Democratic Primaries

highplainsdem

(49,045 posts) Mon Dec 16, 2019, 08:27 PM Dec 2019

Dec. 16 polling averages, FiveThirtyEight: Biden 26.3%, Sanders 17.8%, Warren 14.8%, Buttigieg 9.5%,

Bloomberg 5.0%, Yang 3.5%, Klobuchar 2.6%, Booker 2.0%, Gabbard 1.5%, Steyer 1.4%, Castro 1.0%, all others under 1%

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/national/

As pointed out on that page:

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

I hope this will help make some sense of the widely varying poll results.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

5 replies

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Dec. 16 polling averages, FiveThirtyEight: Biden 26.3%, Sanders 17.8%, Warren 14.8%, Buttigieg 9.5%, (Original Post) highplainsdem Dec 2019 OP

All candidates below Bloomberg should drop out right anout now onetexan Dec 2019 #1

Thank you, hpd! Cha Dec 2019 #2

you should make you title in all caps, so we will think it is more IMPORTANT lol nt msongs Dec 2019 #3

highplainsdem, thanks a bunch for posting this! :) Sloumeau Dec 2019 #4

These polling averages feel deceptive to me Submariner Dec 2019 #5

onetexan

(13,071 posts)

1. All candidates below Bloomberg should drop out right anout now

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Dec 16, 2019, 08:29 PM

Dec 2019

We are approaching March. Field needs to be thinned out a bit more rapidly so we can all get behind one candidate.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Cha

(297,818 posts)

2. Thank you, hpd!

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Dec 16, 2019, 08:36 PM

Dec 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

msongs

(67,462 posts)

3. you should make you title in all caps, so we will think it is more IMPORTANT lol nt

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Dec 16, 2019, 08:41 PM

Dec 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Sloumeau

(2,657 posts)

4. highplainsdem, thanks a bunch for posting this! :)

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Dec 16, 2019, 08:43 PM

Dec 2019

An average lead of 8.5% for Joe Biden is good news!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Submariner

(12,511 posts)

5. These polling averages feel deceptive to me

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Dec 16, 2019, 08:44 PM

Dec 2019

Is there a poll out there that focuses on what really counts. We're calling them the battleground states or the swing districts. The places where Trump got the votes to squeak through the electoral college victory.

Are we currently close or are we beating Trump in those places?

Michigan, Penn, Wisconsin, Florida, etc.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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