B-rated state polls of NC/ME/KY/CO/AZ: Biden beats Trump by at least 4 points in all but Kentucky

[highplainsdem]

Biden is +4 in North Carolina, +6 in Maine, +9 in Colorado, and +5 in Arizona.

Likely voter poll, total of 600 likely voters surveyed in the 5 states.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/

This is apparently an AARP poll (yes, it includes all age groups, only 35% were 55 and older) done by Fabrizio Ward.

538 says this is an LV poll. The poll results on the AARP website say RV and LV, and I'm not sure how to read that, but 538 is apparently reading it as registered voters who are also likely voters.

North Carolina:

https://www.aarp.org/content/dam/aarp/research/surveys_statistics/politics/2019/five-state-prescription-drug-survey-annotated-questionnaire-NC.doi.10.26419-2Fres.00335.005.pdf

Maine:

https://www.aarp.org/content/dam/aarp/research/surveys_statistics/politics/2019/five-state-prescription-drug-survey-annotated-questionnaire-ME.doi.10.26419-2Fres.00335.004.pdf

Kentucky:

https://www.aarp.org/content/dam/aarp/research/surveys_statistics/politics/2019/five-state-prescription-drug-survey-annotated-questionnaire-KY.doi.10.26419-2Fres.00335.003.pdf

Colorado:

https://www.aarp.org/content/dam/aarp/research/surveys_statistics/politics/2019/five-state-prescription-drug-survey-annotated-questionnaire-CO.doi.10.26419-2Fres.00335.002.pdf

Arizona:

https://www.aarp.org/content/dam/aarp/research/surveys_statistics/politics/2019/five-state-prescription-drug-survey-annotated-questionnaire-AZ.doi.10.26419-2Fres.00335.001.pdf


They also polled on Senate races, and I posted about those results in 5 replies below.

[highplainsdem]

1. Btw, the AZ poll found Martha McSally ahead of Mark Kelly for Senate, but only by 1 point.

[highplainsdem]

2. The CO poll which also included Senate was done before Mike Johnston ended his Senate campaign,

but it showed Johnston losing to Cory Gardner, I expect Hickenlooper to beat Gardner.

[highplainsdem]

3. The Kentucky poll shows Mitch McConnell only 1 point ahead of Amy McGrath.

[highplainsdem]

4. The Maine poll unfortunately shows Susan Collins 17 points ahead of Sara Gideon.

[highplainsdem]

5. The North Carolina poll unfortunately shows Thom Tillis beating Cal Cunningham by 13 points.

[Bayard]

6. I'm actually a bit encouraged by KY

And its early in the game.

But not happy that 30% say they haven't heard of Amy McGrath. She has to get out more. McConnell is much hated, as usual.

[highplainsdem]

7. Me, too. God, I would love to see McConnell lose...

[Fiendish Thingy]

8. MOE of 4% for whole sample, individual states MOE likely much higher

Next to meaningless - would you feel confident with these results if it were a year from now in the general?

[BlueMississippi]

9. k&r nt

[Scurrilous]

10. K&R

[Cha]

11. KR!

[Amimnoch]

12. None of the promises means a thing if we don't win. Joe Biden 2020! -NT

[peggysue2]

13. Exactly right, Amimnoch!

Which why it's a GO4JOE2020.