Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

Democratic Primaries

highplainsdem

(49,041 posts) Mon Jan 13, 2020, 09:23 PM Jan 2020

10

New A+ rated Monmouth IOWA poll: Biden 24%, Sanders 18%, Buttigieg 17%, Warren 15%,

Klobuchar 8%, Booker & Steyer 4%, Yang 3%, Gabbard 2%, all others 1% or less

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmouthpoll_ia_011320.pdf/

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

16 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

New A+ rated Monmouth IOWA poll: Biden 24%, Sanders 18%, Buttigieg 17%, Warren 15%, (Original Post) highplainsdem Jan 2020 OP

The differences between that poll and Ann Selzer's are not MoE. crazytown Jan 2020 #1

And they're both A+ rated polls at 538. highplainsdem Jan 2020 #3

They are indeed. crazytown Jan 2020 #4

Very Classy crazytown...how not surprising...good luck to you also. Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #14

highplainsdem, thanks a bunch for posting this! :) Sloumeau Jan 2020 #2

Interesting, polled 93% of white voters, weighted higher in ages 45 and older. vsrazdem Jan 2020 #5

That maybe... the over 45 crowd are the ones that actually vote!! Thekaspervote Jan 2020 #6

We shall see. vsrazdem Jan 2020 #7

Iowa demographics: OilemFirchen Jan 2020 #9

My point, they polled higher than the average white voters, plus margin of error at 4.9%. vsrazdem Jan 2020 #10

By a smidge. OilemFirchen Jan 2020 #12

As I pointed out in another thread, this poll weighed state voter registration data as well as highplainsdem Jan 2020 #16

Looks like that sled graphic on the Des Moines Register needs to be redone. nt UniteFightBack Jan 2020 #8

IF Joe wins Iowa its all over but the crying.. honest.abe Jan 2020 #11

If Biden pulls a double with wins in Iowa and New Hampshire, with a raft of Blue_true Jan 2020 #13

dOeS THis cOUnt aS A suRge? Tarheel_Dem Jan 2020 #15

crazytown

(7,277 posts)

1. The differences between that poll and Ann Selzer's are not MoE.

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Jan 13, 2020, 09:32 PM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

highplainsdem

(49,041 posts)

3. And they're both A+ rated polls at 538.

Reply to crazytown (Reply #1)

Mon Jan 13, 2020, 09:34 PM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

crazytown

(7,277 posts)

4. They are indeed.

Reply to highplainsdem (Reply #3)

Mon Jan 13, 2020, 09:37 PM

Jan 2020

Good news for the Biden campaign volunteers on the ground in IA. I wish them well.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Demsrule86

(68,691 posts)

14. Very Classy crazytown...how not surprising...good luck to you also.

Reply to crazytown (Reply #4)

Mon Jan 13, 2020, 11:17 PM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Sloumeau

(2,657 posts)

2. highplainsdem, thanks a bunch for posting this! :)

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Jan 13, 2020, 09:33 PM

Jan 2020

Not only is Biden leading in Iowa, but he's leading in New Hampshire too!

Link:

[link:https://www.democraticunderground.com/1287420688|]

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

vsrazdem

(2,177 posts)

5. Interesting, polled 93% of white voters, weighted higher in ages 45 and older.

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Jan 13, 2020, 09:38 PM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Thekaspervote

(32,796 posts)

6. That maybe... the over 45 crowd are the ones that actually vote!!

Reply to vsrazdem (Reply #5)

Mon Jan 13, 2020, 09:58 PM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

vsrazdem

(2,177 posts)

7. We shall see.

Reply to Thekaspervote (Reply #6)

Mon Jan 13, 2020, 10:01 PM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

OilemFirchen

(7,143 posts)

9. Iowa demographics:

Reply to vsrazdem (Reply #5)

Mon Jan 13, 2020, 10:10 PM

Jan 2020

White: 90.28%
Median age: 38 (For weighting purposes, note that only those 18 and older are eligible to vote,)

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

vsrazdem

(2,177 posts)

10. My point, they polled higher than the average white voters, plus margin of error at 4.9%.

Reply to OilemFirchen (Reply #9)

Mon Jan 13, 2020, 10:12 PM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

OilemFirchen

(7,143 posts)

12. By a smidge.

Reply to vsrazdem (Reply #10)

Mon Jan 13, 2020, 10:20 PM

Jan 2020

They also oversampled women (actual demographics: 49.7% male, 50.3% female. Their sample: 42% male, 58% female.)

The MOE is consistent with other polls from Iowa.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

highplainsdem

(49,041 posts)

16. As I pointed out in another thread, this poll weighed state voter registration data as well as

Reply to vsrazdem (Reply #10)

Tue Jan 14, 2020, 12:52 AM

Jan 2020

census data.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

UniteFightBack

(8,231 posts)

8. Looks like that sled graphic on the Des Moines Register needs to be redone. nt

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Jan 13, 2020, 10:02 PM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

honest.abe

(8,685 posts)

11. IF Joe wins Iowa its all over but the crying..

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Jan 13, 2020, 10:16 PM

Jan 2020

especially from the Sanders crowd.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Blue_true

(31,261 posts)

13. If Biden pulls a double with wins in Iowa and New Hampshire, with a raft of

Reply to honest.abe (Reply #11)

Mon Jan 13, 2020, 10:25 PM

Jan 2020

diverse states on tap, I have to agree that things would look bleak for anyone else. Winning a caucus is South Dakota won't cut into Biden's lead even remotely.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Tarheel_Dem

(31,241 posts)

15. dOeS THis cOUnt aS A suRge?

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Tue Jan 14, 2020, 12:49 AM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Reply to this discussion

Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»Democratic Primaries»New A+ rated Monmouth IOW...