Bernie Takes Early Lead In New Hampshire Democratic Primary

[left-of-center2012]

The first New Hampshire Democratic Primary Poll since Sen. Bernie Sanders announced he’s running for president finds Sanders at a slight advantage with 27% of the vote, former Vice President Joe Biden with 25% and Sen. Kamala Harris at 12%. No other candidate clears double digits. The NH poll was conducted February 21-22 of registered voters, the Democratic primary ballot test had a sample of n=405, +/-4.8%.

Among voters ages 18-34, Bernie Sanders has a large lead with 44% of the vote. Joe Biden follows at 11%, Elizabeth Warren has 9%, and Kamala Harris is tied with Beto O’Rourke with 8% apiece.

Voters 35-54 years old prefer Biden (30%), then Sanders (26%). Harris takes 14%, Sen. Amy Klobuchar takes 10%, and Warren receives 7% of the vote.

Among voters aged 55-74 years, Joe Biden leads with 30%, followed by Sanders (18%) and Harris (13%), with Warren and Klobuchar tied in fourth with 8% apiece.

Among voters aged 75 and older, Biden leads with 39%, followed by Warren (18%), Klobuchar (11%), Sanders (10%) and Harris with 8%.



http://emersonpolling.com/2019/02/23/bernie-takes-early-lead-in-new-hampshire-democratic-primary-potential-tight-us-senate-race-if-gov-sununu-takes-on-sen-shaheen/

[BannonsLiver]

1. A dead heat. Within the MOE.

I’ve been told Bernie will win NH by double digits by posters here. We will find out in less than a year.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

2. Didn't he have 63% last time?

Where did nearly 60% of his support go?

[vsrazdem]

4. Considering Biden, Beto and Bloomberg have not even announced, it's easy to figure out.

[workinclasszero]

3. Great poll for Bernie but unfair as well

This is the second poll showing Bernie in the lead. Kinda ruins the narrative of a lot of folks who claim to know the future in the media and the party.

It’s unfair because Joe Biden, who isn’t even running in in the poll.

Take him out and Bernie’s support more than doubles the closest candidate!!

Anyone thinking Bernie is gonna be easy to beat better pack their lunch and get ready for the fight of their life!

IMO

[Garrett78]

6. You think most of Biden's support would fall to Sanders if Biden doesn't run?

New Hampshire is crucial for Sanders, just as it is for Warren.

It's after New Hampshire when things will get ugly for Sanders. Nevada, South Carolina and Super Tuesday will not treat him kindly. The hard demographic data we have from 2016 means far more than any name-recognition poll.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

7. This is what the previous poll indicates

The poll also asked voters if they would be willing to vote for a different candidate, and 82 percent of voters said they would support another candidate. When their initial preferred candidate was excluded from the list of candidates, Harris topped the list of second choices at 28 percent, followed by Biden at 26 percent, Sen. Cory Booker of New Jersey at 24 percent, Warren of Massachusetts at 22 percent and Sanders at 21 percent.

https://www.umass.edu/newsoffice/article/presidential-politics-biden-leads-umass

[Garrett78]

8. Frankly, I think all of these preference polls and hypothetical match-up polls are meaningless...

...at this juncture. As I said in my last post, at least with regard to Sanders, we have much more meaningful data in the demographic results from the 2016 primary.

That said, I think it's fair to say a majority of Biden's support would fall to people other than Sanders were Biden to not run.

[msongs]

5. 73% of those polled do NOT want bernie. nt