New Morning Consult poll has Sanders w/ 1 point lead. But LW candidates have 36% to 54% for less LW.

[highplainsdem]

Sanders 25% + Warren 11% = 36%.

Biden 24% + Bloomberg 15% + Buttigieg 12% + Klobuchar 3% = 54%


So more than half of respondents want a candidate who isn't too far left, versus slightly more than a third who want a candidate to the left of most of the party.

Sanders is still well below where Biden usually is in this poll, even though Warren isn't doing well.

The vote for less leftwing candidates is simply being split by too many credible candidates.



Editing to add the link:

https://morningconsult.com/2020/02/06/buttigieg-and-sanders-move-up-biden-slides-after-bungled-iowa-caucuses/

[HerbChestnut]

1. That's some pretty heavy spin...

[highplainsdem]

3. You mean like all the times Sanders and Warren supporters added up their numbers versus Biden's --

but usually left out the other moderate candidates because it would have destroyed the point they were trying to make?

I'm looking at all the top candidates, and support for less LW candidates is 50% greater than support for LW candidates.

[KPN]

5. I think most of that happened when Sanders and Warren combined were polling in the 45%

range. Not so much lately. Also, Yang is pretty far left as well.

[TexasTowelie]

17. No more than the spin that has been made

that all of Warren's supporters will flock to Bernie if she withdraws. There are plenty of Warren supporters who want to support a female candidate and she was the only one to have gained any momentum in the months prior to the first contest. Those Warren supporters want nothing to do with Bernie.

[krissey]

24. This. And Warren is smart. I always get excited with smart. She gets things done.

She is fluid and works with others. Not sounding like someone that will go to Sanders.

[denem]

2. Warren and Buttigieg are under 15%

A back of the envelope calculation would be Sanders v Biden + Bloomberg (for the moment)

[bluewater]

4. HOLY COW!!! Morning Consult has SANDERS leading?!?!!!

Wow. just Wow.

The morning consult poll has been the STRONGEST poll for Joe all year long.

It has a sample size of over 15,000 responders.

It's been the poll keeping Biden's average up in the polling aggregates.

This is simply a game changing moment.

THIS will definitely impact the polling averages going forward.

Oh, don't let me forget to say...

The polls are what the polls are.

And actual election results count more than polls.

[denem]

10. 'The polls are what the polls are'

Five ROFLs this time. Gets funnier every time.

[bluewater]

12. It really does! lol

THE POLLS ARE WHAT THE POLLS ARE.




Whew! Live by the polls, die by the polls, as they would say.

[denem]

18. Next up, Bloomberg leads in a Harris poll :)

[bluewater]

19. Oh, you just KNOW that is coming!

[Progress_Dem]

6. While I understand the logic

what if the logic is wrong? You are assuming that all those who support Biden, Bloomberg, Buttigieg, and Klobuchar want a candidate who isn't "too far left." Maybe that isn't the case though. What if they are just supporting one of those candidates because they like them for whatever reason and not because it is some anti-"far left" vote?

I know progressives who are supporting Buttigieg but would rather see Sanders or Warren be the nominee than Bloomberg or Klobuchar.

[Progress_Dem]

8. Exactly!

[bluewater]

9. excellent points.

For example, I would support Klobuchar before Yang because I think her experience is under rated because she is a woman even though I like more of Yang's ideas, especially a guaranteed basic income.

[denem]

13. Probably the first time I've agreed with you HBS

on anything related to this primary cycle. Impeccable reasoning.

[Hassin Bin Sober]

14. It's about time you got your mind right!

[ismnotwasm]

15. That's just Anecdotal

I really wish people would calm down. Biden certainly hasn’t lost, Bernie Sanders is doing well, Warren and Buttigieg are most likely not going to be the nominee and Bloomberg is almost a dark horse candidate.

[Codeine]

11. Faulty analysis. I don't support Biden because he's

less left than Bernie, or Warren, or whoever, I support him because I feel he’s got a solid shot at getting elected and accomplishing things. His status as a moderate is neither a bug nor a feature, as the agenda of anyone who actually wins is going to be moderated by the inertia of representative government anyway. Ain’t no revolution in an election.

My second choice would be Warren, then Yang, then maybe Buttigieg. Most people I know personally have a similar list. I have no interest whatever in Bloomberg, and the less said about you-know-who the better. I’m voting for competency and electability.

[krissey]

16. We really need to quit putting Warren in Sanders block. I would go Klobuchar,

Buttigieg, Biden and Bloomberg in that order before going Sanders. Many of Warren supporters are HRC supporters.

[denem]

20. Klobuchar, Buttigieg, Biden and Bloomberg

That is me exactly. If Biden and Sanders had stayed out, we would be having a Amy, Elizabeth, Kamala and Pete contest - and I would be happy as larry.

[krissey]

21. Yes. Harris got out too early. I was just considering her jumping back in, lol.

[BlueMTexpat]

23. Absolutely! eom

[still_one]

26. +++

[BlueMTexpat]

22. Why do people continually post

Warren as left-wing?

She is liberal yes, but she is NO Bernie Sanders. Please quit equating her with him.

Someone recently posted a graphic on DU that showed that Klobuchar is MUCH closer to Warren ideologically than she is to Biden. I wish that I could find that chart.

[krissey]

25. As is HRC while they define her as centralist. Harris is left of Sanders.

[BlueMTexpat]

27. Exactly. Warren has MUCH

more in common with HRC than with ANY other candidate currently running.

[krissey]

28. Absolutely. And speaks out more like a HRC than a Biden or Sanders when it comes to the cheating,

criminal Trump and Republicans. That is one reason I really back Warren becuase she says it like it is and doesn't sugar coat it or pretend she can work with todays Republican or even say, "Just cause they voted Trump doesn't make them racist".

[BlueMTexpat]

29. Bingo! eom

[Tiggeroshii]

30. You cannot assume a 2 candidate race with 8 candidates.

It'll winnow down eventually, but we cant pretend to know what will happen.

[Scurrilous]

31. Biden is still ahead in average and has been since he entered the race.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/national/

Biden up in 8 of last 10 latest nationals. And this is down 3% from a pre-caucus poll. So, no bump for strong victory win?