I've been checking Predictit during this debate

[DavidDvorkin]

And seeing little to no change in the betting on the candidates. That surprises me. It would seem to indicate that the bettors don't think this debate is affecting the nomination race.

[evertonfc]

1. probably not

I doubt these debates with so many candidates on stage move the needle much. In fact, they probably don't get alot of viewers. The goal is don't screw up or be an asshole like Castro

[DavidDvorkin]

2. Interesting point

It could be that the main effect is to cut out candidates on the bottom, while those at the top perform reasonably equally well.

[hlthe2b]

3. Castro annoyed me, but honestly, it was a great panel of candidates so I'm not that surprised

[highplainsdem]

4. Castro disqualified himself, and Yang made himself look silly, but otherwise I don't think this

debate will change anything.

Biden more than held his own, IMO, and Castro's foolish attack on him is likely to help him. The only people I've seen applauding that attack, when I check Twitter, are far-left Dems who hate Biden, and Republicans.

And Castro's attack is going to look worse as word gets out that the transcript and video show Biden was right about what he'd said, and Castro had it wrong.