Cancelled DesMoines Register Poll: Bernie 22 (+2), Warren 18 (+1), Buttigieg 16 (), Biden 13 (-2)

[HerbChestnut]

https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/iowa-caucus-2020-election-live/#254963

[StevieM]

1. If this is true then failing to publish it was a big blow to Elizabeth Warren.

This is the kind of thing that could have helped her build some momentum.

She may have enough going for her to win anyway. But this would have been helpful to her.

[HerbChestnut]

2. Maybe. The previous DMR poll showed her in 2nd as well.

Honestly, I think this is bad news for Biden considering 15% is the viability threshold throughout the state.

[book_worm]

3. Note:

Those leaked numbers — which were unreleased and very possibly wrong — showed Bernie Sanders leading with 22%, followed by Elizabeth Warren at 18%, Pete Buttigieg at 16% and Joe Biden at 13%.

https://politicalwire.com/2020/02/03/the-spiked-iowa-poll-is-still-influencing-what-you-read/

I guess we'll find out in a few hours.

[denem]

5. "538 can confirm that it contains the correct final findings of the unreleased Iowa poll"

They have put their name to it.

[pfeiffer]

4. Egg on the DMR's face.

IA polls have been yo-yo'ing between Elizabeth/Bernie/Pete/Joe all season.

[denem]

6. We will see - Biden 15%, 15%, 13% - last three polls.

That much has been consistent.

[TexasTowelie]

7. Current actual results have Bernie in fourth and Warren in fifth

https://www.kcci.com/article/kcci-iowa-caucus-headquarters/30599739

IOWA
President - Final Alignment - Dem - Final Alignment Caucus
0.23 % Precincts Reporting | 8% expected voteFeb. 03, 2020 5:12 pm EST
Party Name Votes Vote %
Dem
Klobuchar, Amy
56
32%
Dem
Buttigieg, Pete
46
26.29%
Dem
Biden, Joe
33
18.86%
Dem
Sanders, Bernie
30
17.14%
Dem
Warren, Elizabeth
10
5.71%
Dem
Gabbard, Tulsi
0
0%
Dem
Yang, Andrew
0
0%
Dem
Uncommitted
0
0%
Dem
Other
0
0%
Dem
Patrick, Deval
0
0%
Dem
Bloomberg, Michael
0
0%
Dem
Steyer, Tom
0
0%
Dem
Bennet, Michael
0
0%
Dem
Delaney, John
0
0%

[HerbChestnut]

8. LOL. K.

[Quixote1818]

9. Pretty much meaningless. Represents a tiny region

That is probably not very representative of most of the state.

[TexasTowelie]

10. But they are the current results instead of just another poll.