Bernie Sanders is not only back, he has the best shot at the nomination right now

[StrictlyRockers]

https://www.bostonglobe.com/metro/2019/12/13/bernie-sanders-not-only-back-has-best-shot-nomination-right-now/R1OTwAuVJnV8IZ1COQp5UP/story.html

In the most recent Suffolk University/Boston Globe poll of likely New Hampshire Democratic primary voters, released in late November, found that 64 percent of Sanders voters said their minds are firmly made up to support him.



Compare that with the 37 percent of Biden supporters, 36 percent of Warren supporters, and 30 percent of Buttigieg supporters who said they fully backed their candidate.



With such a base of support and such a large field, Sanders was always going to be a factor of some kind.

[PhoenixDem]

1. lmao

[DavidDvorkin]

2. Oh, Lord.

[George II]

3. That article is two weeks old. The polls referred to were taken prior to Harris dropping out....

....and prior to his mediocre performance at the debate last week.

The fact is the only early state where he's leading is in his neighboring state, NH, and that by a razor thin margin. He's far behind in Nevada and close to being off the board in South Carolina.

Of the 155 delegates up for grabs in those four states he'll be lucky to get as many as 40.

[Thekaspervote]

11. Thx for the delegate number breakdown of the first 4 states. Then comes Super Tuesday which will

Give Biden a huge lead.

I do not understand how the numbers could be interpreted into a win for sanders!!

But ya know... magic beads, unicorns 🦄...

[still_one]

17. Bernie math

[Thekaspervote]

20. Oh got it... I will start using bernie math

[George II]

22. Biden is ahead in these BIG states - California, Texas, and Florida.

[bearsfootball516]

4. The primaries really can't come fast enough...

[ritapria]

5. Even Nate Silver has stated recently that Bernie has a "definite" shot at winning the nomination

He is no fan of Bernie whatsoever …..I believe Nate prefers Biden - though he has not stated so explicitly .. Even though I support Bernie I try to keep it real ….He has about a 30% chance of taking the prize ...

[Thekaspervote]

15. Listened to the Nate Silver YouTube clip about sanders. No where is 30% mentioned

Link to something!!

[InAbLuEsTaTe]

34. I agree Nate has an Anti-Bernie bias, but even he cant deny Bernie's high chance of comin out on top

Bernie/Elizabeth or Elizabeth/Bernie 2020!!
Either way, they're stronger together & can't be bought!!
Jump on the Bernie Bandwagon & join the revolution!!

[Gothmog]

6. "Joe Biden is more resilient than anybody thought he would be including myself."

Link to tweet

[Thekaspervote]

8. Resilient, durable, electable, liked, sincere, has been a full time dem unlike the part time dem

Currently running.

Agree totally with the tweet..

[Thekaspervote]

7. RCP avg Biden 28.1 sanders 18.0.Latest Emerson poll Biden 30 sanders 17

And there’s this

Sanders got 40% of Democratic Primary vote in '16, he's running half that this time. Even if he got 100% of Warren's support, he'd still be behind his '16 vote total. Thehill.com

And this
#NEW South Carolina @YouGov Poll:

Biden 40%
Sanders 14%
Buttigieg11%
Warren 10%
Steyer 7%
Gabbard 5%
Yang 3%
Booker/Klobuchar 2%
Delaney/Patrick/Bloomberg 1%

And this

Unlike Monmouth earlier, the new Quinnipiac national Dem poll does have a breakout among black voters:

Biden 51%
Sanders 13%
Warren 12%
Bloomberg 4%
Buttigieg 2%
Klobuchar 2%
Steyer 2%
Yang 2%
Booker 1%
Delaney 1%
Williamson 1%

poll.qu.edu/images/polling…
NO nominee, not even a part time democrat wins without the AA voters on board
And this

Link to tweet

?s=21


He has no clear path to the nomination... thank goodness!!!

[brush]

9. All have a shot at it, some longer than others. Sanders' poor support...

from black voters and other POCs make Sanders a longer shot than Biden's.

[George II]

14. His strength is is mostly white caucus or open primary states.....

He performs dreadfully in closed primary states.

[brush]

18. Yep, there are so many threads hyping him lately you'd think it was 2016.

Bernie Bros coming soon?

[Gothmog]

10. How will sanders win the nomination without support from African American voters?

I seriously doubt that sanders will be the nominee.

[Thekaspervote]

16. Umhhh... magic beads, unicorns, lucky charms??!!

[Gothmog]

21. I still do not understand how sanders' revolution works

I keep wondering how this revolution works in the real world. In theory, so many new voters well magically appear and these new voters will force the GOP to be reasonable and to adopt sanders' proposals. How many new voters are required to do this? In 2018, the Democrats got 9 million more votes compared to the GOP and so far the GOP has not become more reasonable. Where will these new voters come from? If these new voters exist, why are they not showing up in the polling?

[Thekaspervote]

24. Excellent points!!

It isn’t magic... it’s math and the numbers don’t ad up for sanders

[Hortensis]

12. What's going on? 8% here, and we know this is a node for

a small but passionate group of his followers.

Seriously.

[Thekaspervote]

19. Yes!! See post #7 for several new polls. Sanders numbers are abysmal

[Hortensis]

25. Yes and credible. Those support the messages the voters

sent in the midterms. The Sanders' "surge" data smell, and only fools would forget what happened in 2016 OR IGNORE WHAT'S HAPPENING IN 2019.

WaPo: Inside the Russian effort to target Sanders supporters — and help elect Trump Two-pronged: Promotion of Sanders as a weapon, poison messages about Hillary/Democrats intended to suppress the vote for Democrats.

BusinessInsider: Russia's effort to convince Bernie Sanders voters to support Trump was 'central' to their strategy to beat Hillary Clinton, according to a new study

Newsweek: TULSI GABBARD SAYS HILLARY CLINTON'S RUSSIA REMARK 'HAS HURT ME' IN DEMOCRATIC RACE

Of course! That is what we would expect. Republicans are grateful to Putin. NOT Democrats.

Media report that Sanders now has an awesome database and a social media operation, better than anyone but Trump's, that completely bypasses the free press to deliver Sanders' campaign messages via many millions of computers directly to his potentially hundreds of millions of targets. And Russia's not being reported on.

[Thekaspervote]

29. Worrisome..in many respects! The good news it hasn't been effective

Dem voters remember 2016 and don’t want a repeat

[chillfactor]

13. only in your dreams.....n/t

[Cha]

23. Good gawd, man..

No.

[Me.]

26. What Have All These BS People Been Smoking?

[Thekaspervote]

30. One certainly has to wonder. No matter how they word it it doesn't change the numbers

And those numbers do not add up to a win for sanders

[Cha]

32. No matter How Much they Push.

[NurseJackie]

27. Haaaaaa!

[Squinch]

28. The thing that I find most disgusting about Trumpers is how they will take a small fact,

blow it up with ridiculous amounts of hyperbole into something unrecognizable and untrue, then repeat it over and over and over again as if it is a fact.

It's so dishonest, and so craven, and so creepy.

Don't you agree?

[cwydro]

31. Nope.

[calguy]

33. New Hampshire will be his high water mark

[Gothmog]

35. Bernie Sanders Drops 7 Points In 2 Weeks With Early State Voters

Link to tweet

Support for Sanders has fallen seven points among Democratic primary voters in Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire or South Carolina since our last survey conducted before the Democratic presidential debate on Dec. 19, as front-runner and former Vice President Joe Biden opens up a 16-point gap over the Vermont senator with those early-state voters.

– At a respective 32% and 21% in this latest tracking poll, the standings of Biden and Sanders are essentially unchanged among Democratic primary voters nationwide since early February.

– Buttigieg has risen from virtual obscurity in February to sit at 8% nationally, and while Warren has seen her support fall in recent months, her five-point increase since February places her as a top candidate.....

The negative view is that Sen. Sanders has a high floor for his support, but he also appears to have firm ceiling on how high he can go. Pete Buttigieg has taken away voters who might be looking for a non-Biden option, and Elizabeth Warren has taken voters on the left who in 2016 went to Sanders by default. Buttigieg Warren and are equally well funded and they will be in the primary for the long term. If Sanders doesn’t win early, there is a chance that he doesn’t win at all.

[myohmy2]

36. "...64 percent of Sanders voters said their minds are firmly made up to support him. "

...that's because most people I know see Bernie as the best candidate to tackle the many problems we have with Progressive solutions that work...

...people are fed up with meaningless babble and campaign bullshit that no one believes...people are no longer willing to seek their reward only in the hereafter, they want a new beginning and a fair shake right now...

...only Bernie is prepared and capable of delivering the systemic change we so desperately need...

...people don't want to support a candidate supported by people that screw them...

...no good will ever come of it...