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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
 

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
Tue Aug 27, 2019, 02:43 PM Aug 2019

**Echelon Insights Poll* Scranton Joe 30% Brooklyn Bernie 19% Oklahoma Elizabeth 11% Cali Kamala 11%

• While Joe Biden’s share of votes among 23 Democratic Presidential candidates tested relatively consistent, with 30% of the
Democratic vote and down 3 points from 33% last month, while Bernie Sanders secured a 5 point gain to 19% of the Democratic vote.
• Kamala Harris and Elizabeth Warren are now running neck and neck, with both Harris and Warren each capturing 11 percent of the
Democratic vote.
• Biden’s lead in head to head match-ups against top candidates narrowed most dramatically against Sanders. In July, Biden held a 29
point advantage against Sanders in a head to head match-ups. Today, Biden’s lead against Sanders narrowed to 20 points, or
identical to Biden’s 20 point lead against Warren. Biden’s lead against Harris remains consistent, moving from a 23 point lead in July
to a 24 point lead against Harris today.
• Demographic differences drive Democratic vote choice:
• Sanders and Biden are statistically tied among whites without college degrees, while Warren is the closest alternative to Biden
among college-educated whites.
• Biden, Harris, and Booker overperform among black Democratic voters, while Warren receives 1% in this group.
• The apparent Sanders surge is more muted when looking at Democrats with a history of voting in Democratic primaries.
Sanders is stronger among Democratic identifiers who didn’t vote in the 2016 or 2018 primaries, while Warren runs more than twice
as strong among Democrats who’ve voted in those primaries versus those who haven

http://echeloninsights.com/wp-content/uploads/Omnibus-August-2019_Dem-Primary.pdf

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
9 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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**Echelon Insights Poll* Scranton Joe 30% Brooklyn Bernie 19% Oklahoma Elizabeth 11% Cali Kamala 11% (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Aug 2019 OP
Thx for the precise breakdown! Thekaspervote Aug 2019 #1
How is Warren going to compete in a single southern primary getting 1 and 2% among black voters? LincolnRossiter Aug 2019 #2
Polls are all over the place lately. JaneQPublic Aug 2019 #3
Thanks DSB...really appreciate your posting these polls and articles of interest. Demsrule86 Aug 2019 #4
I post as many poll as possible without favor. DemocratSinceBirth Aug 2019 #6
Thx...and please continue with non unbiased reporting Thekaspervote Aug 2019 #7
Thank You! :) Sloumeau Aug 2019 #5
Be suspicious polls that don't list MOE Fiendish Thingy Aug 2019 #8
... Scurrilous Aug 2019 #9
 

Thekaspervote

(32,778 posts)
1. Thx for the precise breakdown!
Tue Aug 27, 2019, 02:47 PM
Aug 2019
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

LincolnRossiter

(560 posts)
2. How is Warren going to compete in a single southern primary getting 1 and 2% among black voters?
Tue Aug 27, 2019, 02:51 PM
Aug 2019

Her campaign needs to get to work on that.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

JaneQPublic

(7,113 posts)
3. Polls are all over the place lately.
Tue Aug 27, 2019, 02:55 PM
Aug 2019

I never heard of Echelon Insights polls before. I ran a search but didn't find it at 538 pollster ratings:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/

Also, what is the margin of error for this survey? I couldn't find it -- or "MOE" -- anywhere on the Echelon webpage.

When polls swing wildly as they have this week, it's time to check out a "poll of polls."

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Demsrule86

(68,588 posts)
4. Thanks DSB...really appreciate your posting these polls and articles of interest.
Tue Aug 27, 2019, 02:55 PM
Aug 2019
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
6. I post as many poll as possible without favor.
Tue Aug 27, 2019, 03:01 PM
Aug 2019
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Thekaspervote

(32,778 posts)
7. Thx...and please continue with non unbiased reporting
Tue Aug 27, 2019, 03:47 PM
Aug 2019
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Fiendish Thingy

(15,624 posts)
8. Be suspicious polls that don't list MOE
Tue Aug 27, 2019, 04:57 PM
Aug 2019

Sample size of 497 suggests MOE of around 5-6%

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
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