Exclusive Polling: Iowa Youth Poised for Historic Caucus Turnout

[Donkees]

Youth support in Iowa highest for Sanders, followed by Warren and Buttigieg

January 24, 2020




Excerpt:

MEDFORD/SOMERVILLE, Mass. (Jan. 24, 2020)–Young people are poised for a potentially historic turnout in the upcoming Iowa caucuses, and young Democrats prefer Sen. Bernie Sanders, according to an exclusive CIRCLE-Tisch College/Suffolk University Iowa youth poll released today by the Center for Information and Research on Civic Learning & Engagement (CIRCLE)—the preeminent, non-partisan research center on youth engagement at Tufts University’s Jonathan M. Tisch College of Civic Life.

More than a third (35%) of young Iowans (ages 18-29) surveyed say they are “extremely likely” to caucus on Feb. 3, 2020, which, if the survey results mirror actual participation, would represent a three-fold increase over estimated youth participation in the 2016 caucuses. Young Iowans who are registered or identify as Democrats are supporting Sen. Bernie Sanders by a substantial margin: 39% intend to caucus for Sanders, followed by 19% for Sen. Elizabeth Warren, 14% for former Mayor Pete Buttigieg, 9% for entrepreneur Andrew Yang, and 7% for former U.S. Vice President Joe Biden. On the GOP side, according to our poll, 85% of young Iowans who are registered or identify as Republicans intend to support President Trump.

“This poll comes at a pivotal time for young people’s electoral participation, following on the heels of the 2018 election when young people’s activism and peer-to-peer outreach propelled a doubling of youth turnout that was decisive in some races,” said Kei Kawashima-Ginsberg, director of Tisch College’s CIRCLE. “While Iowa is only one state, and its population is not representative of voters nationally, our poll suggests that the trend of higher youth participation may well continue in 2020 and beyond.”

https://now.tufts.edu/news-releases/exclusive-polling-iowa-youth-poised-historic-caucus-turnout

[Kurt V.]

1. this is indicative of the u.s. in general. boomers (me) have had our say. now it's time for

the next generation. i trust them.

[democrank]

2. Recommended

[zentrum]

3. Kick

[Tiggerbay]

4. The polls didnt acount for Sanders big

Youth turnout in 2016 and that is why they were so far off. Recall clinton being up in rcp avg by 21 pts. On election day of the Michigan primary and Sanders won, that went on in state poll after state poll. If the pollsters did not make adjustments this time around, Sanders may have another 5 plus points the polls are not showing.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/mi/michigan_democratic_presidential_primary-5224.html