Warren Is Increasingly Popular With Democratic Activists In Early States

[BlueMTexpat]

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/warren-is-increasingly-popular-with-democratic-activists-in-early-states/

From the link:

...
This marks the sixth installment of my series with Democratic activists in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, Nevada and Washington, DC.,1 where I interview plugged-in early-state activists to better understand who they are rallying behind in 2020 as part of my upcoming book, which will look at changes in the Democratic Party between 2016 and 2020. And I’m checking back in with these activists every two months in order to learn which ones are committed to a candidate or, if they’re not committed to anyone, which candidates they are actively considering. I’ve also been asking them who they thought other Democrats in their community might be leaning toward and who they don’t want to see as the nominee.
...
But in addition to asking the early-state activists who they were committed to supporting, I also asked those who were uncommitted to tell me who they’re considering supporting.2 Here, we’ve also seen an important shift from August, when California Sen. Kamala Harris, New Jersey Sen. Cory Booker, Biden, Warren and Buttigieg all had similar levels of support — roughly a third of activists were considering them. But now, Warren has clearly moved ahead of the other candidates, with 14 of 29 activists (48 percent) either supporting or considering her. Booker and Harris now trail her with 11 activists each (38 percent), and Biden and Buttigieg round out the top tier with nine activists apiece (31 percent). (In the table below, I combined the number of respondents considering each candidate with the number committed to each candidate to show their total support.)
...
As for the candidates the activists do not want to see become the nominee, the rankings haven’t changed much since August, but the commitment has intensified somewhat. Twenty-three of 29 activists (79 percent) do not want to see spiritual author Marianne Williamson become the nominee (up from 55 percent last time), and 21 of 29 (72 percent) feel the same about Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (up from 62 percent). Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders remains about as disliked as he was in the last round of interviews; 62 percent (18 of 29 activists) now oppose him for the nomination, essentially unchanged from 59 percent in the last round. (It’s unclear if Sanders’s heart attack had any effect on activists’ feelings — he was in the hospital and had “pushed pause” on his campaign during the time people were responding to my questions, but no one mentioned the incident in the open comment section of the survey.) Miramar, Florida, Mayor Wayne Messam (20 of 29 activists, 69 percent), and former Reps. John Delaney and Joe Sestak (18 activists each, 62 percent) round out the most-disliked category, with hedge fund billionaire Tom Steyer (16 activists, 55 percent) not far behind.
...

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More at the link. Interesting reading.

The trends are looking good for Warren. So far.

[sheshe2]

1. From your link.

The most striking development, however, is that four of these activists now back Warren, while zero backed her in the last round. Warren is also the first female candidate who any activist in my sample has committed to support. One new Warren supporter told me that it was Warren’s policies that sealed the deal, adding that Warren’s performance at the debate in Houston, which the activist attended, “was especially influential.” Another said Warren “has the clearest message” and “the plans to back up that message.”

Thanks for posting, Blue.

[BlueMTexpat]

6. My pleasure, she!

I love that these activists are turning to Elizabeth for the right reasons.

[ritapria]

2. Bernie is targeting first time voters- particularly in Iowa and NV

Party activists eschew candidates who , in their view, seek "radical" change …...

[NurseJackie]

7. ... with good reason, too.

Thank goodness for that.

[evertonfc]

3. my take

The early states are so unrepresentative of the base. I guess a lot of attitude is where you live. Here in Tennessee, Biden will win with ease. What I hear is that, although he isn't as progressive per se, most just don't think Warren can beat Trump electorally. Now, that argument may be flawed but it's a very popular opinion in many states. Joe is much more appealing to those moderate voters we need in a General. Just my three cents.

[DownriverDem]

4. Center/Left Country

Many folks don't seem to talk about this.

[BlueMTexpat]

5. What do you want

to say other than cryptic words?

[blm]

9. Center/Left will vote for Extreme right Trump over a Left Warren because

Warren’s policy positions are more extreme than Trump’s?

[BlueMTexpat]

12. Isn't that a rather

insane view from some?

Warren IS "center/left" no matter how much some try to paint her as "other."

Some seem not to live on the same planet as I. They want to keep their minds totally closed and let logic fly out the window.

I have much more respect for those who post positive threads about their own candidates instead of specifically trying to put down ours.

[blm]

13. I'd like for someone to explain it for once, instead of

making the claim and just insisting it is true.

[BlueMTexpat]

14. I wouldn't hold my

breath if I were you.

[book_worm]

8. I don't doubt that but she also needs to make sure she attracts

moderates and independents in the GE if she is nominated. McGovern also did well with party activists.

[BlueMTexpat]

10. Nothing like a

little bit of vinegar to sour the thread.

It is undeniable that McGovern would have been a MUCH better President than Nixon. Are you insinuating that Trump would be better than Warren?

Warren knows what she has to do and she will do it. She has shown that in everything that she has accomplished in her comparatively short but highly effective period as a Democrat. Check her Senate record for one. Please also note that she is currently the Vice-Chair of the Senate Democratic Caucus. You do not get to such a position without support from within your party - and not simply from the most liberal members.

Cryptic comments about "center/left" from some (Elizabeth Warren IS center/left, btw) and hints that she will NOT attract independents and moderates against Trump do not speak well either for you or for the Democratic party - if you and such other voters would literally cut off their noses to spite their faces.

Why don't you post something positive about YOUR candidate instead?

Go post a positive thread instead of pissing on mine or those of others who support Elizabeth Warren. Please.