Oct. 1-4 Harris X poll, Likely/Definite voters: Biden 35%, Warren 17%, Sanders 12%, Harris 7%,

[highplainsdem]

Buttigieg & O'Rourke 3%, Booker & Yang 2%, all others 1% or less


https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/


https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vQy-EdNSA9Yo9BU6sktTwRoqSNFUTN3p4ytdgkgrzUFItTZInRmqkl2m_0kNIrwYv-BRQurVM1jULC9/pubhtml/sheet

[Thekaspervote]

1. Hey good news!! Thx for posting

[crazytown]

2. Biden +18% ahead?

Is anyone supposed to believe those numbers?

[quickesst]

7. I can believe it....

.... and let's face it, if Joe and Elizabeth's positions in this poll were reversed, would you have replied with the same "Is anyone supposed to believe those numbers?" Or would you be where a Biden supporter is like I am?

[emmaverybo]

3. Good news. Thanks for posting.

[still_one]

4. STOP IT!!! What are you trying to do posting good poll results for Biden?

[crazytown]

5. I can assure you

if there are a bunch of bad results for Biden, following tRumps megaphone of lies, I won't be celebrating.

HarrisX is the outfit that just reported tTrump's approval at a 2019 high
https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-approval-rating-impeachment-1463017

[ritapria]

6. Harris X : In Outlier Space ?

On of their problems is that their sample is limited to "Definite Voters" ... Biden is no longer at 35% - not even close … Warren at only 17% ? …. Biden beating her by over 2-1 ?…. Warren's crowds and grass roots fundraising totals are not a mirage ...I can't take this poll seriously anymore...If I were Nate Silver , I wouldn't publish their rubbish …...I also wouldn't publish the results of Change Research …..By contrast , they issue results that are wildly pro Warren and anti- Joe Biden … There is a lot of nonsense being foisted on the public ….Caveat Emptor

[quickesst]

8. one thing you can count on

When it comes to positive news about Joe Biden, you will find that group of people who are pissed off because their candidates name is not where Joe's is. If it were Bernie or Elizabeth's name at the top of this poll, the responses would be the reverse of what we see here. If the poll showed Warren ahead by 18, would a Warren supporter come on here and write "This poll is bullshit"?

[Celerity]

9. HarrisX : Trump approval climbs to highest level of 2019 amid impeachment inquiry

https://thehill.com/hilltv/rising/464072-trumps-approval-ticks-to-up-to-highest-level-since-december

President Trump’s approval ticked up to 49 percent — its highest mark this year, according to a new Hill-HarrisX survey released on Wednesday.

The figure marks a 2-point increase from a Sept. 11-12 poll, but a 2-point decrease from its previous peak of 51 percent in August 2018.

Trump's disapproval rating, meanwhile, dropped to 51 percent, which marks his lowest level so far this year.

snip


HarrisX is a large outlier overall (in both primary and POTUS aprroval polls). They skew too heavily to the mods and cons. They also poll the same people (who opted in) over and over, daily. Morning Consult does similar methodology.



https://scottrasmussen.com/methodology/

The field work for ScottRasmussen.com surveys is provided by HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys. The survey is conducted online within the United States on a daily basis among approximately 1,000 Registered Voters. The results reflect a nationally representative sample of Americans. Results are weighted for age within gender, region, race/ethnicity, income, political party, and education where necessary to align them with their actual proportions in the population, in accordance with the demographic results of the U.S. Census Current Population Survey. These weighting categories were defined by Scott Rasmussen. Not all HarrisX surveys include all of the parameters included in ScottRasmussen.com surveys.

The respondents opt in to take our surveys and some of them are rewarded for their participation.

Biden at 35% is very much an outlier result. Morning Consult is the only other major poll that has him over 30 on a remotely consistent basis.




Also, this HarrisX had a wild swing from day to day in the last 2 days, with Biden's spread increasing by a highly unlikely 64% in ONE day.




This poll overall is as useful as the Change Research ones, which are just as bad in the anti-Biden bias.



And that CR poll is over a month old, so before Warren's true surge of the last couple weeks, I can but imagine what the next one will show (should be out very soon.) I will say the same thing (outlier) to Warren people who post that one too, as I am even-handed and try to be a fair arbiter.

[crazytown]

10. Great work

Much appreciated

[Celerity]

11. thank you

[Cha]

12. KR!

[oasis]

13. But...but...Democratic campaign "expert" David Axelrod says Warren

will likely get the nomination.

[NurseJackie]

14. Did Bernie's heart attack effect on how people responded?

Did Bernie's heart attack effect on how people responded? Is he losing support because people see him differently now? Are people afraid that the rigors of the job may be too much?

If it's not reflected in these poll results, then it remains to be seen if the next round of polling shows anything different.