WBUR poll showing Sanders +12 in NH has same rating as poll showing Biden +4

[highplainsdem]

Both A/B polls, the one showing Biden ahead done about a week earlier.

In between were two A- rated polls, one showing Sanders less than 2 points (1.6%) ahead of Biden, and another, done a few days earlier, showing Sanders with a 5 point lead over Buttigieg, 9 points over Biden.


https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/new-hampshire/



These polls were all done between the 8th and the 20th.

I don't believe there's been a 16-point swing in favor of Sanders.

Btw, the WBUR poll has the smallest sample size.

The poll favoring Biden had the second-smallest.


Anyway, the WBUR poll looks like the outlier here, with Sanders leading by double digits.


RCP's current averages for New Hampshire:


Sanders 21.6
Biden 17.6
Buttigieg 14.8
Warren 14.0

[getagrip_already]

1. bernie was always going to win nh....

It was just a question of by how much.

More than likely, the two top vote getters will likely get nearly the same number of delegates. Even in 2016, the two candidates were within 6 delegates of each other.

After NH, sanders had a 4 delegate advantage that dissipated quickly and was never seen again.

It really won't matter.

[Tiggerbay]

2. That is a massive lead for Sanders

I think hes got NH locked up from the looks of it.