** Brand Spanking New General Election Match Ups**

[DemocratSinceBirth]

The State of the 2020 race

There’s constant arguing about who is and is not electable in the Democratic Presidential field. But the reality right now is that Trump polls pretty much the same no matter which Democrat you test against him, coming in at 40-42% support. Joe Biden with a 53-40 advantage over Trump does the best. Beyond that the rest have pretty similar numbers. Bernie Sanders leads Trump 49-41, Kamala Harris and Cory Booker do 48-41, Elizabeth Warren does 48-42, Kirsten Gillibrand and Beto O’Rourke do 47-41, and Pete Buttigieg does 45-41. The relative strength of the Democrats seems to generally correspond with how prominent they’ve been on the national scene over time.

Democrats also have a 51-40 lead on the generic Congressional ballot, consistent with their strong advantage on that metric throughout the 2018 election cycle.

https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/polls/opinions-unchanged-about-trump-and-russia-voters-care-more-about-health-care-and-tax-plan-anyway/

[Bleacher Creature]

1. It looks like the performance by each Dem aligns with their name recognition.

With Biden (followed closely by Sanders) having the biggest lead, and Buttigieg the smallest. Once we have an actual nominee, I'd expect their lead to grow (assuming it's not Biden or Sanders).

[MineralMan]

2. At this point, that's probably the biggest factor.

On the other hand Biden's 13 point lead is significantly higher than Bernie's 8 point lead, and both have very high name recognition. Add to that that Biden is not officially a candidate, and I like him as the nominee, still.

[RDANGELO]

3. The Democrat is typically getting 40% of the white vote.

If that holds up Trump is toast.