Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forum*A RATED FOX NEWS POLL BY NATE SILVER* JB 31% EW 20% BS 10% KH 8%
Fox News Poll: Biden still leads Democratic race, Warren climbs into second
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-poll-biden-still-leads-democratic-race-warren-climbs-into-second
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
bluewater
(5,376 posts)"Primary voters give Sanders a net rating of +71 points (83 favorable-12 unfavorable), while Warren is at +69 (79-10), Biden +67 (81-14), and Harris +58 (73-15)."
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)Thanks bluewater! I imagine things will be a bit topsy turvy until and after the iowa caucus
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
bluewater
(5,376 posts)Both those contests should be neck and neck.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Vegas Roller
(704 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
SouthernProgressive
(1,810 posts)All within the MOE with each other.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
DownriverDem
(6,231 posts)Biden can beat trump. trump doesn't want to run against Biden. Go Joe!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
sheshe2
(83,850 posts)Then the Faux news voters/viewers and Faux themselves for have set this up are even dumber than I thought. They have no clue who is even running.
At least they got 4 of five guesses.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Skya Rhen
(2,701 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Farmer-Rick
(10,201 posts)Especially Fox polls. Welcome to mother Russia.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Farmer-Rick
(10,201 posts)And goes back to 1988.
Because if this change in supposed voting patterns, the polls are weighted/adjusted to account for it.
So, think about it. The polls are adjusted to compensate for peoples voting more often for RepubliCONS. But are they voting more often for these criminals, Or are our voting systems more and more manipulated by RW criminals? Even 538 talks about it in his poll consolidating site.
So, now polls are not really accurate but routinely shifted to the right to reflect the rigging of our voting systems.
This way no one really can see how severe the rigging is especially when W outlawed real, fraud identifying exit polls.
And we have got to understand that Fox probably shifts the polls to the right even further because they are NOT a news organization just the GOP propaganda station.
Google it. There is plenty of data about it even going back to before the internet.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Hav
(5,969 posts)if the polls are close to the eventual result, it's not because the pollsters did a good job, it's because the pollster (all of them) deliberately ignore their own surveys and shift the result to reflect the rigging of the election without being able to know the extent of the rigging...
Polls aren't adjusted for what they want to predict/measure when the results don't match an expectation...they are adjusted when the demographics of the respondents don't reflect the makeup of the expected voting population.
And why are you talking about a red shift and Fox skewing their polls to the right when it was a poll about the Dem primary?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Vegas Roller
(704 posts)is it always because it is rigged?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Farmer-Rick
(10,201 posts)See post 45 above for an explanation.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Chemisse
(30,814 posts)How would you explain that?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
LanternWaste
(37,748 posts)Does Mother Russia fail to support her conclusions as well, or is that just you?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Farmer-Rick
(10,201 posts)Because the GOP tries so hard to rig them. See postv45 above.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Thekaspervote
(32,787 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
BootinUp
(47,179 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
comradebillyboy
(10,174 posts)like a contender. Real bad news for Bernie. Harris seems to be stuck in place. Joe is still the one to beat.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
bluewater
(5,376 posts)Biden at 31% and Harris at 8%.
All the ups and downs leveled out.
Honestly, I think both campaigns must be a little disappointed by that.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Drunken Irishman
(34,857 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
comradebillyboy
(10,174 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Thekaspervote
(32,787 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Blue_true
(31,261 posts)She would be a too VP choice for everyone but Booker and Castro. She, of course, can end up at the top of the ticket.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DrToast
(6,414 posts)Biden 50, Trump 38
Sanders 48, trump 39
Warren 46, Trump 39
Harris 45, Trump 39
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Thekaspervote
(32,787 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(145,486 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
CDerekGo
(507 posts)But guessing other Democratic Voters not so much. Maybe we'll see a Biden/Warren ticket for 2020?
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Peacetrain
(22,878 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
onetexan
(13,056 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
BannonsLiver
(16,435 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Vegas Roller
(704 posts)there aren't many whose head is buried in the sand.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
onetexan
(13,056 posts)apparently 2016's novelty has worn off; the shiny object ain't what it used to be. I'll also add he sounds even more cross and more like an grumpy uncle than before. I think people have heard enough loud talking by the Idiot, to the point they can't tolerate another one shouting half the time he's speaking.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Fiendish Thingy
(15,650 posts)Joe could be as low as 26.5, and
Warren could be as high as 24.5%
Warren clearly has the momentum.
This race will be tighter than the media is spinning it...
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Skya Rhen
(2,701 posts)has a loyal base which is at around 30%.
No other candidate is leapfrogging back and forth with him, as is the case with Warren and Sanders.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Chemisse
(30,814 posts)She has built herself into a force to be reckoned with!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
mwooldri
(10,303 posts)Who leads the early primary states? Will it be Biden, Warren, Sanders and Harris all the way through to the end? Or are there early states where one of these outshine the others by a wide margin?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cuthbert Allgood
(4,953 posts)Um hmm. Sure.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Cuthbert Allgood
(4,953 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
ehrnst
(32,640 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Fiendish Thingy
(15,650 posts)Including historical accuracy of the polling house's predictions, methodology used, and the volume and breadth of polls conducted over the pollster's existence. (Some polling houses only conduct polls for single/select few states and only for presidential elections and nothing else)
The MOE of an individual poll is not a factor in the grade, but of course should be considered when analyzing any poll.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
DrToast
(6,414 posts)A MoE on an individual poll is a limitation of statistics. It doesnt tell you anything about her quality of pollster.
A good pollster can have a higher MoE and still be more accurate than a shitty pollster that produces polls with a low MoE.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
honest.abe
(8,680 posts)What a catastrophic collapse!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Scurrilous
(38,687 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
lame54
(35,313 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
oasis
(49,398 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
highplainsdem
(49,023 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
NYMinute
(3,256 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Joe941
(2,848 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
NYMinute
(3,256 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden