Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forum**Echelon Insights Poll* Scranton Joe 30% Brooklyn Bernie 19% Oklahoma Elizabeth 11% Cali Kamala 11%
While Joe Bidens share of votes among 23 Democratic Presidential candidates tested relatively consistent, with 30% of the
Democratic vote and down 3 points from 33% last month, while Bernie Sanders secured a 5 point gain to 19% of the Democratic vote.
Kamala Harris and Elizabeth Warren are now running neck and neck, with both Harris and Warren each capturing 11 percent of the
Democratic vote.
Bidens lead in head to head match-ups against top candidates narrowed most dramatically against Sanders. In July, Biden held a 29
point advantage against Sanders in a head to head match-ups. Today, Bidens lead against Sanders narrowed to 20 points, or
identical to Bidens 20 point lead against Warren. Bidens lead against Harris remains consistent, moving from a 23 point lead in July
to a 24 point lead against Harris today.
Demographic differences drive Democratic vote choice:
Sanders and Biden are statistically tied among whites without college degrees, while Warren is the closest alternative to Biden
among college-educated whites.
Biden, Harris, and Booker overperform among black Democratic voters, while Warren receives 1% in this group.
The apparent Sanders surge is more muted when looking at Democrats with a history of voting in Democratic primaries.
Sanders is stronger among Democratic identifiers who didnt vote in the 2016 or 2018 primaries, while Warren runs more than twice
as strong among Democrats whove voted in those primaries versus those who haven
http://echeloninsights.com/wp-content/uploads/Omnibus-August-2019_Dem-Primary.pdf
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Thekaspervote
(32,778 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
LincolnRossiter
(560 posts)Her campaign needs to get to work on that.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
JaneQPublic
(7,113 posts)I never heard of Echelon Insights polls before. I ran a search but didn't find it at 538 pollster ratings:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/
Also, what is the margin of error for this survey? I couldn't find it -- or "MOE" -- anywhere on the Echelon webpage.
When polls swing wildly as they have this week, it's time to check out a "poll of polls."
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Demsrule86
(68,588 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Thekaspervote
(32,778 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Sloumeau
(2,657 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Fiendish Thingy
(15,624 posts)Sample size of 497 suggests MOE of around 5-6%
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Scurrilous
(38,687 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden