Current Election Betting Odds

[RandySF]

Democratic Nomination:
Sanders 36.2%
Biden 30.1%

2020 Election:
Trump 53.7%
Sanders 16.1%



https://electionbettingodds.com/

[DanTex]

1. Predictit, where you can actually place bets, has different numbers.

https://www.predictit.org/markets/1/US-Elections

I wonder why that website created by John Stossel would have better numbers for Trump and worse for Bernie?

[RandySF]

3. Trump .49, Sanders .27

[DanTex]

5. Yeah, pretty big difference.

I don't know where Stossel is getting his data, I mean I doubt he's going in a jiggering the numbers by hand. But it is a little weird that the Stossel numbers have Sanders at 10 points lower and Trump at 5 points higher.

[empedocles]

7. 49% to 27% is a . . . 'pretty big difference'

[DanTex]

8. That's because the primaries aren't over yet.

Bernie is the most likely Democrat to win, followed by Biden. Obviously none of the Democrats are going to have as high odds as Trump, because the primary isn't over yet, and for a Dem to win they have to first win the primary.

[Quixote1818]

15. Correct. Nt

[David__77]

2. 2020 Election: Trump 53.5%, Biden 13.0%

...

[KPN]

4. You left out that Biden's chance of winning the 2020 Election was 13.0%. So it should have been:

Democratic Nomination:
Sanders 36.2%
Biden 30.1%

2020 Election:
Trump 53.7%
Sanders 16.1%

Biden 13%


Some additional tidbits/info:

- Current Vegas odds show Yang as being the only clearcut favorite to beat TRump.
- Hillary was a huge favorite over tRump before the election and through the day of the election -- until results began to come in and the odds started moving away from her to tRump.

[RandySF]

9. I excluded Biden because Sanders has the higher odds of nomination.

[KPN]

11. Well, that maybe so, but it is misinformational by leaving him out of the second set of figures.

So I helped you out and provided that information. ... I also edited my post to add a couple of other pieces of info I thought were relevant for folks to know.

My advice to everyone: take Vegas odds with a grain of salt and GOTV/Vote Blue no matter who in the GE. Every one of our candidates is a God-send compared to the foul, filthy criminal pig we have occupying the WH right now.

Biden will have my support and assistance 110% should he win the nomination.

[Historic NY]

6. Thats is exactly why they want Sanders....

[KPN]

12. Ummm ... the same set of odds shows Biden doing worse head-to-head with tRump in the election.

Take a look at the link.

[HarlanPepper]

13. +1

It would be a walk in the park, I think.

[TrunKated]

10. hmmmm...

Might be a good time to bet and make some money.

[Quixote1818]

14. Extremely misleading. It also has the Dem nominee even with Trump.

If you do it that way Trump crushes all our candidates.