Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumSurveyUSA GE matchups against Trump: Biden +13, Sanders +12, Warren & Buttigieg +7,
Bloomberg +6, Harris +5
http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=5128ee79-1b59-4146-bf80-54906bb24d4b
As Americans gather to count their blessings and members of the US House Intelligence Committee draft articles of impeachment, the first signs of erosion in support for Republican President Donald Trump may be visible, according to SurveyUSA's latest nationwide tracking poll on the 2020 election.
Less than 10 weeks to the Iowa caucuses, 6 high-profile Democratic challengers all unseat Trump in an election today.
* Joe Biden defeats Trump today by 13 points, 52% to 39%, Biden's largest lead. Trump falls below 40% for the first time.
* Bernie Sanders defeats Trump today by 12 points, 52% to 40%. Trump's 40% vs Sanders is a new low, Sanders' 52% is a new high.
* Elizabeth Warren defeats Trump today by 7 points, 49% to 42%. Warren's 49% is a new high, Trump's 42% vs Warren is a new low.
* Pete Buttigieg defeats Trump today by 7 points, 48% to 41%. Trump led in August.
* Michael Bloomberg defeats Trump today by 6 points, 46% to 40%. This is the first SurveyUSA poll to pair the two.
* Kamala Harris defeats Trump today by 5 points, 47% to 42%. Trump and Harris tied in September; 42% is a new low.
* Among Protestants, Trump had led Biden by 17, now 4.
* Among voters "able to save for a rainy day," Trump had led Biden by 10, now trails by 2.
* Among white middle-class voters, Trump had led Biden by 12, now 3.
* Among upper-income voters, Trump has never trailed Biden, but today is down by 7.
* Among voters who tell SurveyUSA they are "making ends meet," Biden once led by 6, now leads by 15.
* In the Midwest, Biden once led Trump by 3, now leads Trump by 14.
* Among white middle-class voters, Trump had led Buttigieg by 19, now 5.
* Among seniors, Trump had led Buttigieg by 3, now trails by 7.
* Among voters "able to save for a rainy day," Trump had led Buttigieg by 18, now 2.
* Among voters who attend religious services regularly, Trump had led Buttigieg by 28, now 13.
* Among Protestants, Trump had led Buttigieg by 23, now by 7.
* Among voters with no strong feelings either way about abortion, Trump had led Buttigieg by 7, now trails by 8.
* Among whites, Trump had led Buttigieg by 16, now 5.
* Among suburban men, Trump had led Buttigieg by 18, now 4.
If Mike Pence were at the top of the GOP ticket today, Pence does better than Trump against Buttigieg and Bloomberg, runs even with Trump against Warren, and does worse than Trump against Biden, Sanders, and Harris.
-snip-
Emphasis added to that middle paragraph, to show how much Biden has gained strength versus Trump.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ritapria
(1,812 posts)He is doing great in matchups against Trump ..He has made no secret that he is a Democratic Socialist ...The American people don't seem overly scared at the prospect of electing one .. ...45 years of stagnant wages and expensive healthcare will do that to a people ...The frustration of living paycheck to paycheck led, in part , to the election of a faux populist like Trump...They are ready to elect the Real Deal ..
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
highplainsdem
(49,028 posts)Republicans and their media allies, who are going after him almost exclusively because he's the candidate they're most afraid of.
We have no idea how Sanders will be polling against Trump if he ever becomes the front-runner and is subjected to the sort of onslaught Biden's been surviving.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
LAS14
(13,783 posts)... I must admit the trends are heartening.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
LAS14
(13,783 posts)... SurveyUSA is from mid October.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
highplainsdem
(49,028 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cattledog
(5,917 posts)Remember Hillary was leading in all the national polls and won the popular vote by 3 million. Trump could lose this election by 5 million and still get elected because of the EC.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
highplainsdem
(49,028 posts)doing better againt Trump than any of the other Democratic candidates.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DrToast
(6,414 posts)It just isn't going to happen. At most he could lose popular vote by 4 or 5 points and still win electoral college. And that's pushing it.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
redqueen
(115,103 posts)So disgusted
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided