Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumIowa corn poll may signal trouble for Joe Biden.
'Ear this, America: A uniquely unscientific poll of Iowa voters suggests Joe Biden is struggling to maintain his front-runner status in the Democratic presidential primary race.
Just 24% of Iowa State Fair goers voted for Biden by dropping a kernel of corn in his jar in a fair display designed to predict the winner of the nominating contest.
The vice president out-husked his closest rival, Pete Buttigieg, who drew 16% in the Cast Your Kernel contest. Sen. Elizabeth Warren was right behind with 15% and Sen. Kamala Harris took 11%.
Link to tweet
That margin reflects a closer contest than most national polls, and shows that the vice president may be in for a rocky start when the voting starts with the Iowa caucuses next February.
Of course, you butter be ready for plenty of ups and downs before that frosty night.
Hillary Clinton won the 2016 Kernel contest in a landslide, but barely eked out a win against upstart Bernie Sanders in the actual caucus. Sanders is trailing badly this time with just 9%.
https://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/ny-iowa-corn-poll-joe-biden-20190812-vunsn5oxonhxjjjjfvg5u2aswm-story.html
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Skidmore
(37,364 posts)People vote in it multiple times. Change their minds. Etc. It has about as much validity an online poll.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
bluewater
(5,376 posts)"Hillary Clinton won the 2016 Kernel contest in a landslide, but barely eked out a win against upstart Bernie Sanders in the actual caucus"
But all things Iowa get massive media attention.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
BannonsLiver
(16,448 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
ucrdem
(15,512 posts)And he's been there for far less time than his rivals who didn't get much corn for their troubles.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
bluewater
(5,376 posts)Don't take it seriously.
It's just more media BS about oh so important Iowa.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ucrdem
(15,512 posts)we both know if Biden came up short but a single kernel it would be national news all week!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
bluewater
(5,376 posts)But point taken.
The Biden Campaign dodged a bullet!
nicely done.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ucrdem
(15,512 posts)Biden would be "in trouble" if he won every kernel because the corn would have GMOs
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
BannonsLiver
(16,448 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Thekaspervote
(32,793 posts)Doesnt reflect anything other than ia state fair attendees
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
The headline could have read: Biden holds an 8 point lead but oh no, he's losing while he's winning. Meanwhile Warren who reportedly was surging, knocking Biden off his pins in Iowa is down 9 points.
Hello????
Granted, this is a very unscientific poll, more fun than anything else. But this certainly is a lesson in 'framing,' when you take the winner and magically make him/her the loser.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ucrdem
(15,512 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
wyldwolf
(43,870 posts)It reflects people who were there who also dropped a kernel in a jar.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
bluewater
(5,376 posts)lol It just shows how much disproportional attention Iowa gets.
But hey, Iowa and New Hampshire are sooo representative of the nation, they deserve to have enormous influence on Presidential politics.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ucrdem
(15,512 posts)but as usual Biden came out King Cob
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
bluewater
(5,376 posts)let's all celebrate!
It's just another example how much disproportional attention Iowa and New Hampshire get in Presidential politics.
people, it's the Corn Poll.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
LeftTurn3623
(628 posts)Pete's number is way out of wack of the actually polls in Iowa. I saw a report on this and it said he is in the low single digits.
With that said I do believe Warren is gaining a lot of steam as Bernie starts to fade.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
ucrdem
(15,512 posts)Fixed yer headline for ya!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
bluewater
(5,376 posts)lol
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ucrdem
(15,512 posts)Let's savor the moment!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)And the poll's still dumb, of course.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Celerity
(43,497 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
bluewater
(5,376 posts)nicely done!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Vegas Roller
(704 posts)a big yawn
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
UniteFightBack
(8,231 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Joe941
(2,848 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
MineralMan
(146,329 posts)Why, it's Joe Biden. He's first, ahead of his closest competitor by 8 points. So, suddenly he's losing?
I don't get it, see...
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
honest.abe
(8,685 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
onecaliberal
(32,894 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden