Democratic Primaries

beastie boy

(9,363 posts) Fri Jan 31, 2020, 12:12 PM Jan 2020

New IBD/TIPP national poll (A/B rated)

Joe Biden leads with 26% support in the February IBD/TIPP Poll, followed by Bernie Sanders at 19% and Elizabeth Warren at 13%. Former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg, with 8% support, has pulled into fourth place, ahead of South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg, backed by 7%.
Andrew Yang (4%), Amy Klobuchar (3%) and Tom Steyer (2%) are the only other candidates polling above 1%.

https://www.investors.com/politics/joe-biden-leads-bernie-sanders-but-trump-pulls-even-ibd-tipp/

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

11 replies

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New IBD/TIPP national poll (A/B rated) (Original Post) beastie boy Jan 2020 OP

IBD/TIPP ritapria Jan 2020 #1

Every-time we pretend our unsupported allegations are fact, science cries a little more. LanternWaste Jan 2020 #2

For some reason, this doesn't prevent them from getting the A/B rating from 538 beastie boy Jan 2020 #3

An "A/B" rating is provisional rating because of the Pollster not having an established record. bluewater Jan 2020 #4

Beats an established C rating, doesn't it? beastie boy Jan 2020 #6

Jury is still out, according to 538. bluewater Jan 2020 #7

They assigned an A/B provisional rating for good reason too, I am sure! beastie boy Jan 2020 #10

Good to know, thanks. DanTex Jan 2020 #5

I don't think that you understand poll averaging as well as you may think that you do. :) nt Sloumeau Jan 2020 #8

awww.. you don't like the polling with Biden ahead? Cha Jan 2020 #11

Message auto-removed Name removed Jan 2020 #9

ritapria

(1,812 posts)

1. IBD/TIPP

Reply to beastie boy (Original post)

Fri Jan 31, 2020, 12:18 PM

Jan 2020

registers support for Bernie that is most often around 5% less than his RCP national average ...Which indicates Bernie's actual national support is around 24% …

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

LanternWaste

(37,748 posts)

2. Every-time we pretend our unsupported allegations are fact, science cries a little more.

Reply to ritapria (Reply #1)

Fri Jan 31, 2020, 12:24 PM

Jan 2020

(Nice effort with the ellipses-usage. Your hard work is paying off!!!)

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

beastie boy

(9,363 posts)

3. For some reason, this doesn't prevent them from getting the A/B rating from 538

Reply to ritapria (Reply #1)

Fri Jan 31, 2020, 12:24 PM

Jan 2020

Can't wait to hear how 538 is part of the conspiracy to undermine Bernie... which, I guess, makes their actual ratings about 5% lower than what they report.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

bluewater

(5,376 posts)

4. An "A/B" rating is provisional rating because of the Pollster not having an established record.

Reply to beastie boy (Reply #3)

Fri Jan 31, 2020, 12:31 PM

Jan 2020

538 states that when they don't assign a definitive rating it's because the pollster does not have an established track record with them. So they assign provisional ratings in the form "A/B" or "B/C', as examples.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

beastie boy

(9,363 posts)

6. Beats an established C rating, doesn't it?

Reply to bluewater (Reply #4)

Fri Jan 31, 2020, 12:41 PM

Jan 2020

To mangle Mark Twain, it is better to be provisional and be thought a hack than establish an inferior record and remove all doubt.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

bluewater

(5,376 posts)

7. Jury is still out, according to 538.

Reply to beastie boy (Reply #6)

Fri Jan 31, 2020, 12:46 PM

Jan 2020

Time will tell.

That pollster could be right, or it could crash and burn.

538 was not confident to assign a definitive rating, and for good reasons, I am sure.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden