If the CBS/YouGov poll is accurate (and there's nothing saying they aren't), here is how...

[George II]

...Iowa and New Hampshire shake out, give or take a delegate or two:

Iowa, 41 Delegates:

Biden (23%), 11 Delegates
Warren (16%), 8 Delegates
Sanders (23%), 11 Delegates
Buttigieg (23%), 11 Delegates

New Hampshire:

Biden (25%), 9 Delegates
Warren (18%), 6 Delegates
Sanders (27%), 9 Delegates
Buttigieg (13%), 0 Delegates

Total - Biden 20, Warren 14, Sanders 20, Buttigieg 11

After two almost all-white states have voted, no clear leader and still more than 3,900 delegates to be determined.

[Demsrule86]

1. And Warren, Buttigieg and possibly Sanders are mathematically eliminated after super Tuesday.

[Polybius]

7. No way

No one will be mathematically eliminated after March 3rd, that's way too early. This primary will be closer than 2016, and no one was eliminated Super Tuesday then either.

[Blue_true]

37. Super Tuesday is critical to Sanders, Warren and Buttigieg.

Biden would have whipped all of the soundly in South Carlolina a few days earlier. If he comes out of Super Tuesday with a significant lead, he then rolls into the big list of southern primaries where he is expected to beat the pants off of everyone else. Biden could come out is of the South with an insurmountable lead and walk to the nomination.

[totodeinhere]

11. Wishful thinking on your part. n/t

[Joe941]

12. You have to get 51% to win.

[Demsrule86]

21. He could be so far ahead...Biden I mean that they can't win...and you have to have the most delegate

and on the second ballot supers vote for the individual who has the most delegates...not a team sport so if you desire to combine Sanders and Warren delegates...better get one of them to drop out...it is the only way. I think that there will be a clear winner anyway...and it won't be Bernie or Warren...Biden is going to be the nominee.

[Demsrule86]

24. No you don't...36% would be sufficient...in a second ballot vote as another poster pointed out...and

if 36% is the highest number of delegates among INDIVIDUAL donors, supers will put this candidate over the top...did you know that supers put Pres. Obama over the top? It was a very close election.

[evertonfc]

2. Biden will

dominate in the south

[George II]

10. If things go the way they've been for a couple of months, he'll sweep all the delegates in SC and..

...get more than 2/3 of the delegates in North Carolina. He will also get all the delegates in Virginia, Georgia, Florida and Texas.

There have been no meaningful polls in any of the other southern states. We're going to have an early nominee this year.

[UniteFightBack]

25. Word. nt

[RandySF]

3. Then we will hear "rigged" through July.

[Thekaspervote]

5. This!

[UniteFightBack]

26. I ain't gonna listen. nt

[Recursion]

30. I am not looking forward to the end of this primary season

The rule changes were, IMO, a horrible idea, and we're going to see why

[Blue_true]

38. Some things never seem to change.

"Rigged" is the new definition of "not enough people were into me".

[gristy]

4. I'm pleased they are all doing so well and are bunched together

This would seem to be a good thing. Certainly I like them all!

[Hortensis]

6. If I had no other dog in this race, I'd want it to shake

out that way just to pain and expose all the corrupt "analysts" lying to elect Republicans.

Big no to making it easy for them to hide what they are.

[KPN]

9. This is great news to me. The trend is obvious.

I’m feeling really good.

[judeling]

13. I see absolutely no trend

More treading water.
You have to squint to see any real movement except maybe so slight Pete decline and a bit of Amy advance. But the race is to unsettled to see a clear trend anywhere.

[KPN]

19. That's by choice. Biden has been losing ground to the field

slowly but surely.

[Demsrule86]

22. Wishful thinking...Biden was in fourth place before Christmas according to polls now he is at least

tied...and New Hampshire should be a blow out for Sander and Warren and it is not. I would not be surprised if Biden didn't win Iowa...but no matter what he gets delegate and then we move onto Nevada, North Carolina,Super Tuesday...and the south, the Midwest, California...Biden get delegates there too...and with the pitiful amount of AA support for both Sanders and Warren...they will not win once you hit states with diversity.

[Gothmog]

14. Two 90%+ white jurisdictions do not reflect the demographics of the party

If Biden does as projected in these states, he will clean up in South Carolina and the Super Tuesday states

Link to tweet

[George II]

15. Correct. Thankfully when both votes are over and behind us we can move on....

....to more diverse states that more accurately reflect the demographics of the United States and there will be no "clear leader" at that point.

[UniteFightBack]

27. Yes he will run the table....and also in the general election...you just watch. nt

[Recursion]

31. Right, the assumption was always that anybody who was going to beat Biden

had to rack up an early victory in either NH or IA and then consolidate the rest of the field. Hell, the Biden campaign had essentially conceded Iowa two months ago. I don't see much of an avenue for the rest of the candidates if Biden wins these two.

[Hortensis]

35. Yes, the second tier are all counting on IA/NH for the

breakout from second tier that's always eluded them. They all have to make it or it's basically over.

Sanders, however, does have the money and will to show up in another 48 states and pretend he's in the running, raking in more donations for months just like last time.

[Gothmog]

16. sanders needs to win big in these all white states to have chance

Link to tweet

[George II]

17. According to 538, Biden could very easily sweep all the Southern states with his opponents....

....getting less than 15% in almost every case. This is in addition to winning both Florida and Texas.

[radius777]

18. Biden is Hillary but stronger

because he can also hold his own in the white states that Bernie won big in last time.

Some Sanders people think if Warren fades (and possibly drops out) all of her voters are going over to him - nonsense - as many of them are Hillary and Kamala voters who despise Sanders.

And when/if Buttigieg, Klobuchar, Bloomberg, Steyer drop out - I think most of those votes goto Biden.

Basically Biden can't lose the nomination (just like Hillary couldn't lose it) because of his dominance in the South and amongst PoC voters (who also play a large role in the large delegate rich states outside of the South) overall, as well as with establishment and moderate Dem voters.

[Gothmog]

20. In order to cancel out Biden's massive lead in the south, Bernie needs huge leads with white voters

Link to tweet

[NYMinute]

23. It's the math

Some aren't very good at it or choose to be not good at it so they can whine.

[Indykatie]

28. I Was Hoping for a Close Outcome in NH and IA

I couldn't bear a month of the Media proclaiming a front runner for the Dem nomination based on the outcome of 2 states that look nothing like the Dem party.

[fleabiscuit]

29. Good to see how it's all falling. nt

[Vogon_Glory]

32. Two Mostly-Whitebread States

I suppose that a Club Pachyderm primary season could show who is surging ahead.

But we’re Democrats. We’re a long way from telling who will gather the most delegates.

[brooklynite]

33. Your delegate assessment doesn't take into account ground game...

Future intent is not automatically reflective of actual caucus voting. Warren and Buttigieg have the strongest ground teams to round up their supporters and keep them at the Caucus site through two rounds of voting.

[George II]

34. That's why I said "give or take a delegate or two..."

The only thing we know about any campaign's "ground game" is what the campaigns themselves tell us. We were told that Sanders' campaign had 25,000 people "on the ground" in Iowa. That's obviously not true.

[scheming daemons]

36. And after that, Biden will sweep ALL of the SC delegates...

...because no other candidate will clear 15%.

And at that point, he'll have a sizeable lead going into Super Tuesday.