek a different path forward after living under a billionaire President who loaded his cabinet with billionaires also?
Socialism no doubt WILL be an issue, that will no doubt be the Republican framing. It is at root an update on the Right's old playbook of making the word "Liberal" toxic while talking about "liberal" elites, and "liberals" in Congress. They got away with that for over a decade, while Democrats flinched and tried to define themselves creatively as anything except "liberal". You can't win by running and Democrats too often ran away from the Republican framing of Democratic ideology. That I believe was a huge mistake.
The policies that Bernie Sanders and virtually everyone else on the left wing of the Democratic coalition embrace are NOT Socialism. Not unless public roads and fire departments and public schools and municipal water districts and FEMA and Medicare and Pell Grants etc. is socialism. There will be a framing battle regardless of who we nominate. Different candidates who we might nominate will each have different ways of responding to the Republican framing effort. Again, it will depend on the mood of the country when the election season gets close enough for that mood to crystallize. For example, should the economy take a turn toward recession then income inequality, and how virtually all the fruits from the last recovery went to those at the very top of the wealth pyramid, could become a burning issue. "Anti-socialist" might ring painfully false in that climate as just another attempt by the super wealthy to justify how they have looted the American economy.
Sanders won support in 2016 from some who don't even think of themselves as liberal ordinarily. Part of his appeal was explained with the word "authentic". Some believed that he was someone who would fight for the little guy against powerful economic interests precisely because he had consistently opposed them throughout his long political career, labels be damned.
I remain essentially undecided so far this primary year because I don't know how well our various candidates will manage framing their message in this political climate, Sanders included. Nor do I know how the public mood will coalesce by late winter/ early spring. It is all a moving picture.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
rgbecker
(4,832 posts)Sanders has had now 4 years to make his case and to air his ideas. He has been attacked as a Socialist during that entire period. Still he has be able to expand his message, framing the arguments into very specific policies that many people find attractive. New people are now on the scene, picking up his policies as God's truth and thus, Sanders has been able to capture the progressive left of the party. I'm not worried about labels the GOP comes up with for Sanders policies as long as the people support the plans. As you state, Fox news and rest will make things up if necessary to smear the Democratic Candidate....Biden included.
Look at Sanders success at framing his goals. This is indication of the success he will have in the election.
1. Calling Healthcare a "Right".
2. Calling for a Minimum Wage that is Living wage.
3. Suggesting College education be included in our idea of Public Education.
4. Calling for a system of taxing the rich to bring these plans to fruition.
All these and others are Sanders' policies that the Democrats have now backed wholeheartedly. Some have been on the Democratic agenda for decades but have only now, because of Sander's continuous hammering, become the standard others are compared to. When the only slightly interested ask where the candidate is on these issues, they will be wanting to hear that the Democrat supports these bedrock issues.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Uncle Joe
(58,370 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Gothmog
(145,344 posts)Link to tweet
As for Sanders, he benefits this time around from 100 percent name identification. However, the flip side of 100 percent name ID is that hes no longer new, no longer saying things no one else will. Hes just as much of a democratic socialist as he was in 2016, but in the space of a few days weve seen that the energy isnt all on the left; its drifting toward a centrist, young, optimistic candidate. Voters follow the energy and the ethos. They dont carry around a thermometer gauging where on the scale of ideological purity each candidate rates.....
All you need to be is progressive enough to win a Democratic primary. Seeming more moderate than the Sanders clan is an advantage in the general election.
Why are pundits, the media and party insiders so convinced that ideological extremism equals energy/success? Part of it may be wishful thinking for progressives. However, part of the difficulty is linguistic. "Moderate sounds to many ears to mean mild-mannered, prone to compromise and wishy-washy in beliefs. Nonsense. If ever there was a radical moderate, a fervent centrist Democrat, its ORourke. And gosh, hes showing that can be exciting.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
MineralMan
(146,317 posts)It most definitely will be an issue, and one that will be put in ALL CAPS by the Republicans.
The voters who think it's a plus are in the minority, frankly. That's why Bernie Sanders lost the primary race in 2016, and why he would lose in the 2020 General Election. The minority will not elect a President. That takes a majority, especially of electoral college votes.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Does your median suburban voter have a positive or negative view of socialism?
On this question the election hangs.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Demsrule86
(68,599 posts)Won by Sanders in my opinion
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Demsrule86
(68,599 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
riverine
(516 posts)Think of all the video of Sanders praising socialist dictators and policies like bread lines.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(145,344 posts)Last edited Fri Apr 5, 2019, 12:37 AM - Edit history (1)
trump will use socialism to attack our nominee if we are not careful https://politicalwire.com/2019/03/21/trumps-economic-team-pushes-socialism-theme/
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(145,344 posts)If Sanders had been the nominee, Trump would have destroyed him. Trump had a two foot thick book of oppo research on Sanders http://www.newsweek.com/myths-cost-democrats-presidential-election-521044
So what would have happened when Sanders hit a real opponent, someone who did not care about alienating the young college voters in his base? I have seen the opposition book assembled by Republicans for Sanders, and it was brutal. The Republicans would have torn him apart. And while Sanders supporters might delude themselves into believing that they could have defended him against all of this, there is a name for politicians who play defense all the time: losers....
The Republicans had at least four other damning Sanders videos (I dont know what they showed), and the opposition research folder was almost 2-feet thick. (The section calling him a communist with connections to Castro alone would have cost him Florida.) In other words, the belief that Sanders would have walked into the White House based on polls taken before anyone really attacked him is a delusion built on a scaffolding of political ignorance.
I am very happy that sanders is being vetted this cycle.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(145,344 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
BlueFlorida
(1,532 posts)The worry is for the actual nominee and hoping that he/she won't be tainted by the socialist label.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden