Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumI don't get the MSNBC spin on the Iowa results.
They are already hand wringing about Bidens campaign. But I never expected Biden to do especially well in Iowa nor do I expect it in New Hampshire. Hes not a Midwesterner and there were other moderates to choose from who are, and there are several competitors from states near New Hampshire. He has also been under constant attack from Trump and his sycophants while other candidates whom Trump may perceive as weaker, have been spared. If Biden comes in well behind the leaders in SC, then I think pundits may be right to raise concerns.
Further, we know from 2016 that Sanders does well in caucuses. He should have been expected to come in first or second in Iowa, and as a Vermonter, in New Hampshire. He didnt bring in lots of new participants to the Iowa caucuses.
I think Super Tuesday will tell the tale.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
UniteFightBack
(8,231 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
still_one
(92,217 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
highplainsdem
(49,000 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Green Line
(1,123 posts)I keep going back, but I'm done now.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Dem4Life1102
(3,974 posts)at the network.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
flamingdem
(39,313 posts)Meanwhile he's still the leading candidate. He forewarned that Iowa wouldn't be great for him so...
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
TwilightZone
(25,471 posts)If Iowa really means as much as the media is claiming, the process needs to change. It should only be relevant in the same way any other state with 1% of the delegates is relevant.
What I find interesting is the same media is downplaying what appears to be a likely Pete win and acting as though Sanders had some huge win. All while proclaiming doom for Biden. It's a curious dynamic.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
spooky3
(34,457 posts)They probably expect that hell be finished after Nevada.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
YOHABLO
(7,358 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
IADEMO2004
(5,555 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
oasis
(49,389 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
spooky3
(34,457 posts)And felt like Scooby Doo. One statement after another huh??!!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
blm
(113,064 posts)Sorry, but MSNBC is just too repetitive some nights and I find their Kornacki worship annoying.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Sloumeau
(2,657 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
TheRealNorth
(9,481 posts)As someone who does a lot with statistics, he does a good job at breaking the numbers down, explaining the trends in the data, etc. Sometimes we don't like what he sees in the numbers, but they appear to me to be honest assessments.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
ismnotwasm
(41,989 posts)Sometimes DU primary threads cause me to do research. I get the passion for Bernie Sanders , I really do, as I follow youth trends.
However, the Iowa loss for Biden projects out to, well not much from what Im reading. We will see. Im hearing states like Florida will go for Joe Biden, California for Bernie Sanders. Doubt, HIGHLY doubt, the south will go to Sanders.
I have my eye on Bloomberg right now, hes that long shot, interesting hes picking up steam.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
spooky3
(34,457 posts)CA, 538 says hes expected to win a third of the votes.
This isnt the electoral college, so it seems weird to say he will win CA.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ismnotwasm
(41,989 posts)I try to wade through it as best I can
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
former9thward
(32,019 posts)Getting the most votes has been the standard of every candidate saying they won a state, forever. When did that change? just because Sanders might win?
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
spooky3
(34,457 posts)votes, as in 51%? If someone gets 31% of California and someone else gets 30.9%, you're welcome to view that as a big win. I would not.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
former9thward
(32,019 posts)The Buttigieg people are claiming a big win because they are less than a percentage vote ahead of Sanders in the state (not even national) delegate count. But since it is over Sanders that is ok I guess.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
spooky3
(34,457 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ChubbyStar
(3,191 posts)Funny!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
ChubbyStar
(3,191 posts)Prior results impact the odds; the length of the race factors in, trainers and owners also factor in, the track, the temperature, the age of the runners, and given conditions of the race, it is complicated. I have been loving and betting on horses for over 30 years, and fuck yes I love a long shot, but not Mike.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
NewsCenter28
(1,835 posts)No words can express the extreme danger that he poses to the whole world in that he will enable Trump to establish his dreamed-of monarchy.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
brooklynite
(94,592 posts)It's not spin if it's obvious.
https://www.democraticunderground.com/1287478031
https://www.democraticunderground.com/1287478609
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
spooky3
(34,457 posts)the basis for my opinion on this particular point.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gore1FL
(21,132 posts)The is especially problematic when doing so as a moderate in a moderate state. Additionally, he has to raise money.
When a process like this is all about momentum and timing this sort of outcome is going to raise eyebrows. He can get it back, but right now he's stalled and has to recover.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Capt. America
(2,477 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
stonecutter357
(12,697 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
emmaverybo
(8,144 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
redstateblues
(10,565 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden